Toledo at UMass Game Matchup
Toledo's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Toledo at Illinois+7.045.5L 28 - 30
Sat 9/9 Toledo vs Texas Southern-40.561.0W 71 - 3
Sat 9/16 Toledo vs San José State-9.056.5W 21 - 17
Sat 9/23 Toledo vs Western Michigan-21.552.5W 49 - 31
Sat 9/30 Toledo vs Northern Illinois-13.048.0W 35 - 33
Sat 10/7 Toledo at UMass-19.055.5W 41 - 24
Sat 10/14 Toledo at Ball State-17.548.5W 13 - 6
Sat 10/21 Toledo at Miami (OH)-2.046.5W 21 - 17
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/31 Toledo vs Buffalo-14.047.0W 31 - 13
Wed 11/8 Toledo vs Eastern Michigan-19.545.5W 49 - 23
Tue 11/14 Toledo at Bowling Green-9.548.5W 32 - 31
Fri 11/24 Toledo at Central Michigan-12.554.5W 32 - 17
Sat 12/2 Toledo vs Miami (OH)-8.546.0L 14 - 23
Sat 12/30 Toledo vs Wyoming+4.543.5L 15 - 16
UMass's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 8/26 UMass at New Mexico State+7.045.5W 41 - 30
Sat 9/2 UMass at Auburn+35.052.0L 14 - 59
Sat 9/9 UMass vs Miami (OH)+7.045.0L 28 - 41
Sat 9/16 UMass at Eastern Michigan+7.050.0L 17 - 19
Sat 9/23 UMass vs New Mexico-3.548.5L 31 - 34
Sat 9/30 UMass vs Arkansas State-2.555.5L 28 - 52
Sat 10/7 UMass vs Toledo+19.055.5L 24 - 41
Sat 10/14 UMass at Penn State+42.055.0L 0 - 63
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 UMass at Army+10.049.5W 21 - 14
Sat 11/4 UMass vs Merrimack-16.557.5W 31 - 21
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18 UMass at Liberty+26.564.5L 25 - 49
Sat 11/25 UMass vs Connecticut-2.551.0L 18 - 31
TOL's OC Mike Hallett vs UMASS's DC Keith Dudzinski     UMASS's OC Steve Casula vs TOL's DC Vince Kehres
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Offense1432.327.845.2%4.441.5204191992205.357%42%46%45%13%.28
UMASS Defense1237.836.748.5%4.311.2 - - - - - 58%42%53%43%15%.31
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UMASS Offense1223.226.742%3.731.4183561422144.451%48%45%40%21%.18
TOL Defense1420.320.838.4%3.331.3 - - - - - 51%48%41%36%17%.1

 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Offense1457% (17)46% (38)37.4198.95.331 (17).2 (41)3.36 (20)81% (8)8% (14)1.05 (24)
UMASS Defense1258% (130)53% (131) - - - - .34 (131)3.83 (133)85% (123)9% (123)1 (89)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UMASS Offense1251% (59)45% (47)32.5142.24.419 (69).25 (18)3.35 (21)62% (87)14% (125)1.14 (127)
TOL Defense1451% (82)41% (54) - - - - .14 (66)3.12 (72)73% (115)10% (71)0.99 (73)

 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDsIntsPassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Offense1442% (116)45% (37)16.626.9220.28.213.326 (31)10 (56).42 (24)1.7 (24)32% (80)32% (59).38 (52)5% (35)2 (78)
UMASS Defense1242% (4)43% (92) - - - - - - 8 (100).31 (94)1.8 (122)29% (121)37% (125).47 (124)6% (90)1.9 (30)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDsIntsPassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UMASS Offense1248% (76)40% (86)17.729214.17.412.114 (106)11 (68).18 (99)1.5 (85)32% (62)33% (50).43 (35)7% (109)2.2 (36)
TOL Defense1448% (46)36% (14) - - - - - - 11 (53).12 (10)1.5 (43)34% (45)25% (17).2 (17)8% (16)2 (61)

 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Toledo1427:5520.344%59%6.661.91.51.35.12.5231
UMass1229:4517.836%23%870.91.41.24.51.5226.5
Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Toledo's Performance Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Toledo's Offense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Toledo's Defense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Toledo's Team Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

Toledo's SP+ Ratings
Toledo's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 (#51)
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 (#65)
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1 (#35)

Mid-American's Avg 2023 SP+ Rating: -12.5
Mid-American's Avg 2023 SP+ Offense Rating: 17.2
Mid-American's Avg 2023 SP+ Defense Rating: 29.6

Toledo's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 (#51)
Toledo's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.7 (#82)
Toledo's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.9 (#56)

Toledo's 2023 Expected Record: -
Power Ratings Matchup
Toledo:    UMass: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Toledo: 4.0   UMass: -17.7

Performance Ratings Matchup
Toledo:    UMass:

Team Ratings Matchup
Toledo:    UMass:




UMass's Power Ratings
UMass's Power Rating: 2 (#Team not found for the given year.)
UMass's Performance Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
UMass's Offense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
UMass's Defense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
UMass's Team Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

