Toledo at Ball State Game Matchup
Toledo's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Toledo at Illinois+7.045.5L 28 - 30
Sat 9/9 Toledo vs Texas Southern-40.561.0W 71 - 3
Sat 9/16 Toledo vs San José State-9.056.5W 21 - 17
Sat 9/23 Toledo vs Western Michigan-21.552.5W 49 - 31
Sat 9/30 Toledo vs Northern Illinois-13.048.0W 35 - 33
Sat 10/7 Toledo at UMass-19.055.5W 41 - 24
Sat 10/14 Toledo at Ball State-17.548.5W 13 - 6
Sat 10/21 Toledo at Miami (OH)-2.046.5W 21 - 17
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/31 Toledo vs Buffalo-14.047.0W 31 - 13
Wed 11/8 Toledo vs Eastern Michigan-19.545.5W 49 - 23
Tue 11/14 Toledo at Bowling Green-9.548.5W 32 - 31
Fri 11/24 Toledo at Central Michigan-12.554.5W 32 - 17
Sat 12/2 Toledo vs Miami (OH)-8.546.0L 14 - 23
Sat 12/30 Toledo vs Wyoming+4.543.5L 15 - 16
Ball State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Ball State at Kentucky+25.049.0L 14 - 44
Sat 9/9 Ball State at Georgia+42.052.5L 3 - 45
Sat 9/16 Ball State vs Indiana State-26.045.0W 45 - 7
Sat 9/23 Ball State vs Georgia Southern+6.060.0L 3 - 40
Sat 9/30 Ball State at Western Michigan+1.550.0L 24 - 42
Sat 10/7 Ball State at Eastern Michigan+2.543.5L 10 - 24
Sat 10/14 Ball State vs Toledo+17.548.5L 6 - 13
Sat 10/21 Ball State vs Central Michigan+5.042.0W 24 - 17
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/1 Ball State at Bowling Green+4.539.5L 21 - 24
Tue 11/7 Ball State at Northern Illinois+9.543.5W 20 - 17
Sat 11/18 Ball State vs Kent State-10.541.5W 34 - 3
Sat 11/25 Ball State vs Miami (OH)+3.534.5L 15 - 17
TOL's OC Mike Hallett vs BALL's DC Tyler Stockton     BALL's OC Jared Elliott vs TOL's DC Vince Kehres
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Offense1432.327.845.2%4.441.5204191992205.357%42%46%45%13%.28
BALL Defense1224.416.241.8%3.810.9 - - - - - 48%51%43%42%17%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BALL Offense1218.321.239.8%3.311.3183081711374.458%41%45%33%17%.14
TOL Defense1420.320.838.4%3.331.3 - - - - - 51%48%41%36%17%.1

 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Offense1457% (17)46% (38)37.4198.95.331 (17).2 (41)3.36 (20)81% (8)8% (14)1.05 (24)
BALL Defense1248% (44)43% (65) - - - - .11 (45)3.08 (62)79% (21)11% (102)0.89 (35)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BALL Offense1258% (14)45% (50)39.3171.44.415 (100).21 (38)3.35 (22)83% (45)12% (8)0.99 (112)
TOL Defense1451% (82)41% (54) - - - - .14 (66)3.12 (72)73% (115)10% (71)0.99 (73)

 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDsIntsPassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Offense1442% (116)45% (37)16.626.9220.28.213.326 (31)10 (56).42 (24)1.7 (24)32% (80)32% (59).38 (52)5% (35)2 (78)
BALL Defense1251% (93)42% (70) - - - - - - 5 (126).27 (70)1.5 (29)32% (61)28% (30).21 (20)5% (97)2 (39)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDsIntsPassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BALL Offense1241% (119)33% (127)15.125.3136.75.49.19 (126)8 (30).05 (128)1.4 (130)33% (92)24% (123).18 (110)5% (25)2 (104)
TOL Defense1448% (46)36% (14) - - - - - - 11 (53).12 (10)1.5 (43)34% (45)25% (17).2 (17)8% (16)2 (61)

