Arkansas State at Troy Game Matchup
Troy's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Troy vs Stephen F. Austin-26.048.0W 48 - 30
Sat 9/9 Troy at Kansas State+15.050.0L 13 - 42
Sat 9/16 Troy vs James Madison-2.546.5L 14 - 16
Sat 9/23 Troy vs Western Kentucky-3.557.0W 27 - 24
Sat 9/30 Troy at Georgia State+1.050.5W 28 - 7
Sat 10/7 Troy vs Arkansas State-15.552.0W 37 - 3
Sat 10/14 Troy at Army-6.541.5W 19 - 0
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Troy at Texas State-6.553.0W 31 - 13
Thu 11/2 Troy vs South Alabama-5.544.5W 28 - 10
Sat 11/11 Troy at Louisiana Monroe-23.547.5W 45 - 14
Sat 11/18 Troy vs Louisiana-17.547.5W 31 - 24
Sat 11/25 Troy at Southern Mississippi-16.548.5W 35 - 17
Sat 12/2 Troy vs Appalachian State-6.551.5W 49 - 23
Sat 12/23 Troy vs Duke-7.044.0L 10 - 17
ARST's OC Keith Heckendorf vs TROY's DC Greg Gasparato     TROY's OC Joe Craddock vs ARST's DC Rob Harley
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARST Offense1327.120.741.6%3.211203741482254.250%49%43%41%16%.17
TROY Defense1417.118.638.1%2.961.6 - - - - - 47%52%37%40%18%.03
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TROY Offense1429.633.441.4%3.781.3214191542654.448%51%42%41%15%.21
ARST Defense1330.436.342.3%4.051.2 - - - - - 50%49%44%41%15%.25

 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARST Offense1350% (72)43% (71)35.3148.24.220 (61).16 (66)3.12 (65)69% (80)9% (104)1.05 (58)
TROY Defense1447% (29)37% (22) - - - - -.03 (10)2.75 (18)60% (52)13% (9)0.97 (9)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TROY Offense1448% (85)42% (79)34.6153.94.419 (69).15 (75)3.12 (66)72% (32)10% (88)1.03 (62)
ARST Defense1350% (65)44% (80) - - - - .17 (88)3.09 (66)85% (81)10% (124)1.01 (71)

 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDsIntsPassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARST Offense1349% (65)41% (80)1628.5225.57.914.117 (85)9 (40).24 (83)1.7 (40)31% (59)31% (68).28 (88)6% (87)2.1 (53)
TROY Defense1452% (105)40% (43) - - - - - - 10 (67).12 (11)1.4 (12)34% (36)28% (41).2 (16)5% (105)1.9 (28)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDsIntsPassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TROY Offense1451% (45)41% (79)19.932.6265.18.113.329 (18)6 (14).29 (66)1.7 (41)33% (85)29% (80).3 (78)6% (60)2.2 (31)
ARST Defense1349% (73)41% (59) - - - - - - 8 (100).34 (105)1.6 (59)31% (83)24% (11).3 (66)5% (111)2.2 (116)

 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arkansas State1326:1719.836%35%6.260.911.26.21.8430.4
Troy1430:5921.141%45%5.146.41.31.66.93.1130.9
Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Arkansas State's Performance Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Arkansas State's Team Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

Arkansas State's SP+ Ratings
Arkansas State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.5 (#92)
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.7 (#72)
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.5 (#108)

Sun Belt's Avg 2023 SP+ Rating: -4.5
Sun Belt's Avg 2023 SP+ Offense Rating: 25.2
Sun Belt's Avg 2023 SP+ Defense Rating: 29.6

Arkansas State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.5 (#92)
Arkansas State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.0 (#107)
Arkansas State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.9 (#120)

Arkansas State's 2023 Expected Record: -
Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State:    Troy: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: -7.5   Troy: 10.4

Performance Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State:    Troy:

Team Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State:    Troy:




Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: 2 (#Team not found for the given year.)
Troy's Performance Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Troy's Offense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Troy's Defense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Troy's Team Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

Troy's SP+ Ratings
Troy's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.4 (#26)
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 (#34)
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 (#26)

Sun Belt's Avg 2023 SP+ Rating: -4.5
Sun Belt's Avg 2023 SP+ Offense Rating: 25.2
Sun Belt's Avg 2023 SP+ Defense Rating: 29.6

Troy's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.4 (#26)
Troy's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 (#44)
Troy's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.5 (#95)

Troy's 2023 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.7
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.3

Arkansas State's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Arkansas State Roster Talent
2023 Talent Rating: 487.40
2023 Talent Rating: 487.40
2022 Talent Rating: 471.65
2021 Talent Rating: 475.74

Blue Chip Ratio: 0% (#Team not found for the given year.)

Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 441.19
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 598.22
Projected Score
Troy 30
Arkansas State 22.1

Projected Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
Arkansas State
Troy

Total Points:
Troy Scoring
Offense: 29.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.4
Defense: 17.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.6

Troy's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0

Troy Roster Talent
2023 Talent Rating: 454.06
2023 Talent Rating: 454.06
2022 Talent Rating: 464.30
2021 Talent Rating: 448.77

Blue Chip Ratio: 0% (#Team not found for the given year.)

Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 441.19
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 598.22




YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/07Troy37Arkansas State3TroyTroy -15.5Troy52.0Under
202211/26Arkansas State19Troy48TroyTroy -13.5Troy43.5Over
202010/31Arkansas State10Troy38TroyArkansas State -3.5Troy0
201909/28Troy43Arkansas State50Arkansas StateTroy -7Arkansas State59.5Over
201712/02Arkansas State25Troy32TroyArkansas State -1Troy60.0Under
201611/17Troy3Arkansas State35Arkansas StateTroy -8.5Arkansas State53.5Under
201309/12Arkansas State41Troy34Arkansas StateArkansas State -10Troy0
201211/17Troy34Arkansas State41Arkansas State
201112/03Arkansas State45Troy14Arkansas State
201009/25Troy35Arkansas State28Troy
200909/26Arkansas State27Troy30Troy
200812/06Troy35Arkansas State9Troy
200710/27Arkansas State0Troy27Troy
200611/18Troy26Arkansas State33Arkansas State
200511/12Arkansas State9Troy3Arkansas State
200410/16Arkansas State13Troy9Arkansas State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Troy852 Overs
Arkansas State823 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 91 - 61 - 50 - 1
Road Teams9 - 76 - 11 - 05 - 1
(#Team not found for the given year.) Arkansas State Info
Arkansas State has won 3 straight
Arkansas State has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 4 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

Arkansas State is 3 - 1 in last 4 games (1 at Home, 3 on Road)
Last 4 Games: 27 - 29
Last 3 Road Games: 30 - 30

Arkansas State Defense has a top Success Rate on Pass Downs(#)

Arkansas State has a great TO Margin (#)
Arkansas State Kick Return team is explosive (#)
Arkansas State Punt Return team is explosive (#)


Arkansas State Deficiencies
Arkansas State has a bad Offensive Power Success (#)
Arkansas State has a bad Offense Scoring Opp Rate (#)
Arkansas State Defense Doesn't Pick off a Lot of Passes (#)
Arkansas State has a bad Defensive Power Success (#)
Arkansas State Defense has a bad Havoc Rate (#)
Arkansas State Secondary has a bad Havoc Rate (#)

Rematch from Week 6
Troy -15.5 (52.0)
Troy won vs Arkansas State this year (37-3)

Previous Matchups
Troy beat Arkansas State last year (37-3)
Troy beat Arkansas State in 2022 (48-19)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Veterans Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 78° - Wind: 14 mph

Depth Charts
Arkansas State | Troy
(#Team not found for the given year.) Troy Info
Troy has won 2 straight
Troy has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 1 (3 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)

Troy is 2 - 2 in last 4 games (1 at Home, 3 on Road)
Last 4 Games: 29 - 6
Last 1 Home Games: 37 - 3

Troy Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Troy Defense has a good overall Success Rate (#)
Troy Defense limits Explosive Plays (#)
Troy has a top Defense vs Opp Scoring Opp (#)
Troy Defense has a top Success Rate vs the Run (#)
Troy has a top Defensive Power Success (#)
Troy Defensive Line is very good vs the Run (#)
Troy Front 7 has a top Havoc Rate (#)
Troy Defense limits Explosive Pass Plays (#)

Troy Defense Recovers a lot of Fumbles (#)
Troy Offense throws very few Interceptions (#)


Troy Deficiencies
Troy Fumbles a Lot (#)
Troy Does Not Stuff Runs (#)
Troy Secondary has a bad Havoc Rate (#)


Arkansas State's Head Coach Butch Jones
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jaylen Raynor16628558%25431778.9
JT Shrout245147%227024.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ja'Quez Cross12871675.666
Zak Wallace12657564.641
Jaylen Raynor12338053.162
Cedric Hawkins3115625.028
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Corey Rucker36705219.668
Courtney Jackson39689717.760
Jeff Foreman28540419.346
Reagan Ealy19198110.433
Troy's Head Coach Jon Sumrall
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Gunnar Watson26743861%35572768.1
Will Crowder91369%94107.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kimani Vidal2961662145.669
Damien Taylor6734615.245
Asa Martin2511404.616
Jarris Williams146914.925
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jabre Barber74994513.452
Chris Lewis327341022.964
Deshon Stoudemire43563113.151
Devonte Ross40428310.738