Liberty at Buffalo Game Matchup
Liberty's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Liberty vs Bowling Green-8.548.5W 34 - 24
Sat 9/9 Liberty vs New Mexico State-9.054.5W 33 - 17
Sat 9/16 Liberty at Buffalo-2.554.0W 55 - 27
Sat 9/23 Liberty at Florida International-10.054.0W 38 - 6
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/5 Liberty vs Sam Houston State-21.046.5W 21 - 16
Tue 10/10 Liberty at Jacksonville State-7.059.5W 31 - 13
Tue 10/17 Liberty vs Middle Tennessee-16.056.5W 42 - 35
Tue 10/24 Liberty at Western Kentucky-4.061.5W 42 - 29
Sat 11/4 Liberty vs Louisiana Tech-16.558.0W 56 - 30
Sat 11/11 Liberty vs Old Dominion-13.558.5W 38 - 10
Sat 11/18 Liberty vs UMass-26.564.5W 49 - 25
Sat 11/25 Liberty at UTEP-18.054.5W 42 - 28
Fri 12/1 Liberty vs New Mexico State-10.554.0W 49 - 35
Mon 1/1 Liberty vs Oregon+18.571.5L 6 - 45
Buffalo's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Buffalo at Wisconsin+29.052.5L 17 - 38
Sat 9/9 Buffalo vs Fordham-23.555.5L 37 - 40
Sat 9/16 Buffalo vs Liberty+2.554.0L 27 - 55
Sat 9/23 Buffalo at Louisiana+10.557.5L 38 - 45
Sat 9/30 Buffalo at Akron+3.053.0W 13 - 10
Sat 10/7 Buffalo vs Central Michigan+2.551.5W 37 - 13
Sat 10/14 Buffalo vs Bowling Green-3.044.5L 14 - 24
Sat 10/21 Buffalo at Kent State-6.544.0W 24 - 6
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/31 Buffalo at Toledo+14.047.0L 13 - 31
Tue 11/7 Buffalo vs Ohio+9.545.5L 10 - 20
Wed 11/15 Buffalo at Miami (OH)+7.536.5L 10 - 23
Tue 11/21 Buffalo vs Eastern Michigan-6.538.5L 11 - 24
LIB's OC Newland Isaac vs BUFF's DC Robert Wright     BUFF's OC DJ Mangas vs LIB's DC Jack Curtis
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LIB Offense1438.341.654.2%4.541.1244782811976.168%32%56%51%7%.43
BUFF Defense1227.429.338.7%3.551.6 - - - - - 56%43%37%42%18%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUFF Offense1220.922.737.4%3.541.6173191341853.751%48%43%32%16%.03
LIB Defense1424.320.642.3%3.631.7 - - - - - 43%55%47%40%18%.17

 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LIB Offense1468% (4)56% (3)45.9281.36.139 (2).35 (3)3.77 (2)85% (2)5% (4)0.98 (1)
BUFF Defense1256% (119)37% (25) - - - - .15 (76)2.82 (24)65% (32)12% (25)1.25 (19)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUFF Offense1251% (61)43% (67)36.3133.63.715 (100).09 (102)2.93 (102)65% (87)9% (119)0.92 (40)
LIB Defense1443% (9)47% (111) - - - - .19 (94)3.14 (77)75% (25)10% (86)0.97 (84)

 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDsIntsPassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LIB Offense1432% (130)51% (8)11.619.9196.99.916.931 (14)5 (6).65 (2)1.9 (9)23% (2)38% (13).59 (8)2% (2)2.3 (18)
BUFF Defense1243% (13)42% (68) - - - - - - 11 (53).2 (29)1.4 (18)35% (32)28% (39).23 (30)5% (95)2 (54)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDsIntsPassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUFF Offense1248% (77)32% (129)17.732.8185.35.610.514 (106)11 (68).04 (130)1.5 (99)32% (68)26% (108).16 (116)8% (119)1.9 (109)
LIB Defense1455% (125)40% (49) - - - - - - 21 (1).23 (48)1.6 (84)31% (77)29% (48).17 (9)9% (6)2.1 (94)

 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Liberty1431:1823.650%55%5.9591.11.74.91.7230.4
Buffalo1230:3217.234%37%4.841.61.61.65.71.4229.4
Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Liberty's Performance Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Liberty's Offense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Liberty's Defense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Liberty's Team Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

Liberty's SP+ Ratings
Liberty's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.8 (#21)
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.4 (#9)
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 (#51)

Conference USA's Avg 2023 SP+ Rating: -9.8
Conference USA's Avg 2023 SP+ Offense Rating: 20.9
Conference USA's Avg 2023 SP+ Defense Rating: 30.6

Liberty's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.8 (#21)
Liberty's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.5 (#73)
Liberty's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4 (#49)

Liberty's 2023 Expected Record: -
Power Ratings Matchup
Liberty:    Buffalo: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Liberty: 11.8   Buffalo: -15.1

Performance Ratings Matchup
Liberty:    Buffalo:

Team Ratings Matchup
Liberty:    Buffalo:




Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: 2 (#Team not found for the given year.)
Buffalo's Performance Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Buffalo's Offense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Buffalo's Defense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Buffalo's Team Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