 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Toledo1427:5520.344%59%6.661.91.51.35.12.5231
Ball State1232:4418.138%56%5.245.21.30.95.72.1028.8
Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Toledo's Performance Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Toledo's Offense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Toledo's Defense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Toledo's Team Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

Toledo's SP+ Ratings
Toledo's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 (#51)
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 (#65)
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1 (#35)

Mid-American's Avg 2023 SP+ Rating: -12.5
Mid-American's Avg 2023 SP+ Offense Rating: 17.2
Mid-American's Avg 2023 SP+ Defense Rating: 29.6

Toledo's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 (#51)
Toledo's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.7 (#82)
Toledo's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.9 (#56)

Toledo's 2023 Expected Record: -
Power Ratings Matchup
Toledo:    Ball State: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Toledo: 4.0   Ball State: -14.9

Performance Ratings Matchup
Toledo:    Ball State:

Team Ratings Matchup
Toledo:    Ball State:




Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: 2 (#Team not found for the given year.)
Ball State's Performance Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Ball State's Offense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Ball State's Defense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Ball State's Team Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

Ball State's SP+ Ratings
Ball State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.9 (#116)
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 12.6 (#131)
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 (#61)

Mid-American's Avg 2023 SP+ Rating: -12.5
Mid-American's Avg 2023 SP+ Offense Rating: 17.2
Mid-American's Avg 2023 SP+ Defense Rating: 29.6

Ball State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.9 (#116)
Ball State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.9 (#114)
Ball State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.2 (#108)

Ball State's 2023 Expected Record: -
Toledo Scoring
Offense: 32.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.8
Defense: 20.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8

Toledo's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Toledo Roster Talent
2023 Talent Rating: 497.64
2023 Talent Rating: 497.64
2022 Talent Rating: 498.98
2021 Talent Rating: 465.40

Blue Chip Ratio: 0% (#Team not found for the given year.)

Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 385.66
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 598.22
Projected Score
Toledo 28.4
Ball State 19.3


Projected Total Points: 48

Based on Entire Season
Toledo
Ball State

Total Points:
Ball State Scoring
Offense: 18.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.2
Defense: 24.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.2

Ball State's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 1
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Ball State Roster Talent
2023 Talent Rating: 403.54
2023 Talent Rating: 403.54
2022 Talent Rating: 345.29
2021 Talent Rating: 338.31

Blue Chip Ratio: 0% (#Team not found for the given year.)

Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 385.66
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 598.22




YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/14Ball State6Toledo13ToledoToledo -17.5Ball State48.5Under
202211/08Toledo28Ball State21ToledoToledo -11Ball State50.0Under
202109/25Ball State12Toledo22ToledoToledo -4.5Toledo56.5Under
202011/28Toledo24Ball State27Ball StateToledo -9.5Ball State67.0Under
201910/19Ball State52Toledo14Ball StateBall State -3.5Ball State58.5Over
201810/31Toledo45Ball State13ToledoToledo -19.5Toledo64.0Under
201710/26Ball State17Toledo58ToledoToledo -26.5Toledo55.5Over
201611/16Toledo37Ball State19ToledoToledo -19Ball State68.5Under
201510/03Ball State10Toledo24ToledoToledo -9.5Toledo54.5Under
201409/20Toledo34Ball State23ToledoToledo -9Toledo0
201309/28Ball State31Toledo24Ball StateBall State -1Ball State0
201211/06Toledo27Ball State34Ball State
201111/25Ball State28Toledo45Toledo
201010/23Toledo31Ball State24Toledo
200910/03Ball State30Toledo37Toledo
200810/04Toledo0Ball State31Ball State
200711/13Ball State41Toledo20Ball State
200611/14Toledo17Ball State20Ball State
200510/15Ball State14Toledo34Toledo
200410/02Toledo52Ball State14Toledo
200310/25Ball State38Toledo14Ball State
200210/12Toledo37Ball State17Toledo
200110/20Ball State24Toledo20Ball State
200011/10Toledo31Ball State3Toledo
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ball State962 Overs
Toledo1557 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 115 - 64 - 31 - 3
Road Teams11 - 136 - 53 - 13 - 4
(#Team not found for the given year.) Toledo Info
Toledo has won 5 straight
Toledo has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 5 - 1 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

