Arkansas State vs Northern Illinois Game Matchup
ARST's OC Keith Heckendorf vs NIU's DC Nick Benedetto     NIU's OC Eric Eidsness vs ARST's DC Rob Harley
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARST Offense1327.120.741.6%3.211203741482254.250%49%43%41%16%.17
NIU Defense132113.740.7%3.41.2 - - - - - 56%43%44%37%13%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NIU Offense1324.918.242.4%3.41.419370180190554%46%45%40%15%.21
ARST Defense1330.436.342.3%4.051.2 - - - - - 50%49%44%41%15%.25

 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARST Offense1350% (72)43% (71)35.3148.24.220 (61).16 (66)3.12 (65)69% (80)9% (104)1.05 (58)
NIU Defense1356% (122)44% (84) - - - - .14 (69)3.29 (108)83% (114)8% (118)0.94 (114)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NIU Offense1354% (39)45% (45)35.8179.8523 (46).21 (36)3.21 (50)77% (37)9% (36)1.08 (47)
ARST Defense1350% (65)44% (80) - - - - .17 (88)3.09 (66)85% (81)10% (124)1.01 (71)

 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDsIntsPassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARST Offense1349% (65)41% (80)1628.5225.57.914.117 (85)9 (40).24 (83)1.7 (40)31% (59)31% (68).28 (88)6% (87)2.1 (53)
NIU Defense1343% (12)37% (21) - - - - - - 10 (67).17 (18)1.4 (14)32% (66)24% (9).29 (55)5% (115)2.2 (109)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDsIntsPassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NIU Offense1346% (95)40% (85)16.228.2189.86.711.715 (96)9 (40).26 (75)1.5 (96)32% (64)26% (106).29 (83)6% (63)2.3 (16)
ARST Defense1349% (73)41% (59) - - - - - - 8 (100).34 (105)1.6 (59)31% (83)24% (11).3 (66)5% (111)2.2 (116)

 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arkansas State1326:1719.836%35%6.260.911.26.21.8430.4
Northern Illinois1331:3018.742%50%4.539.81.41.24.11.7127.5
Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Arkansas State's Performance Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Arkansas State's Team Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

Arkansas State's SP+ Ratings
Arkansas State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.5 (#92)
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.7 (#72)
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.5 (#108)

Sun Belt's Avg 2023 SP+ Rating: -4.5
Sun Belt's Avg 2023 SP+ Offense Rating: 25.2
Sun Belt's Avg 2023 SP+ Defense Rating: 29.6

Arkansas State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.5 (#92)
Arkansas State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.0 (#107)
Arkansas State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.9 (#120)

Arkansas State's 2023 Expected Record: -
Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State:    Northern Illinois:

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: -7.5   Northern Illinois: -6.7

Performance Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State:    Northern Illinois:

Team Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State:    Northern Illinois:




Northern Illinois's Power Ratings
Northern Illinois's Power Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Northern Illinois's Performance Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Northern Illinois's Offense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Northern Illinois's Defense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Northern Illinois's Team Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

Northern Illinois's SP+ Ratings
Northern Illinois's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.7 (#85)
Northern Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.4 (#109)
Northern Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 (#47)

Mid-American's Avg 2023 SP+ Rating: -12.5
Mid-American's Avg 2023 SP+ Offense Rating: 17.2
Mid-American's Avg 2023 SP+ Defense Rating: 29.6

Northern Illinois's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.7 (#85)
Northern Illinois's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -18.8 (#124)
Northern Illinois's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.1 (#98)

Northern Illinois's 2023 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.7
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.3

Arkansas State's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0

Arkansas State Roster Talent
2023 Talent Rating: 487.40
2023 Talent Rating: 487.40
2022 Talent Rating: 471.65
2021 Talent Rating: 475.74

Blue Chip Ratio: 0% (#Team not found for the given year.)

Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 441.19
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 598.22
Projected Score
Northern Illinois 27.7
Arkansas State 24.1


Projected Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
Arkansas State
Northern Illinois

Total Points:
Northern Illinois Scoring
Offense: 24.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.2
Defense: 21 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.7

Northern Illinois's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Northern Illinois Roster Talent
2023 Talent Rating: 352.36
2023 Talent Rating: 352.36
2022 Talent Rating: 409.86
2021 Talent Rating: 354.21

Blue Chip Ratio: 0% (#Team not found for the given year.)

Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 385.66
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 598.22




YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202312/23Northern Illinois21Arkansas State19Northern IllinoisArkansas State -2.5Northern Illinois54.0Under
201101/08Northern Illinois38Arkansas State20Northern Illinois
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Northern Illinois210 Overs
Arkansas State001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0
Road Teams0 - 20 - 10 - 10 - 0
Arkansas State Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2023Camellia Bowl Arkansas State vs Northern Illinois-2.554.0L 19 - 21
2019Camellia Bowl Arkansas State vs Florida International+1.560.0W 34 - 26
2018N/A Arkansas State vs Nevada+1.556.5L 13 - 16
2017Camellia Bowl Arkansas State vs Middle Tennessee-3.561.0L 30 - 35
Northern Illinois Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2023Camellia Bowl Northern Illinois vs Arkansas State+2.554.0W 21 - 19
2021Cure Bowl Northern Illinois vs Coastal Carolina+11.063.0L 41 - 47
2018Raton Bowl Northern Illinois vs UAB+1.041.5L 13 - 37
2017Lane Bowl Northern Illinois vs Duke+4.548.0L 14 - 36
  
(#Team not found for the given year.) Arkansas State Info
Arkansas State has played in 3 Bowls in the last 5 years (1 - 2)
Arkansas State has played in 11 Bowls since 2000 (4 - 7)

Arkansas State is 2 - 2 in last 4 games (1 at Home, 3 on Road)
Last 4 Games: 27 - 29


Arkansas State Defense has a top Success Rate on Pass Downs(#)

Arkansas State has a great TO Margin (#)
Arkansas State Kick Return team is explosive (#)
Arkansas State Punt Return team is explosive (#)


Arkansas State Deficiencies
Arkansas State has a really bad Offense Away from Home
Arkansas State has a bad Offensive Power Success (#)
Arkansas State has a bad Offense Scoring Opp Rate (#)
Arkansas State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points Away from home
Arkansas State Defense Doesn't Pick off a Lot of Passes (#)
Arkansas State has a bad Defensive Power Success (#)
Arkansas State Defense has a bad Havoc Rate (#)
Arkansas State Secondary has a bad Havoc Rate (#)

Rematch from Week 1
Arkansas State 2.5 (54.0)
Northern Illinois won vs Arkansas State this year (21-19)

Previous Matchups
Northern Illinois beat Arkansas State last year (21-19)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Cramton Bowl
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 64° - Wind: 6 mph

Depth Charts
Arkansas State | Northern Illinois
(#Team not found for the given year.) Northern Illinois Info
Northern Illinois has played in 3 Bowls in the last 5 years (1 - 2)
Northern Illinois has played in 14 Bowls since 2000 (4 - 10)

Northern Illinois is 2 - 2 in last 4 games (2 at Home, 2 on Road)
Last 4 Games: 33 - 19


Northern Illinois has a good 4th Down Conversion Rate
Northern Illinois Defense limits Explosive Plays (#)
Northern Illinois Defense has a top Success Rate vs the Pass (#)
Northern Illinois Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#)
Northern Illinois Defense has a top Success Rate on Pass Downs(#)
Northern Illinois Defense limits Explosive Pass Plays (#)

Northern Illinois commits very few Penalties (#)
Northern Illinois Punt Return team is explosive (#)


Northern Illinois Deficiencies
Northern Illinois has a bad Offense Scoring Opp Rate (#)
Northern Illinois has a bad Offense Pass Downs Success Rate (#)
Northern Illinois has a bad Defensive Power Success (#)
Northern Illinois has a bad Run Game Defensive Line (#)
Northern Illinois Defense has a bad Havoc Rate (#)
Northern Illinois Front 7 has a bad Havoc Rate (#)
Northern Illinois Secondary has a bad Havoc Rate (#)


Arkansas State's Head Coach Butch Jones
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jaylen Raynor16628558%25431778.9
JT Shrout245147%227024.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ja'Quez Cross12871675.666
Zak Wallace12657564.641
Jaylen Raynor12338053.162
Cedric Hawkins3115625.028
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Corey Rucker36705219.668
Courtney Jackson39689717.760
Jeff Foreman28540419.346
Reagan Ealy19198110.433
Northern Illinois's Head Coach Thomas Hammock
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Rocky Lombardi18932758%22741177.0
Ethan Hampton193358%147224.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Antario Brown2121294106.180
Gavin Williams9548835.153
Trayvon Rudolph2218218.336
Rocky Lombardi7213171.833
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Trayvon Rudolph51531210.472
Grayson Barnes23422518.358
Kacper Rutkiewicz20313215.764
Davis Patterson16197012.328