Texas State at Southern Mississippi Game Matchup
Texas State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Texas State at Baylor+26.558.5W 42 - 31
Sat 9/9 Texas State at UT San Antonio+13.566.5L 13 - 20
Sat 9/16 Texas State vs Jackson State-17.561.5W 77 - 34
Sat 9/23 Texas State vs Nevada-17.060.0W 35 - 24
Sat 9/30 Texas State at Southern Mississippi-6.560.0W 50 - 36
Sat 10/7 Texas State at Louisiana+1.067.5L 30 - 34
Sat 10/14 Texas State vs Louisiana Monroe-18.564.5W 21 - 20
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Texas State vs Troy+6.553.0L 13 - 31
Sat 11/4 Texas State vs Georgia Southern+2.069.0W 45 - 24
Sat 11/11 Texas State at Coastal Carolina-2.555.5L 23 - 31
Sat 11/18 Texas State at Arkansas State-3.559.5L 31 - 77
Sat 11/25 Texas State vs South Alabama+6.557.0W 52 - 44
Tue 12/26 Texas State vs Rice-3.558.5W 45 - 21
TXST's OC Mack Leftwich vs USM's DC Dan O'Brien     USM's OC Sam Gregg vs TXST's DC Jonathan Patke
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TXST Offense1336.731.546.7%4.551.8244591882714.651%48%46%48%15%.29
USM Defense1235.82442.2%4.151.4 - - - - - 53%46%41%45%16%.24
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USM Offense1223.222.236.7%3.071.320354163191453%46%40%34%20%.12
TXST Defense1332.838.240.4%3.71.7 - - - - - 50%49%39%42%19%.18

 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TXST Offense1351% (56)46% (36)40.5187.84.633 (8).24 (21)3.19 (53)78% (24)11% (31)1.13 (84)
USM Defense1253% (106)41% (49) - - - - .22 (109)3.21 (94)67% (60)10% (30)1.24 (76)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USM Offense1253% (41)40% (106)40.5163.4416 (89).13 (80)2.89 (107)67% (77)12% (109)1.11 (109)
TXST Defense1350% (69)39% (37) - - - - .12 (56)2.87 (28)54% (73)14% (3)1.21 (6)

 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDsIntsPassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TXST Offense1348% (73)48% (15)22.133270.98.212.324 (41)9 (40).36 (36)1.5 (97)32% (63)36% (22).47 (24)4% (8)2 (80)
USM Defense1246% (27)45% (109) - - - - - - 9 (87).32 (101)1.7 (101)31% (93)33% (103).4 (106)6% (63)2.3 (123)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDsIntsPassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USM Offense1246% (92)34% (126)15.730.4190.76.312.215 (96)8 (30).14 (114)1.7 (26)36% (126)28% (87).34 (67)8% (117)2.1 (49)
TXST Defense1349% (68)42% (77) - - - - - - 11 (53).27 (66)1.7 (109)36% (10)36% (123).42 (113)5% (117)2 (47)

 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas State1329:0423.944%66%7.2681.81.77.72.6429.1
Southern Mississippi1233:1520.338%44%6.348.21.31.44.52.1228
Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Texas State's Performance Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Texas State's Offense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Texas State's Defense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Texas State's Team Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

Texas State's SP+ Ratings
Texas State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0 (#79)
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.6 (#47)
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.7 (#114)

Sun Belt's Avg 2023 SP+ Rating: -4.5
Sun Belt's Avg 2023 SP+ Offense Rating: 25.2
Sun Belt's Avg 2023 SP+ Defense Rating: 29.6

Texas State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0 (#79)
Texas State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.5 (#102)
Texas State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.0 (#119)

Texas State's 2023 Expected Record: -
Power Ratings Matchup
Texas State:    Southern Mississippi: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas State: -4.0   Southern Mississippi: -15.2

Performance Ratings Matchup
Texas State:    Southern Mississippi:

Team Ratings Matchup
Texas State:    Southern Mississippi:




Southern Mississippi's Power Ratings
Southern Mississippi's Power Rating: 2 (#Team not found for the given year.)
Southern Mississippi's Performance Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Southern Mississippi's Offense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Southern Mississippi's Defense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Southern Mississippi's Team Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

Southern Mississippi's SP+ Ratings
Southern Mississippi's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.2 (#118)
Southern Mississippi's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0 (#85)
Southern Mississippi's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 (#125)

Sun Belt's Avg 2023 SP+ Rating: -4.5
Sun Belt's Avg 2023 SP+ Offense Rating: 25.2
Sun Belt's Avg 2023 SP+ Defense Rating: 29.6

Southern Mississippi's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.2 (#118)
Southern Mississippi's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.5 (#80)
Southern Mississippi's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.2 (#117)

Southern Mississippi's 2023 Expected Record: -
Texas State Scoring
Offense: 36.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.5
Defense: 32.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.2

Texas State's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Texas State Roster Talent
2023 Talent Rating: 484.79
2023 Talent Rating: 484.79
2022 Talent Rating: 464.66
2021 Talent Rating: 428.48

Blue Chip Ratio: 0% (#Team not found for the given year.)

Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 441.19
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 598.22
Projected Score
Texas State 36.3
Southern Mississippi 28


Projected Total Points: 64

Based on Entire Season
Texas State
Southern Mississippi

Total Points:
Southern Mississippi Scoring
Offense: 23.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 22.2
Defense: 35.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 24

Southern Mississippi's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0

Southern Mississippi Roster Talent
2023 Talent Rating: 425.21
2023 Talent Rating: 425.21
2022 Talent Rating: 478.97
2021 Talent Rating: 465.94

Blue Chip Ratio: 0% (#Team not found for the given year.)

Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 441.19
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 598.22




YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/30Southern Mississippi36Texas State50Texas StateTexas State -6.5Texas State60.0Over
202210/22Texas State14Southern Mississippi20Southern MississippiSouthern Mississippi -2.5Southern Mississippi43.0Under
201509/19Texas State50Southern Mississippi56Southern MississippiTexas State -2Southern Mississippi67.0Over
201308/31Southern Mississippi15Texas State22Texas StateSouthern Mississippi -9.5Texas State0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Southern Mississippi222 Overs
Texas State221 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 40 - 40 - 20 - 2
Road Teams4 - 04 - 02 - 02 - 0
(#Team not found for the given year.) Texas State Info
Texas State has won 2 straight
Texas State has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 4 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

Texas State is 3 - 1 in last 4 games (2 at Home, 2 on Road)
Last 4 Games: 29 - 30

Last 2 Road Games: 40 - 35

Texas State has Really Good Running Game (#)
Texas State Offense has a good overall Success Rate (#)
Texas State Offense is good in Scoring Position (#)
Texas State Offense has a good Passing Game Success Rate (#)

Texas State Offense has a good Success Rate on Pass Downs (#)
Texas State has a good 4th Down Conversion Rate

Texas State Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Texas State has a top Defensive Power Success (#)
Texas State Defensive Line is very good vs the Run (#)
Texas State Front 7 has a top Havoc Rate (#)

Texas State Defense Recovers a lot of Fumbles (#)
Texas State Kick Return team is explosive (#)


Texas State Deficiencies
Texas State has a bad TO Margin (#)
Texas State Fumbles a Lot (#)
Texas State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#)
Texas State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Texas State Gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#)
Texas State Does Not Stuff Runs (#)
Texas State Secondary has a bad Havoc Rate (#)
Texas State has a bad Defense Pass Downs Success Rate (#)
Texas State Gives up a Lot of Explosive Run Plays (#)
Texas State Gives up a Lot of Explosive Pass Plays (#)

Rematch from Week 5
Texas State 6.5 (60.0)
Texas State won at Southern Mississippi this year (50-36)

Previous Matchups
Texas State beat Southern Mississippi last year (50-36)
Southern Mississippi beat Texas State in 2022 (20-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in M. M. Roberts Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 85°
Depth Charts
Texas State | Southern Mississippi
(#Team not found for the given year.) Southern Mississippi Info
Southern Mississippi has lost 3 straight
Southern Mississippi has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 4 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)

Southern Mississippi is 1 - 3 in last 4 games (2 at Home, 2 on Road)
Last 4 Games: 23 - 43

Last 2 Home Games: 25 - 34

Southern Mississippi has an Explosive Offense (#)

Southern Mississippi Does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#)

Southern Mississippi has a top Defensive Power Success (#)

Southern Mississippi Offense throws very few Interceptions (#)
Southern Mississippi Kick Return team is explosive (#)
Southern Mississippi Punt Return team is explosive (#)


Southern Mississippi Deficiencies
Southern Mississippi has a bad Offense Success Rate (#)
Southern Mississippi has a bad Offensive Power Success (#)
Southern Mississippi has a bad Offense Scoring Opp Rate (#)
Southern Mississippi has a bad Offense Run Success Rate (#)
Southern Mississippi has a bad Offense Pass Success Rate (#)
Southern Mississippi Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Southern Mississippi Gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#)
Southern Mississippi has a bad Defense Scoring Opp Rate (#)
Southern Mississippi has a bad Defense Pass Downs Success Rate (#)
Southern Mississippi Gives up a Lot of Explosive Run Plays (#)
Southern Mississippi has a bad Defense Pass Success Rate (#)
Southern Mississippi Gives up a Lot of Explosive Pass Plays (#)








Texas State's Head Coach G. J. Kinne
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
TJ Finley27941467%34392488.3
Malik Hornsby81553%83015.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ismail Mahdi2231331106.065
Donerio Davenport9146125.143
Malik Hornsby3522966.531
Jahmyl Jeter4117394.229
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Joey Hobert76895811.883
Ashtyn Hawkins55874315.948
Kole Wilson66747811.377
Ismail Mahdi20275113.889
Southern Mississippi's Head Coach Will Hall
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Billy Wiles15829055%19161176.6
Ethan Crawford193850%246306.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Frank Gore Jr.2311131104.975
Rodrigues Clark7642925.659
Kenyon Clay4017914.528
Ethan Crawford429612.316
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jakarius Caston33621618.880
Latreal Jones36498313.843
Tiaquelin Mims39445211.437
Frank Gore Jr.2722138.233