Toledo is 4 - 0 in last 4 games (1 at Home, 3 on Road)
Last 4 Games: 28 - 20

Last 3 Road Games: 25 - 16

Toledo has Really Good Running Game (#)
Toledo has a top Run Game Offensive Line (#)
Toledo Offense is good in Scoring Position (#)

Toledo has a top Offensive Power Success (#)
Toledo has a good 4th Down Conversion Rate

Toledo Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Toledo Defense has a good overall Success Rate (#)
Toledo has a top Defense vs Opp Scoring Opp (#)
Toledo Defense has a top Success Rate vs the Pass (#)
Toledo Secondary has a top Havoc Rate (#)
Toledo Defense has a top Success Rate on Pass Downs(#)

Toledo Kick Return team is explosive (#)


Toledo Deficiencies
Toledo Fumbles a Lot (#)
Toledo Commits a Lot of Penalties (#)

Rematch from Week 7
Toledo 17.5 (48.5)
Toledo won at Ball State this year (13-6)

Previous Matchups
Toledo beat Ball State last year (13-6)
Toledo beat Ball State in 2022 (28-21)
Toledo beat Ball State in 2021 (22-12)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scheumann Stadium
Conditions: Rain
Temp: 54° - Wind: 14 mph
Rain: 0.03

Depth Charts
Toledo | Ball State
(#Team not found for the given year.) Ball State Info
Ball State has lost 3 straight
Ball State has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 3 (5 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Ball State is 1 - 3 in last 4 games (2 at Home, 2 on Road)
Last 4 Games: 16 - 24

Last 2 Home Games: 15 - 15

Ball State has a top Run Game Offensive Line (#)

Ball State has a top Offensive Power Success (#)
Ball State has a good 4th Down Conversion Rate

Ball State Defense limits Explosive Plays (#)
Ball State Defense has a top Success Rate on Pass Downs(#)
Ball State Defense limits Explosive Run Plays (#)
Ball State Defense limits Explosive Pass Plays (#)

Ball State commits very few Penalties (#)
Ball State Offense throws very few Interceptions (#)


Ball State Deficiencies
Ball State has a really bad Offense
Ball State is Not an Explosive Offense (#)
Ball State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#)
Ball State has a bad Offense Scoring Opp Rate (#)
Ball State has a bad Offense Pass Downs Success Rate (#)
Ball State has a bad Offense Pass Success Rate (#)
Ball State Defense Doesn't Pick off a Lot of Passes (#)
Ball State has a bad Defensive Power Success (#)


Toledo's Head Coach Jason Candle
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dequan Finn20131763%26512298.4
Tucker Gleason285551%383417.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Peny Boone1941400157.271
Jacquez Stuart11057465.280
Dequan Finn12356374.656
Willie Shaw III3111803.814
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jerjuan Newton52696913.442
Junior Vandeross47664414.168
Anthony Torres26464317.839
Larry Stephens22260211.828
Ball State's Head Coach Mike Neu
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kiael Kelly6612453%577234.7
Layne Hatcher659866%583405.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Marquez Cooper227104344.639
Kiael Kelly13472375.455
Vaughn Pemberton2313916.045
Rico Barfield259613.824
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Qian Magwood4135818.732
Ahmad Edwards31354111.457
Tanner Koziol3429538.726
Marquez Cooper1916408.626