Arkansas State at UMass Game Matchup
UMass's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/26 UMass at New Mexico State+7.045.5W 41 - 30
Sat 9/2 UMass at Auburn+35.052.0L 14 - 59
Sat 9/9 UMass vs Miami (OH)+7.045.0L 28 - 41
Sat 9/16 UMass at Eastern Michigan+7.050.0L 17 - 19
Sat 9/23 UMass vs New Mexico-3.548.5L 31 - 34
Sat 9/30 UMass vs Arkansas State-2.555.5L 28 - 52
Sat 10/7 UMass vs Toledo+19.055.5L 24 - 41
Sat 10/14 UMass at Penn State+42.055.0L 0 - 63
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 UMass at Army+10.049.5W 21 - 14
Sat 11/4 UMass vs Merrimack-16.557.5W 31 - 21
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18 UMass at Liberty+26.564.5L 25 - 49
Sat 11/25 UMass vs Connecticut-2.551.0L 18 - 31
ARST's OC Keith Heckendorf vs UMASS's DC Keith Dudzinski     UMASS's OC Steve Casula vs ARST's DC Rob Harley
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARST Offense1327.120.741.6%3.211203741482254.250%49%43%41%16%.17
UMASS Defense1237.836.748.5%4.311.2 - - - - - 58%42%53%43%15%.31
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UMASS Offense1223.226.742%3.731.4183561422144.451%48%45%40%21%.18
ARST Defense1330.436.342.3%4.051.2 - - - - - 50%49%44%41%15%.25

 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARST Offense1350% (72)43% (71)35.3148.24.220 (61).16 (66)3.12 (65)69% (80)9% (104)1.05 (58)
UMASS Defense1258% (130)53% (131) - - - - .34 (131)3.83 (133)85% (123)9% (123)1 (89)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UMASS Offense1251% (59)45% (47)32.5142.24.419 (69).25 (18)3.35 (21)62% (87)14% (125)1.14 (127)
ARST Defense1350% (65)44% (80) - - - - .17 (88)3.09 (66)85% (81)10% (124)1.01 (71)

 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDsIntsPassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARST Offense1349% (65)41% (80)1628.5225.57.914.117 (85)9 (40).24 (83)1.7 (40)31% (59)31% (68).28 (88)6% (87)2.1 (53)
UMASS Defense1242% (4)43% (92) - - - - - - 8 (100).31 (94)1.8 (122)29% (121)37% (125).47 (124)6% (90)1.9 (30)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDsIntsPassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UMASS Offense1248% (76)40% (86)17.729214.17.412.114 (106)11 (68).18 (99)1.5 (85)32% (62)33% (50).43 (35)7% (109)2.2 (36)
ARST Defense1349% (73)41% (59) - - - - - - 8 (100).34 (105)1.6 (59)31% (83)24% (11).3 (66)5% (111)2.2 (116)

 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arkansas State1326:1719.836%35%6.260.911.26.21.8430.4
UMass1229:4517.836%23%870.91.41.24.51.5226.5
Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Arkansas State's Performance Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Arkansas State's Team Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

Arkansas State's SP+ Ratings
Arkansas State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.5 (#92)
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.7 (#72)
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.5 (#108)

Sun Belt's Avg 2023 SP+ Rating: -4.5
Sun Belt's Avg 2023 SP+ Offense Rating: 25.2
Sun Belt's Avg 2023 SP+ Defense Rating: 29.6

Arkansas State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.5 (#92)
Arkansas State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.0 (#107)
Arkansas State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.9 (#120)

Arkansas State's 2023 Expected Record: -
Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State:    UMass: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: -7.5   UMass: -17.7

Performance Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State:    UMass:

Team Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State:    UMass:




UMass's Power Ratings
UMass's Power Rating: 2 (#Team not found for the given year.)
UMass's Performance Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
UMass's Offense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
UMass's Defense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
UMass's Team Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

UMass's SP+ Ratings
UMass's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.7 (#125)
UMass's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 (#99)
UMass's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.4 (#124)

FBS Independents's Avg 2023 SP+ Rating: -7.8
FBS Independents's Avg 2023 SP+ Offense Rating: 20.4
FBS Independents's Avg 2023 SP+ Defense Rating: 28.1

UMass's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.7 (#125)
UMass's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -30.3 (#133)
UMass's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -29.3 (#131)

UMass's 2023 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.7
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.3

Arkansas State's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Arkansas State Roster Talent
2023 Talent Rating: 487.40
2023 Talent Rating: 487.40
2022 Talent Rating: 471.65
2021 Talent Rating: 475.74

Blue Chip Ratio: 0% (#Team not found for the given year.)

Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 441.19
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 598.22
Projected Score
Arkansas State 32.5
UMass 26.8

Projected Total Points: 59

Based on Entire Season
Arkansas State
UMass

Total Points:
UMass Scoring
Offense: 23.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.7
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 36.7

UMass's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0

UMass Roster Talent
2023 Talent Rating: 565.65
2023 Talent Rating: 565.65
2022 Talent Rating: 292.14
2021 Talent Rating: 227.21

Blue Chip Ratio: 0% (#Team not found for the given year.)

Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 640.43
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 598.22




YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/30UMass28Arkansas State52Arkansas StateUMass -2.5Arkansas State55.5Over
202211/12Arkansas State35UMass33Arkansas StateArkansas State -17UMass49.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UMass012 Overs
Arkansas State210 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 10 - 20 - 20 - 0
Road Teams1 - 12 - 00 - 02 - 0
(#Team not found for the given year.) Arkansas State Info
Arkansas State has won 2 straight
Arkansas State has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 4 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

Arkansas State is 2 - 2 in last 4 games (1 at Home, 3 on Road)
Last 4 Games: 27 - 29
Last 3 Road Games: 30 - 30

Arkansas State Defense has a top Success Rate on Pass Downs(#)

Arkansas State has a great TO Margin (#)
Arkansas State Kick Return team is explosive (#)
Arkansas State Punt Return team is explosive (#)


Arkansas State Deficiencies
Arkansas State has a bad Offensive Power Success (#)
Arkansas State has a bad Offense Scoring Opp Rate (#)
Arkansas State Defense Doesn't Pick off a Lot of Passes (#)
Arkansas State has a bad Defensive Power Success (#)
Arkansas State Defense has a bad Havoc Rate (#)
Arkansas State Secondary has a bad Havoc Rate (#)

Rematch from Week 5
UMass -2.5 (55.5)
Arkansas State won at UMass this year (52-28)

Previous Matchups
Arkansas State beat UMass last year (52-28)
Arkansas State beat UMass in 2022 (35-33)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 65°
Depth Charts
Arkansas State | UMass
(#Team not found for the given year.) UMass Info
UMass has lost 4 straight
UMass has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 5 (1 - 5 - 0 vs Spread)

UMass is 0 - 4 in last 4 games (2 at Home, 2 on Road)
Last 4 Games: 18 - 43
Last 2 Home Games: 26 - 47

UMass has a top Run Game Offensive Line (#)

UMass Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#)


UMass Deficiencies
UMass has a really bad 3rd Down Conversion Rate (#)
UMass Commits a Lot of Penalties (#)
UMass has a bad Offensive Power Success (#)
UMass Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#)
UMass has a really bad 4th Down Conversion Rate
UMass Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
UMass Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
UMass does not Sack the QB (#)
UMass Defense Doesn't Pick off a Lot of Passes (#)
UMass has a bad Defense Success Rate (#)
UMass has a bad Defensive Power Success (#)
UMass has a bad Run Game Defensive Line (#)
UMass has a bad Defense Scoring Opp Rate (#)
UMass has a bad Defense Pass Downs Success Rate (#)
UMass has a bad Defense Run Success Rate (#)
UMass Gives up a Lot of Explosive Pass Plays (#)


Arkansas State's Head Coach Butch Jones
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jaylen Raynor16628558%25431778.9
JT Shrout245147%227024.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ja'Quez Cross12871675.666
Zak Wallace12657564.641
Jaylen Raynor12338053.162
Cedric Hawkins3115625.028
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Corey Rucker36705219.668
Courtney Jackson39689717.760
Jeff Foreman28540419.346
Reagan Ealy19198110.433
UMass's Head Coach Don Brown
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Taisun Phommachanh13922761%1507666.6
Carlos Davis6210161%886638.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kay'Ron Adams2361157124.947
Gregory DeRosiers3730148.160
Anthony Simpson119318.517
Ahmad Haston165403.47
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Anthony Simpson57792313.971
George Johnson35421312.032
Mark Pope33420112.754
Gino Campiotti21289413.830