Nevada at Texas State Game Matchup
Nevada's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Nevada at USC+37.563.5L 14 - 66
Sat 9/9 Nevada vs Idaho+5.551.0L 6 - 33
Sat 9/16 Nevada vs Kansas+28.558.0L 24 - 31
Sat 9/23 Nevada at Texas State+17.060.0L 24 - 35
Sat 9/30 Nevada at Fresno State+25.550.5L 9 - 27
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Nevada vs UNLV+7.551.5L 27 - 45
Sat 10/21 Nevada at San Diego State+11.048.5W 6 - 0
Sat 10/28 Nevada vs New Mexico+1.050.0W 34 - 24
Sat 11/4 Nevada vs Hawai'i-3.550.5L 14 - 27
Sat 11/11 Nevada at Utah State+14.554.5L 24 - 41
Sat 11/18 Nevada at Colorado State+12.545.5L 20 - 30
Sat 11/25 Nevada vs Wyoming+11.042.0L 6 - 42
Texas State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Texas State at Baylor+26.558.5W 42 - 31
Sat 9/9 Texas State at UT San Antonio+13.566.5L 13 - 20
Sat 9/16 Texas State vs Jackson State-17.561.5W 77 - 34
Sat 9/23 Texas State vs Nevada-17.060.0W 35 - 24
Sat 9/30 Texas State at Southern Mississippi-6.560.0W 50 - 36
Sat 10/7 Texas State at Louisiana+1.067.5L 30 - 34
Sat 10/14 Texas State vs Louisiana Monroe-18.564.5W 21 - 20
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Texas State vs Troy+6.553.0L 13 - 31
Sat 11/4 Texas State vs Georgia Southern+2.069.0W 45 - 24
Sat 11/11 Texas State at Coastal Carolina-2.555.5L 23 - 31
Sat 11/18 Texas State at Arkansas State-3.559.5L 31 - 77
Sat 11/25 Texas State vs South Alabama+6.557.0W 52 - 44
Tue 12/26 Texas State vs Rice-3.558.5W 45 - 21
NEV's OC Derek Sage vs TXST's DC Jonathan Patke     TXST's OC Mack Leftwich vs NEV's DC Kwame Agyeman
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NEV Offense1217.316.235.4%2.541.7173001251753.455%45%39%32%22%.04
TXST Defense1332.829.540.4%3.71.7 - - - - - 50%49%39%42%19%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TXST Offense1336.740.546.7%4.551.8244591882714.651%48%46%48%15%.29
NEV Defense1233.433.246.5%3.831.3 - - - - - 51%48%47%47%14%.24

 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NEV Offense1255% (33)39% (116)36.9124.83.414 (106).08 (107)2.67 (127)55% (114)16% (132)0.98 (133)
TXST Defense1350% (69)39% (37) - - - - .12 (56)2.87 (28)54% (73)14% (3)1.21 (6)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TXST Offense1351% (56)46% (36)40.5187.84.633 (8).24 (21)3.19 (53)78% (24)11% (31)1.13 (84)
NEV Defense1251% (81)47% (110) - - - - .19 (97)3.28 (107)67% (48)9% (30)1.07 (99)

 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDsIntsPassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NEV Offense1245% (102)32% (132)15.928.8175.26.1116 (133)12 (85).02 (132)1.5 (88)34% (107)26% (109).06 (132)6% (89)1.7 (130)
TXST Defense1349% (68)42% (77) - - - - - - 11 (53).27 (66)1.7 (109)36% (10)36% (123).42 (113)5% (117)2 (47)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDsIntsPassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TXST Offense1348% (73)48% (15)22.133270.98.212.324 (41)9 (40).36 (36)1.5 (97)32% (63)36% (22).47 (24)4% (8)2 (80)
NEV Defense1248% (52)47% (126) - - - - - - 9 (87).32 (99)1.6 (83)30% (102)30% (68).28 (50)5% (99)2 (37)

 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Nevada1230:1916.730%43%6.858.51.71.341.3326.8
Texas State1329:0423.944%66%7.2681.81.77.72.6429.1
Nevada's Power Ratings
Nevada's Power Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Nevada's Performance Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Nevada's Offense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Nevada's Defense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Nevada's Team Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

Nevada's SP+ Ratings
Nevada's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.4 (#131)
Nevada's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.2 (#129)
Nevada's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.0 (#127)

Mountain West's Avg 2023 SP+ Rating: -7.9
Mountain West's Avg 2023 SP+ Offense Rating: 23.3
Mountain West's Avg 2023 SP+ Defense Rating: 31.2

Nevada's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.4 (#131)
Nevada's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.4 (#127)
Nevada's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.6 (#67)

Nevada's 2023 Expected Record: -
Power Ratings Matchup
Nevada:    Texas State: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Nevada: -22.4   Texas State: -4.0

Performance Ratings Matchup
Nevada:    Texas State:

Team Ratings Matchup
Nevada:    Texas State:




Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: 2 (#Team not found for the given year.)
Texas State's Performance Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Texas State's Offense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Texas State's Defense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Texas State's Team Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

Texas State's SP+ Ratings
Texas State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0 (#79)
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.6 (#47)
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.7 (#114)

Sun Belt's Avg 2023 SP+ Rating: -4.5
Sun Belt's Avg 2023 SP+ Offense Rating: 25.2
Sun Belt's Avg 2023 SP+ Defense Rating: 29.6

Texas State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0 (#79)
Texas State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.5 (#102)
Texas State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.0 (#119)

Texas State's 2023 Expected Record: -
Nevada Scoring
Offense: 17.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.2
Defense: 33.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.2

Nevada's 2023 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Nevada Roster Talent
2023 Talent Rating: 470.32
2023 Talent Rating: 470.32
2022 Talent Rating: 416.44
2021 Talent Rating: 421.64

Blue Chip Ratio: 0% (#Team not found for the given year.)

Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 444.14
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 598.22
Projected Score
Texas State 35.1
Nevada 25.1


Projected Total Points: 60

Based on Entire Season
Nevada
Texas State

Total Points:
Texas State Scoring
Offense: 36.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 40.5
Defense: 32.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.5

Texas State's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Texas State Roster Talent
2023 Talent Rating: 484.79
2023 Talent Rating: 484.79
2022 Talent Rating: 464.66
2021 Talent Rating: 428.48

Blue Chip Ratio: 0% (#Team not found for the given year.)

Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 441.19
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 598.22




YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/23Texas State35Nevada24Texas StateTexas State -17Nevada60.0Under
202209/03Nevada38Texas State14NevadaTexas State -2Nevada51.5Over
201209/29Texas State21Nevada34Nevada
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Texas State101 Overs
Nevada221 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 11 - 10 - 11 - 0
Road Teams1 - 21 - 10 - 11 - 0
(#Team not found for the given year.) Nevada Info
Nevada has lost 3 straight
Nevada has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 5 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Nevada is 0 - 4 in last 4 games (2 at Home, 2 on Road)
Last 4 Games: 19 - 24

Last 2 Road Games: 8 - 14

Nevada Does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#)

Nevada has a top Defensive Power Success (#)


Nevada Deficiencies
Nevada has a really bad Offense
Nevada has a really bad 3rd Down Conversion Rate (#)
Nevada Can Not Run the Ball (#)
Nevada has a bad Offense Success Rate (#)
Nevada is Not an Explosive Offense (#)
Nevada has a bad Offensive Power Success (#)
Nevada has a bad Offense Scoring Opp Rate (#)
Nevada has a bad Offense Pass Downs Success Rate (#)
Nevada has a bad Offense Run Success Rate (#)
Nevada has a bad Offense Pass Success Rate (#)
Nevada has a really bad 3rd Down Conversion Rate
Nevada Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Nevada does not Sack the QB (#)
Nevada has a bad Defense Success Rate (#)
Nevada Gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#)
Nevada has a bad Run Game Defensive Line (#)
Nevada Defense has a bad Havoc Rate (#)
Nevada has a bad Defense Run Success Rate (#)
Nevada Gives up a Lot of Explosive Run Plays (#)
Nevada has a bad Defense Pass Success Rate (#)

Rematch from Week 4
Texas State -17.0 (60.0)
Texas State won vs Nevada this year (35-24)

Previous Matchups
Texas State beat Nevada last year (35-24)
Nevada beat Texas State in 2022 (38-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 96° - Wind: 11 mph

Depth Charts
Nevada | Texas State
(#Team not found for the given year.) Texas State Info
Texas State has won 1 straight
Texas State has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 5 - 1 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

Texas State is 2 - 2 in last 4 games (2 at Home, 2 on Road)
Last 4 Games: 29 - 30

Last 2 Home Games: 17 - 26

Texas State has Really Good Running Game (#)
Texas State Offense has a good overall Success Rate (#)
Texas State Offense is good in Scoring Position (#)
Texas State Offense has a good Passing Game Success Rate (#)

Texas State Offense has a good Success Rate on Pass Downs (#)
Texas State has a good 4th Down Conversion Rate

Texas State Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Texas State has a top Defensive Power Success (#)
Texas State Defensive Line is very good vs the Run (#)
Texas State Front 7 has a top Havoc Rate (#)

Texas State Defense Recovers a lot of Fumbles (#)
Texas State Kick Return team is explosive (#)


Texas State Deficiencies
Texas State has a bad TO Margin (#)
Texas State Fumbles a Lot (#)
Texas State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#)
Texas State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Texas State Gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#)
Texas State Does Not Stuff Runs (#)
Texas State Secondary has a bad Havoc Rate (#)
Texas State has a bad Defense Pass Downs Success Rate (#)
Texas State Gives up a Lot of Explosive Run Plays (#)
Texas State Gives up a Lot of Explosive Pass Plays (#)




Nevada's Head Coach Ken Wilson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brendon Lewis13123656%1313265.6
AJ Bianco458255%614457.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Sean Dollars15152763.533
Brendon Lewis12049544.131
AJ Bianco4218314.428
Jamaal Bell3211413.631
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Dalevon Campbell31594219.253
Spencer Curtis30373112.473
John Jackson III3526707.633
Jamaal Bell3226218.277
Texas State's Head Coach G. J. Kinne
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
TJ Finley27941467%34392488.3
Malik Hornsby81553%83015.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ismail Mahdi2231331106.065
Donerio Davenport9146125.143
Malik Hornsby3522966.531
Jahmyl Jeter4117394.229
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Joey Hobert76895811.883
Ashtyn Hawkins55874315.948
Kole Wilson66747811.377
Ismail Mahdi20275113.889