UMass's SP+ Ratings
UMass's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.7 (#125)
UMass's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8 (#99)
UMass's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.4 (#124)

FBS Independents's Avg 2023 SP+ Rating: -7.8
FBS Independents's Avg 2023 SP+ Offense Rating: 20.4
FBS Independents's Avg 2023 SP+ Defense Rating: 28.1

UMass's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.7 (#125)
UMass's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -30.3 (#133)
UMass's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -29.3 (#131)

UMass's 2023 Expected Record: -
Toledo Scoring
Offense: 32.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.8
Defense: 20.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8

Toledo's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Toledo Roster Talent
2023 Talent Rating: 497.64
2023 Talent Rating: 497.64
2022 Talent Rating: 498.98
2021 Talent Rating: 465.40

Blue Chip Ratio: 0% (#Team not found for the given year.)

Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 385.66
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 598.22
Projected Score
Toledo 35.1
UMass 21.8


Projected Total Points: 57

Based on Entire Season
Toledo
UMass

Total Points:
UMass Scoring
Offense: 23.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.7
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 36.7

UMass's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

UMass Roster Talent
2023 Talent Rating: 565.65
2023 Talent Rating: 565.65
2022 Talent Rating: 292.14
2021 Talent Rating: 227.21

Blue Chip Ratio: 0% (#Team not found for the given year.)

Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 640.43
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 598.22




YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/07UMass24Toledo41ToledoToledo -19UMass55.5Over
202209/10Toledo55UMass10ToledoToledo -28Toledo49.0Over
202110/02UMass7Toledo45ToledoToledo -26.5Toledo56.5Under
201510/24UMass35Toledo51ToledoToledo -9.5Toledo61.0Over
201410/25Toledo42UMass35ToledoToledo -17.5UMass0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UMass023 Overs
Toledo531 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 32 - 31 - 11 - 2
Road Teams3 - 23 - 22 - 11 - 1
(#Team not found for the given year.) Toledo Info
Toledo has won 4 straight
Toledo has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 5 - 1 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

Toledo is 4 - 0 in last 4 games (1 at Home, 3 on Road)
Last 4 Games: 28 - 20

Last 3 Road Games: 25 - 16

Toledo has Really Good Running Game (#)
Toledo has a top Run Game Offensive Line (#)
Toledo Offense is good in Scoring Position (#)

Toledo has a top Offensive Power Success (#)
Toledo has a good 4th Down Conversion Rate

Toledo Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Toledo Defense has a good overall Success Rate (#)
Toledo has a top Defense vs Opp Scoring Opp (#)
Toledo Defense has a top Success Rate vs the Pass (#)
Toledo Secondary has a top Havoc Rate (#)
Toledo Defense has a top Success Rate on Pass Downs(#)

Toledo Kick Return team is explosive (#)


Toledo Deficiencies
Toledo Fumbles a Lot (#)
Toledo Commits a Lot of Penalties (#)

Rematch from Week 6
Toledo 19.0 (55.5)
Toledo won at UMass this year (41-24)

Previous Matchups
Toledo beat UMass last year (41-24)
Toledo beat UMass in 2022 (55-10)
Toledo beat UMass in 2021 (45-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 68° - Wind: 10 mph

Depth Charts
Toledo | UMass
(#Team not found for the given year.) UMass Info
UMass has lost 5 straight
UMass has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 5 (1 - 5 - 0 vs Spread)

UMass is 0 - 4 in last 4 games (2 at Home, 2 on Road)
Last 4 Games: 18 - 43

Last 2 Home Games: 26 - 47

UMass has a top Run Game Offensive Line (#)

UMass Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#)


UMass Deficiencies
UMass has a really bad 3rd Down Conversion Rate (#)
UMass Commits a Lot of Penalties (#)
UMass has a bad Offensive Power Success (#)
UMass Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#)
UMass has a really bad 4th Down Conversion Rate
UMass Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
UMass Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
UMass does not Sack the QB (#)
UMass Defense Doesn't Pick off a Lot of Passes (#)
UMass has a bad Defense Success Rate (#)
UMass has a bad Defensive Power Success (#)
UMass has a bad Run Game Defensive Line (#)
UMass has a bad Defense Scoring Opp Rate (#)
UMass has a bad Defense Pass Downs Success Rate (#)
UMass has a bad Defense Run Success Rate (#)
UMass Gives up a Lot of Explosive Pass Plays (#)


Toledo's Head Coach Jason Candle
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dequan Finn20131763%26512298.4
Tucker Gleason285551%383417.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Peny Boone1941400157.271
Jacquez Stuart11057465.280
Dequan Finn12356374.656
Willie Shaw III3111803.814
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jerjuan Newton52696913.442
Junior Vandeross47664414.168
Anthony Torres26464317.839
Larry Stephens22260211.828
UMass's Head Coach Don Brown
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Taisun Phommachanh13922761%1507666.6
Carlos Davis6210161%886638.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kay'Ron Adams2361157124.947
Gregory DeRosiers3730148.160
Anthony Simpson119318.517
Ahmad Haston165403.47
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Anthony Simpson57792313.971
George Johnson35421312.032
Mark Pope33420112.754
Gino Campiotti21289413.830