Toledo at Illinois Game Matchup
Toledo's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Toledo at Illinois+7.045.5L 28 - 30
Sat 9/9 Toledo vs Texas Southern-40.561.0W 71 - 3
Sat 9/16 Toledo vs San José State-9.056.5W 21 - 17
Sat 9/23 Toledo vs Western Michigan-21.552.5W 49 - 31
Sat 9/30 Toledo vs Northern Illinois-13.048.0W 35 - 33
Sat 10/7 Toledo at UMass-19.055.5W 41 - 24
Sat 10/14 Toledo at Ball State-17.548.5W 13 - 6
Sat 10/21 Toledo at Miami (OH)-2.046.5W 21 - 17
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/31 Toledo vs Buffalo-14.047.0W 31 - 13
Wed 11/8 Toledo vs Eastern Michigan-19.545.5W 49 - 23
Tue 11/14 Toledo at Bowling Green-9.548.5W 32 - 31
Fri 11/24 Toledo at Central Michigan-12.554.5W 32 - 17
Sat 12/2 Toledo vs Miami (OH)-8.546.0L 14 - 23
Sat 12/30 Toledo vs Wyoming+4.543.5L 15 - 16
Illinois's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Illinois vs Toledo-7.045.5W 30 - 28
Fri 9/8 Illinois at Kansas+3.557.5L 23 - 34
Sat 9/16 Illinois vs Penn State+14.047.5L 13 - 30
Sat 9/23 Illinois vs Florida Atlantic-16.045.5W 23 - 17
Sat 9/30 Illinois at Purdue+1.054.0L 19 - 44
Fri 10/6 Illinois vs Nebraska-3.543.0L 7 - 20
Sat 10/14 Illinois at Maryland+13.552.0W 27 - 24
Sat 10/21 Illinois vs Wisconsin+3.040.5L 21 - 25
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Illinois at Minnesota+1.543.0W 27 - 26
Sat 11/11 Illinois vs Indiana-4.543.5W 48 - 45
Sat 11/18 Illinois at Iowa+2.533.5L 13 - 15
Sat 11/25 Illinois vs Northwestern-5.046.5L 43 - 45
TOL's OC Mike Hallett vs ILL's DC Aaron Henry     ILL's OC Barry Lunney Jr. vs TOL's DC Vince Kehres
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Offense1432.327.845.2%4.441.5204191992205.357%42%46%45%13%.28
ILL Defense1229.43044.4%4.091.3 - - - - - 51%49%45%45%15%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ILL Offense1224.526.445.5%3.91.9203911252663.845%53%44%48%20%.2
TOL Defense1420.320.838.4%3.331.3 - - - - - 51%48%41%36%17%.1

 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Offense1457% (17)46% (38)37.4198.95.331 (17).2 (41)3.36 (20)81% (8)8% (14)1.05 (24)
ILL Defense1251% (75)45% (87) - - - - .15 (78)3.27 (104)73% (113)9% (68)0.89 (100)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ILL Offense1245% (103)44% (56)33125.13.812 (116).07 (108)3.31 (32)67% (77)12% (109)0.84 (98)
TOL Defense1451% (82)41% (54) - - - - .14 (66)3.12 (72)73% (115)10% (71)0.99 (73)

 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDsIntsPassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Offense1442% (116)45% (37)16.626.9220.28.213.326 (31)10 (56).42 (24)1.7 (24)32% (80)32% (59).38 (52)5% (35)2 (78)
ILL Defense1249% (69)45% (110) - - - - - - 7 (111).28 (76)1.5 (21)31% (78)34% (114).3 (63)6% (62)1.8 (7)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDsIntsPassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ILL Offense1253% (35)48% (14)21.834.5265.97.712.223 (51)13 (97).37 (35)1.5 (108)28% (14)33% (48).36 (63)9% (130)1.9 (108)
TOL Defense1448% (46)36% (14) - - - - - - 11 (53).12 (10)1.5 (43)34% (45)25% (17).2 (17)8% (16)2 (61)

 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Toledo1427:5520.344%59%6.661.91.51.35.12.5231
Illinois1228:2420.337%54%6.662.41.91.34.81.9226
Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Toledo's Performance Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Toledo's Offense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Toledo's Defense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Toledo's Team Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

Toledo's SP+ Ratings
Toledo's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 (#51)
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 (#65)
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1 (#35)

Mid-American's Avg 2023 SP+ Rating: -12.5
Mid-American's Avg 2023 SP+ Offense Rating: 17.2
Mid-American's Avg 2023 SP+ Defense Rating: 29.6

Toledo's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 (#51)
Toledo's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.7 (#82)
Toledo's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.9 (#56)

Toledo's 2023 Expected Record: -
Power Ratings Matchup
Toledo:    Illinois: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Toledo: 4.0   Illinois: -2.6

Performance Ratings Matchup
Toledo:    Illinois:

Team Ratings Matchup
Toledo:    Illinois:




Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: 2 (#Team not found for the given year.)
Illinois's Performance Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Illinois's Offense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Illinois's Defense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Illinois's Team Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

Illinois's SP+ Ratings
Illinois's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.6 (#75)
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 (#90)
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.6 (#49)

Big Ten's Avg 2023 SP+ Rating: 6.1
Big Ten's Avg 2023 SP+ Offense Rating: 24.9
Big Ten's Avg 2023 SP+ Defense Rating: 18.9

Illinois's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.6 (#75)
Illinois's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.9 (#17)
Illinois's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.3 (#64)

Illinois's 2023 Expected Record: -
Toledo Scoring
Offense: 32.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.8
Defense: 20.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8

Toledo's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Toledo Roster Talent
2023 Talent Rating: 497.64
2023 Talent Rating: 497.64
2022 Talent Rating: 498.98
2021 Talent Rating: 465.40

Blue Chip Ratio: 0% (#Team not found for the given year.)

Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 385.66
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 598.22
Projected Score
Toledo 30.9
Illinois 22.4


Projected Total Points: 53

Based on Entire Season
Toledo
Illinois

Total Points:
Illinois Scoring
Offense: 24.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.4
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 30

Illinois's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 7 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0

Illinois Roster Talent
2023 Talent Rating: 630.95
2023 Talent Rating: 630.95
2022 Talent Rating: 631.46
2021 Talent Rating: 630.16

Blue Chip Ratio: 0% (#Team not found for the given year.)

Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 750.28
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 598.22




YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/02Illinois30Toledo28IllinoisIllinois -7Toledo45.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Illinois101 Overs
Toledo010 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0
(#Team not found for the given year.) Toledo Info
Record on Road: 5 - 1 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

Toledo is 0 - 0 in last 4 games (1 at Home, 3 on Road)
Last 4 Games: 28 - 20

Last 3 Road Games: 25 - 16

Toledo has Really Good Running Game (#)
Toledo has a top Run Game Offensive Line (#)
Toledo Offense is good in Scoring Position (#)

Toledo has a top Offensive Power Success (#)
Toledo has a good 4th Down Conversion Rate

Toledo Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Toledo Defense has a good overall Success Rate (#)
Toledo has a top Defense vs Opp Scoring Opp (#)
Toledo Defense has a top Success Rate vs the Pass (#)
Toledo Secondary has a top Havoc Rate (#)
Toledo Defense has a top Success Rate on Pass Downs(#)

Toledo Kick Return team is explosive (#)


Toledo Deficiencies
Toledo Fumbles a Lot (#)
Toledo Commits a Lot of Penalties (#)

Rematch from Week 1
Illinois -7.0 (45.5)
Illinois won vs Toledo this year (30-28)

Previous Matchups
Illinois beat Toledo last year (30-28)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 84° - Wind: 10 mph

Depth Charts
Toledo | Illinois
(#Team not found for the given year.) Illinois Info
Record at home: 3 - 4 (0 - 7 - 0 vs Spread)

Illinois is 0 - 0 in last 4 games (2 at Home, 2 on Road)
Last 4 Games: 19 - 28

Last 2 Home Games: 14 - 23

Illinois Offense has a good overall Success Rate (#)
Illinois Offense has a good Passing Game Success Rate (#)

Illinois has a good 4th Down Conversion Rate
Illinois Defense limits Explosive Plays (#)
Illinois Defense limits Explosive Run Plays (#)
Illinois Defense limits Explosive Pass Plays (#)


Illinois Deficiencies
Illinois has a bad TO Margin (#)
Illinois Fumbles a Lot (#)
Illinois Can Not Run the Ball (#)
Illinois is Not an Explosive Offense (#)
Illinois has a bad Offensive Power Success (#)
Illinois Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#)
Illinois Defense Doesn't Pick off a Lot of Passes (#)
Illinois has a bad Defense Success Rate (#)
Illinois has a bad Run Game Defensive Line (#)
Illinois Front 7 has a bad Havoc Rate (#)
Illinois has a bad Defense Pass Downs Success Rate (#)
Illinois has a bad Defense Pass Success Rate (#)


Toledo's Head Coach Jason Candle
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dequan Finn20131763%26512298.4
Tucker Gleason285551%383417.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Peny Boone1941400157.271
Jacquez Stuart11057465.280
Dequan Finn12356374.656
Willie Shaw III3111803.814
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jerjuan Newton52696913.442
Junior Vandeross47664414.168
Anthony Torres26464317.839
Larry Stephens22260211.828
Illinois's Head Coach Bret Bielema
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Luke Altmyer17527065%188313107.0
John Paddock8514260%1294939.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Reggie Love III11656744.961
Kaden Feagin9543824.625
Luke Altmyer9428233.072
Joshua McCray4315623.614
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Isaiah Williams821055512.967
Casey Washington49670413.780
Patrick Bryant43560713.046
Tip Reiman19203310.742