Buffalo at Toledo Game Matchup
Buffalo's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Buffalo at Wisconsin+29.052.5L 17 - 38
Sat 9/9 Buffalo vs Fordham-23.555.5L 37 - 40
Sat 9/16 Buffalo vs Liberty+2.554.0L 27 - 55
Sat 9/23 Buffalo at Louisiana+10.557.5L 38 - 45
Sat 9/30 Buffalo at Akron+3.053.0W 13 - 10
Sat 10/7 Buffalo vs Central Michigan+2.551.5W 37 - 13
Sat 10/14 Buffalo vs Bowling Green-3.044.5L 14 - 24
Sat 10/21 Buffalo at Kent State-6.544.0W 24 - 6
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/31 Buffalo at Toledo+14.047.0L 13 - 31
Tue 11/7 Buffalo vs Ohio+9.545.5L 10 - 20
Wed 11/15 Buffalo at Miami (OH)+7.536.5L 10 - 23
Tue 11/21 Buffalo vs Eastern Michigan-6.538.5L 11 - 24
Toledo's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Toledo at Illinois+7.045.5L 28 - 30
Sat 9/9 Toledo vs Texas Southern-40.561.0W 71 - 3
Sat 9/16 Toledo vs San José State-9.056.5W 21 - 17
Sat 9/23 Toledo vs Western Michigan-21.552.5W 49 - 31
Sat 9/30 Toledo vs Northern Illinois-13.048.0W 35 - 33
Sat 10/7 Toledo at UMass-19.055.5W 41 - 24
Sat 10/14 Toledo at Ball State-17.548.5W 13 - 6
Sat 10/21 Toledo at Miami (OH)-2.046.5W 21 - 17
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/31 Toledo vs Buffalo-14.047.0W 31 - 13
Wed 11/8 Toledo vs Eastern Michigan-19.545.5W 49 - 23
Tue 11/14 Toledo at Bowling Green-9.548.5W 32 - 31
Fri 11/24 Toledo at Central Michigan-12.554.5W 32 - 17
Sat 12/2 Toledo vs Miami (OH)-8.546.0L 14 - 23
Sat 12/30 Toledo vs Wyoming+4.543.5L 15 - 16
BUFF's OC DJ Mangas vs TOL's DC Vince Kehres     TOL's OC Mike Hallett vs BUFF's DC Robert Wright
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUFF Offense1220.919.237.4%3.541.6173191341853.751%48%43%32%16%.03
TOL Defense1420.32038.4%3.331.3 - - - - - 51%48%41%36%17%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Offense1432.342.745.2%4.441.5204191992205.357%42%46%45%13%.28
BUFF Defense1227.425.538.7%3.551.6 - - - - - 56%43%37%42%18%.14

 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUFF Offense1251% (61)43% (67)36.3133.63.715 (100).09 (102)2.93 (102)65% (87)9% (119)0.92 (40)
TOL Defense1451% (82)41% (54) - - - - .14 (66)3.12 (72)73% (115)10% (71)0.99 (73)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Offense1457% (17)46% (38)37.4198.95.331 (17).2 (41)3.36 (20)81% (8)8% (14)1.05 (24)
BUFF Defense1256% (119)37% (25) - - - - .15 (76)2.82 (24)65% (32)12% (25)1.25 (19)

 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDsIntsPassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUFF Offense1248% (77)32% (129)17.732.8185.35.610.514 (106)11 (68).04 (130)1.5 (99)32% (68)26% (108).16 (116)8% (119)1.9 (109)
TOL Defense1448% (46)36% (14) - - - - - - 11 (53).12 (10)1.5 (43)34% (45)25% (17).2 (17)8% (16)2 (61)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDsIntsPassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Offense1442% (116)45% (37)16.626.9220.28.213.326 (31)10 (56).42 (24)1.7 (24)32% (80)32% (59).38 (52)5% (35)2 (78)
BUFF Defense1243% (13)42% (68) - - - - - - 11 (53).2 (29)1.4 (18)35% (32)28% (39).23 (30)5% (95)2 (54)

 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Buffalo1230:3217.234%37%4.841.61.61.65.71.4229.4
Toledo1427:5520.344%59%6.661.91.51.35.12.5231
Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Buffalo's Performance Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Buffalo's Offense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Buffalo's Defense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Buffalo's Team Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

Buffalo's SP+ Ratings
Buffalo's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.1 (#117)
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.3 (#125)
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 (#87)

Mid-American's Avg 2023 SP+ Rating: -12.5
Mid-American's Avg 2023 SP+ Offense Rating: 17.2
Mid-American's Avg 2023 SP+ Defense Rating: 29.6

Buffalo's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.1 (#117)
Buffalo's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.2 (#98)
Buffalo's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.5 (#104)

Buffalo's 2023 Expected Record: -
Power Ratings Matchup
Buffalo:    Toledo: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -15.1   Toledo: 4.0

Performance Ratings Matchup
Buffalo:    Toledo:

Team Ratings Matchup
Buffalo:    Toledo:




Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: 2 (#Team not found for the given year.)
Toledo's Performance Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Toledo's Offense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Toledo's Defense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Toledo's Team Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

Toledo's SP+ Ratings
Toledo's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 (#51)
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 (#65)
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1 (#35)

Mid-American's Avg 2023 SP+ Rating: -12.5
Mid-American's Avg 2023 SP+ Offense Rating: 17.2
Mid-American's Avg 2023 SP+ Defense Rating: 29.6

Toledo's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 (#51)
Toledo's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.7 (#82)
Toledo's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.9 (#56)

Toledo's 2023 Expected Record: -
Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.2
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.5

Buffalo's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Buffalo Roster Talent
2023 Talent Rating: 296.09
2023 Talent Rating: 296.09
2022 Talent Rating: 370.96
2021 Talent Rating: 267.09

Blue Chip Ratio: 0% (#Team not found for the given year.)

Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 385.66
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 598.22
Projected Score
Toledo 29.9
Buffalo 20.6


Projected Total Points: 51

Based on Entire Season
Buffalo
Toledo

Total Points:
Toledo Scoring
Offense: 32.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 42.7
Defense: 20.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 20

Toledo's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Toledo Roster Talent
2023 Talent Rating: 497.64
2023 Talent Rating: 497.64
2022 Talent Rating: 498.98
2021 Talent Rating: 465.40

Blue Chip Ratio: 0% (#Team not found for the given year.)

Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 385.66
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 598.22




YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/31Toledo31Buffalo13ToledoToledo -14Toledo47.0Under
202210/22Buffalo34Toledo27BuffaloToledo -7.0Buffalo56.0Over
201911/20Buffalo49Toledo30BuffaloBuffalo -9.5Buffalo55.0Over
201810/20Toledo17Buffalo31BuffaloToledo -3Buffalo63.0Under
201311/12Toledo51Buffalo41ToledoToledo -3.5Toledo0
201210/27Buffalo20Toledo25Toledo
200710/13Buffalo43Toledo33Buffalo
200510/22Toledo38Buffalo15Toledo
200311/01Toledo56Buffalo29Toledo
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Toledo522 Overs
Buffalo432 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 24 - 13 - 11 - 0
Road Teams2 - 71 - 40 - 11 - 3
(#Team not found for the given year.) Buffalo Info
Buffalo has won 1 straight
Buffalo has won 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 4 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Buffalo is 3 - 1 in last 4 games (2 at Home, 2 on Road)
Last 4 Games: 22 - 13

Last 2 Road Games: 19 - 8

Buffalo Defense has a top Success Rate vs the Run (#)
Buffalo has a top Defensive Power Success (#)
Buffalo Defensive Line is very good vs the Run (#)
Buffalo Front 7 has a top Havoc Rate (#)
Buffalo Defense limits Explosive Pass Plays (#)

Buffalo commits very few Penalties (#)


Buffalo Deficiencies
Buffalo has a really bad Offense
Buffalo has a bad Offense Success Rate (#)
Buffalo is Not an Explosive Offense (#)
Buffalo has a bad Offensive Power Success (#)
Buffalo has a bad Offense Pass Downs Success Rate (#)
Buffalo has a bad Offense Pass Success Rate (#)
Buffalo has a really bad 3rd Down Conversion Rate
Buffalo does not Sack the QB (#)
Buffalo Does Not Stuff Runs (#)
Buffalo Gives up a Lot of Explosive Run Plays (#)

Rematch from Week 10
Toledo -14.0 (47.0)
Toledo won vs Buffalo this year (31-13)

Previous Matchups
Toledo beat Buffalo last year (31-13)
Buffalo beat Toledo in 2022 (34-27)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Glass Bowl
Conditions: Snowfall
Temp: 32°Rain: 0.01

Depth Charts
Buffalo | Toledo
(#Team not found for the given year.) Toledo Info
Toledo has won 7 straight
Toledo has won 4 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 0 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

Toledo is 4 - 0 in last 4 games (1 at Home, 3 on Road)
Last 4 Games: 28 - 20

Last 1 Home Games: 35 - 33

Toledo is Undefeated at Home

Toledo has Really Good Running Game (#)
Toledo has a top Run Game Offensive Line (#)
Toledo Offense is good in Scoring Position (#)

Toledo has a top Offensive Power Success (#)
Toledo has a good 4th Down Conversion Rate

Toledo Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Toledo Defense has a good overall Success Rate (#)
Toledo has a top Defense vs Opp Scoring Opp (#)
Toledo Defense has a top Success Rate vs the Pass (#)
Toledo Secondary has a top Havoc Rate (#)
Toledo Defense has a top Success Rate on Pass Downs(#)

Toledo Kick Return team is explosive (#)


Toledo Deficiencies
Toledo Fumbles a Lot (#)
Toledo Commits a Lot of Penalties (#)





Buffalo's Head Coach Maurice Linguist
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cole Snyder20337255%21091395.7
CJ Ogbonna82138%87124.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ron Cook Jr.14860964.136
Michael Washington9036224.049
Jacqez Barksdale5224824.839
CJ Ogbonna5121434.215
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Marlyn Johnson40495412.480
Darrell Harding Jr.23451319.652
Boobie Curry29303110.448
Cole Harrity3529438.429
Toledo's Head Coach Jason Candle
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dequan Finn20131763%26512298.4
Tucker Gleason285551%383417.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Peny Boone1941400157.271
Jacquez Stuart11057465.280
Dequan Finn12356374.656
Willie Shaw III3111803.814
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jerjuan Newton52696913.442
Junior Vandeross47664414.168
Anthony Torres26464317.839
Larry Stephens22260211.828