Buffalo's SP+ Ratings
Buffalo's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.1 (#117)
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.3 (#125)
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.4 (#87)

Mid-American's Avg 2023 SP+ Rating: -12.5
Mid-American's Avg 2023 SP+ Offense Rating: 17.2
Mid-American's Avg 2023 SP+ Defense Rating: 29.6

Buffalo's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.1 (#117)
Buffalo's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.2 (#98)
Buffalo's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.5 (#104)

Buffalo's 2023 Expected Record: -
Liberty Scoring
Offense: 38.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 41.6
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.6

Liberty's 2023 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Liberty Roster Talent
2023 Talent Rating: 330.29
2023 Talent Rating: 330.29
2022 Talent Rating: 161.88
2021 Talent Rating: 154.75

Blue Chip Ratio: 0% (#Team not found for the given year.)

Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 351.59
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 598.22
Projected Score
Liberty 32.9
Buffalo 22.6


Projected Total Points: 56

Based on Entire Season
Liberty
Buffalo

Total Points:
Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 22.7
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.3

Buffalo's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Buffalo Roster Talent
2023 Talent Rating: 296.09
2023 Talent Rating: 296.09
2022 Talent Rating: 370.96
2021 Talent Rating: 267.09

Blue Chip Ratio: 0% (#Team not found for the given year.)

Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 385.66
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 598.22




YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/16Buffalo27Liberty55LibertyLiberty -2.5Liberty54.0Over
201909/14Liberty35Buffalo17LibertyBuffalo -6Liberty55.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Buffalo001 Overs
Liberty221 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 10 - 01 - 1
Road Teams1 - 11 - 11 - 10 - 0
(#Team not found for the given year.) Liberty Info
Liberty has won 2 straight
Record on Road: 5 - 0 (4 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Liberty is 2 - 2 in last 4 games (2 at Home, 2 on Road)
Last 4 Games: 34 - 23

Last 2 Road Games: 37 - 21

Liberty has Really Good Running Game (#)
Liberty Offense has a good overall Success Rate (#)
Liberty has a top Run Game Offensive Line (#)
Liberty Offense is good in Scoring Position (#)
Liberty Offense has a good Run Game Success Rate (#)
Liberty Offense has a good Passing Game Success Rate (#)
Liberty has a good 3rd Down Conversion Rate

Liberty has a top Offensive Power Success (#)
Liberty Offense has a good Success Rate on Pass Downs (#)
Liberty has a good 4th Down Conversion Rate

Liberty Secondary has a top Havoc Rate (#)

Liberty Offense throws very few Interceptions (#)
Liberty Defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)


Liberty Deficiencies
Liberty Fumbles a Lot (#)
Liberty Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#)
Liberty has a bad Defense Run Success Rate (#)

Rematch from Week 3
Liberty 2.5 (54.0)
Liberty won at Buffalo this year (55-27)

Previous Matchups
Liberty beat Buffalo last year (55-27)

Weather Forecast
Playing in UB Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 70°
Depth Charts
Liberty | Buffalo
(#Team not found for the given year.) Buffalo Info
Buffalo has lost 2 straight
Buffalo has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 5 (1 - 5 - 0 vs Spread)

Buffalo is 0 - 4 in last 4 games (2 at Home, 2 on Road)
Last 4 Games: 22 - 13

Last 2 Home Games: 26 - 19

Buffalo Defense has a top Success Rate vs the Run (#)
Buffalo has a top Defensive Power Success (#)
Buffalo Defensive Line is very good vs the Run (#)
Buffalo Front 7 has a top Havoc Rate (#)
Buffalo Defense limits Explosive Pass Plays (#)

Buffalo commits very few Penalties (#)


Buffalo Deficiencies
Buffalo has a really bad Offense
Buffalo has a bad Offense Success Rate (#)
Buffalo is Not an Explosive Offense (#)
Buffalo has a bad Offensive Power Success (#)
Buffalo has a bad Offense Pass Downs Success Rate (#)
Buffalo has a bad Offense Pass Success Rate (#)
Buffalo has a really bad 3rd Down Conversion Rate
Buffalo does not Sack the QB (#)
Buffalo Does Not Stuff Runs (#)
Buffalo Gives up a Lot of Explosive Run Plays (#)




Liberty's Head Coach Jamey Chadwell
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kaidon Salter17729061%28763269.9
Johnathan Bennett1617%6001.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Quinton Cooley2211401166.360
Kaidon Salter1631089126.752
Billy Lucas11459765.243
Aaron Bedgood5855239.549
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
C.J. Daniels5510671019.475
Treon Sibley23467420.368
Noah Frith17323319.055
Elijah Smoot11221220.142
Buffalo's Head Coach Maurice Linguist
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Cole Snyder20337255%21091395.7
CJ Ogbonna82138%87124.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ron Cook Jr.14860964.136
Michael Washington9036224.049
Jacqez Barksdale5224824.839
CJ Ogbonna5121434.215
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Marlyn Johnson40495412.480
Darrell Harding Jr.23451319.652
Boobie Curry29303110.448
Cole Harrity3529438.429