Texas State at Arkansas State Game Matchup
Texas State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Texas State at Baylor+26.558.5W 42 - 31
Sat 9/9 Texas State at UT San Antonio+13.566.5L 13 - 20
Sat 9/16 Texas State vs Jackson State-17.561.5W 77 - 34
Sat 9/23 Texas State vs Nevada-17.060.0W 35 - 24
Sat 9/30 Texas State at Southern Mississippi-6.560.0W 50 - 36
Sat 10/7 Texas State at Louisiana+1.067.5L 30 - 34
Sat 10/14 Texas State vs Louisiana Monroe-18.564.5W 21 - 20
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Texas State vs Troy+6.553.0L 13 - 31
Sat 11/4 Texas State vs Georgia Southern+2.069.0W 45 - 24
Sat 11/11 Texas State at Coastal Carolina-2.555.5L 23 - 31
Sat 11/18 Texas State at Arkansas State-3.559.5L 31 - 77
Sat 11/25 Texas State vs South Alabama+6.557.0W 52 - 44
Tue 12/26 Texas State vs Rice-3.558.5W 45 - 21
TXST's OC Mack Leftwich vs ARST's DC Rob Harley     ARST's OC Keith Heckendorf vs TXST's DC Jonathan Patke
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TXST Offense1336.731.546.7%4.551.8244591882714.651%48%46%48%15%.29
ARST Defense1330.42642.3%4.051.2 - - - - - 50%49%44%41%15%.25
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARST Offense1327.134.841.6%3.211203741482254.250%49%43%41%16%.17
TXST Defense1332.838.240.4%3.71.7 - - - - - 50%49%39%42%19%.18

 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TXST Offense1351% (56)46% (36)40.5187.84.633 (8).24 (21)3.19 (53)78% (24)11% (31)1.13 (84)
ARST Defense1350% (65)44% (80) - - - - .17 (88)3.09 (66)85% (81)10% (124)1.01 (71)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARST Offense1350% (72)43% (71)35.3148.24.220 (61).16 (66)3.12 (65)69% (80)9% (104)1.05 (58)
TXST Defense1350% (69)39% (37) - - - - .12 (56)2.87 (28)54% (73)14% (3)1.21 (6)

 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDsIntsPassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TXST Offense1348% (73)48% (15)22.133270.98.212.324 (41)9 (40).36 (36)1.5 (97)32% (63)36% (22).47 (24)4% (8)2 (80)
ARST Defense1349% (73)41% (59) - - - - - - 8 (100).34 (105)1.6 (59)31% (83)24% (11).3 (66)5% (111)2.2 (116)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDsIntsPassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARST Offense1349% (65)41% (80)1628.5225.57.914.117 (85)9 (40).24 (83)1.7 (40)31% (59)31% (68).28 (88)6% (87)2.1 (53)
TXST Defense1349% (68)42% (77) - - - - - - 11 (53).27 (66)1.7 (109)36% (10)36% (123).42 (113)5% (117)2 (47)

 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas State1329:0423.944%66%7.2681.81.77.72.6429.1
Arkansas State1326:1719.836%35%6.260.911.26.21.8430.4
Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Texas State's Performance Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Texas State's Offense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Texas State's Defense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Texas State's Team Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

Texas State's SP+ Ratings
Texas State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0 (#79)
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.6 (#47)
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.7 (#114)

Sun Belt's Avg 2023 SP+ Rating: -4.5
Sun Belt's Avg 2023 SP+ Offense Rating: 25.2
Sun Belt's Avg 2023 SP+ Defense Rating: 29.6

Texas State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0 (#79)
Texas State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.5 (#102)
Texas State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.0 (#119)

Texas State's 2023 Expected Record: -
Power Ratings Matchup
Texas State:    Arkansas State: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas State: -4.0   Arkansas State: -7.5

Performance Ratings Matchup
Texas State:    Arkansas State:

Team Ratings Matchup
Texas State:    Arkansas State:




Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: 2 (#Team not found for the given year.)
Arkansas State's Performance Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Arkansas State's Team Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

Arkansas State's SP+ Ratings
Arkansas State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.5 (#92)
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.7 (#72)
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.5 (#108)

Sun Belt's Avg 2023 SP+ Rating: -4.5
Sun Belt's Avg 2023 SP+ Offense Rating: 25.2
Sun Belt's Avg 2023 SP+ Defense Rating: 29.6

Arkansas State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.5 (#92)
Arkansas State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.0 (#107)
Arkansas State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.9 (#120)

Arkansas State's 2023 Expected Record: -
Texas State Scoring
Offense: 36.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.5
Defense: 32.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.2

Texas State's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Texas State Roster Talent
2023 Talent Rating: 484.79
2023 Talent Rating: 484.79
2022 Talent Rating: 464.66
2021 Talent Rating: 428.48

Blue Chip Ratio: 0% (#Team not found for the given year.)

Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 441.19
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 598.22
Projected Score
Texas State 33.6
Arkansas State 30


Projected Total Points: 64

Based on Entire Season
Texas State
Arkansas State

Total Points:
Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.8
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 26

Arkansas State's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Arkansas State Roster Talent
2023 Talent Rating: 487.40
2023 Talent Rating: 487.40
2022 Talent Rating: 471.65
2021 Talent Rating: 475.74

Blue Chip Ratio: 0% (#Team not found for the given year.)

Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 441.19
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 598.22




YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/18Arkansas State77Texas State31Arkansas StateTexas State -3.5Arkansas State59.5Over
202211/19Texas State16Arkansas State13Texas StateTexas State -6Arkansas State50.0Under
202111/27Arkansas State22Texas State24Texas StateArkansas State -2Texas State62.0Under
202011/21Texas State47Arkansas State45Texas StateArkansas State -4.5Texas State69.5Over
201910/26Arkansas State38Texas State14Arkansas StateArkansas State -11.5Arkansas State60.5Under
201811/24Texas State7Arkansas State33Arkansas StateArkansas State -13Arkansas State48.5Under
201711/18Arkansas State30Texas State12Arkansas StateArkansas State -26.5Texas State58.5Under
201612/03Texas State14Arkansas State36Arkansas StateArkansas State -21.5Arkansas State54.0Under
201512/05Arkansas State55Texas State17Arkansas StateArkansas State -21.5Arkansas State68.0Over
201411/20Texas State45Arkansas State27Texas StateArkansas State -6.5Texas State58.0Over
201311/16Arkansas State38Texas State21Arkansas StateArkansas State -6.5Arkansas State0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arkansas State774 Overs
Texas State446 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 36 - 53 - 33 - 2
Road Teams3 - 85 - 62 - 33 - 3
(#Team not found for the given year.) Texas State Info
Texas State has lost 1 straight
Texas State has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 4 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

Texas State is 2 - 2 in last 4 games (2 at Home, 2 on Road)
Last 4 Games: 29 - 30

Last 2 Road Games: 40 - 35

Texas State has Really Good Running Game (#)
Texas State Offense has a good overall Success Rate (#)
Texas State Offense is good in Scoring Position (#)
Texas State Offense has a good Passing Game Success Rate (#)

Texas State Offense has a good Success Rate on Pass Downs (#)
Texas State has a good 4th Down Conversion Rate

Texas State Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Texas State has a top Defensive Power Success (#)
Texas State Defensive Line is very good vs the Run (#)
Texas State Front 7 has a top Havoc Rate (#)

Texas State Defense Recovers a lot of Fumbles (#)
Texas State Kick Return team is explosive (#)


Texas State Deficiencies
Texas State has a bad TO Margin (#)
Texas State Fumbles a Lot (#)
Texas State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#)
Texas State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Texas State Gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#)
Texas State Does Not Stuff Runs (#)
Texas State Secondary has a bad Havoc Rate (#)
Texas State has a bad Defense Pass Downs Success Rate (#)
Texas State Gives up a Lot of Explosive Run Plays (#)
Texas State Gives up a Lot of Explosive Pass Plays (#)

Rematch from Week 12
Texas State 3.5 (59.5)
Arkansas State won vs Texas State this year (77-31)

Previous Matchups
Arkansas State beat Texas State last year (77-31)
Texas State beat Arkansas State in 2022 (16-13)
Texas State beat Arkansas State in 2021 (24-22)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Centennial Bank Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 61° - Wind: 6 mph

Depth Charts
Texas State | Arkansas State
(#Team not found for the given year.) Arkansas State Info
Arkansas State has lost 1 straight
Arkansas State has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 2 (3 - 2 - 1 vs Spread)

Arkansas State is 2 - 2 in last 4 games (1 at Home, 3 on Road)
Last 4 Games: 27 - 29

Last 1 Home Games: 17 - 27

Arkansas State Defense has a top Success Rate on Pass Downs(#)

Arkansas State has a great TO Margin (#)
Arkansas State Kick Return team is explosive (#)
Arkansas State Punt Return team is explosive (#)


Arkansas State Deficiencies
Arkansas State has a bad Offensive Power Success (#)
Arkansas State has a bad Offense Scoring Opp Rate (#)
Arkansas State Defense Doesn't Pick off a Lot of Passes (#)
Arkansas State has a bad Defensive Power Success (#)
Arkansas State Defense has a bad Havoc Rate (#)
Arkansas State Secondary has a bad Havoc Rate (#)















Texas State's Head Coach G. J. Kinne
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
TJ Finley27941467%34392488.3
Malik Hornsby81553%83015.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ismail Mahdi2231331106.065
Donerio Davenport9146125.143
Malik Hornsby3522966.531
Jahmyl Jeter4117394.229
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Joey Hobert76895811.883
Ashtyn Hawkins55874315.948
Kole Wilson66747811.377
Ismail Mahdi20275113.889
Arkansas State's Head Coach Butch Jones
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jaylen Raynor16628558%25431778.9
JT Shrout245147%227024.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ja'Quez Cross12871675.666
Zak Wallace12657564.641
Jaylen Raynor12338053.162
Cedric Hawkins3115625.028
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Corey Rucker36705219.668
Courtney Jackson39689717.760
Jeff Foreman28540419.346
Reagan Ealy19198110.433