Toledo at Bowling Green Game Matchup
Toledo's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Toledo at Illinois+7.045.5L 28 - 30
Sat 9/9 Toledo vs Texas Southern-40.561.0W 71 - 3
Sat 9/16 Toledo vs San José State-9.056.5W 21 - 17
Sat 9/23 Toledo vs Western Michigan-21.552.5W 49 - 31
Sat 9/30 Toledo vs Northern Illinois-13.048.0W 35 - 33
Sat 10/7 Toledo at UMass-19.055.5W 41 - 24
Sat 10/14 Toledo at Ball State-17.548.5W 13 - 6
Sat 10/21 Toledo at Miami (OH)-2.046.5W 21 - 17
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/31 Toledo vs Buffalo-14.047.0W 31 - 13
Wed 11/8 Toledo vs Eastern Michigan-19.545.5W 49 - 23
Tue 11/14 Toledo at Bowling Green-9.548.5W 32 - 31
Fri 11/24 Toledo at Central Michigan-12.554.5W 32 - 17
Sat 12/2 Toledo vs Miami (OH)-8.546.0L 14 - 23
Sat 12/30 Toledo vs Wyoming+4.543.5L 15 - 16
Bowling Green's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Bowling Green at Liberty+8.548.5L 24 - 34
Sat 9/9 Bowling Green vs Eastern Illinois-17.048.0W 38 - 15
Sat 9/16 Bowling Green at Michigan+40.553.5L 6 - 31
Sat 9/23 Bowling Green vs Ohio+13.045.0L 7 - 38
Sat 9/30 Bowling Green at Georgia Tech+21.049.5W 38 - 27
Sat 10/7 Bowling Green at Miami (OH)+7.543.0L 0 - 27
Sat 10/14 Bowling Green at Buffalo+3.044.5W 24 - 14
Sat 10/21 Bowling Green vs Akron-7.037.0W 41 - 14
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/1 Bowling Green vs Ball State-4.539.5W 24 - 21
Wed 11/8 Bowling Green at Kent State-10.541.5W 49 - 19
Tue 11/14 Bowling Green vs Toledo+9.548.5L 31 - 32
Tue 11/21 Bowling Green at Western Michigan-2.054.5W 34 - 10
Tue 12/26 Bowling Green vs Minnesota+2.545.0L 24 - 30
TOL's OC Mike Hallett vs BGSU's DC Sammy Lawanson     BGSU's OC Greg Nosal vs TOL's DC Vince Kehres
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TOL Offense1432.327.845.2%4.441.5204191992205.357%42%46%45%13%.28
BGSU Defense13242441.6%3.712.2 - - - - - 54%44%48%36%17%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BGSU Offense1326.228.241.2%3.651.5173261371894.248%50%45%39%18%.18
TOL Defense1420.320.838.4%3.331.3 - - - - - 51%48%41%36%17%.1

 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TOL Offense1457% (17)46% (38)37.4198.95.331 (17).2 (41)3.36 (20)81% (8)8% (14)1.05 (24)
BGSU Defense1354% (112)48% (119) - - - - .22 (108)3.28 (105)80% (82)10% (110)0.95 (67)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BGSU Offense1348% (82)45% (46)33137.44.222 (51).16 (65)3.06 (81)80% (99)13% (18)1.09 (121)
TOL Defense1451% (82)41% (54) - - - - .14 (66)3.12 (72)73% (115)10% (71)0.99 (73)

 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDsIntsPassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TOL Offense1442% (116)45% (37)16.626.9220.28.213.326 (31)10 (56).42 (24)1.7 (24)32% (80)32% (59).38 (52)5% (35)2 (78)
BGSU Defense1344% (17)36% (11) - - - - - - 17 (3).21 (35)1.7 (111)33% (46)28% (38).32 (71)7% (21)2.1 (72)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDsIntsPassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BGSU Offense1350% (60)39% (98)16.527.5188.86.911.517 (85)14 (107).27 (72)1.7 (35)36% (127)31% (67).29 (82)6% (54)2 (82)
TOL Defense1448% (46)36% (14) - - - - - - 11 (53).12 (10)1.5 (43)34% (45)25% (17).2 (17)8% (16)2 (61)

 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Toledo1427:5520.344%59%6.661.91.51.35.12.5231
Bowling Green1330:3016.833%60%6.960.91.52.24.92.5333.8
Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Toledo's Performance Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Toledo's Offense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Toledo's Defense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Toledo's Team Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

Toledo's SP+ Ratings
Toledo's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 (#51)
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 (#65)
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1 (#35)

Mid-American's Avg 2023 SP+ Rating: -12.5
Mid-American's Avg 2023 SP+ Offense Rating: 17.2
Mid-American's Avg 2023 SP+ Defense Rating: 29.6

Toledo's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.0 (#51)
Toledo's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.7 (#82)
Toledo's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.9 (#56)

Toledo's 2023 Expected Record: -
Power Ratings Matchup
Toledo:    Bowling Green: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Toledo: 4.0   Bowling Green: -5.9

Performance Ratings Matchup
Toledo:    Bowling Green:

Team Ratings Matchup
Toledo:    Bowling Green:




Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: 2 (#Team not found for the given year.)
Bowling Green's Performance Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Bowling Green's Team Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

Bowling Green's SP+ Ratings
Bowling Green's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.9 (#84)
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.6 (#86)
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 (#66)

Mid-American's Avg 2023 SP+ Rating: -12.5
Mid-American's Avg 2023 SP+ Offense Rating: 17.2
Mid-American's Avg 2023 SP+ Defense Rating: 29.6

Bowling Green's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.9 (#84)
Bowling Green's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -18.1 (#123)
Bowling Green's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.4 (#112)

Bowling Green's 2023 Expected Record: -
Toledo Scoring
Offense: 32.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.8
Defense: 20.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8

Toledo's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Toledo Roster Talent
2023 Talent Rating: 497.64
2023 Talent Rating: 497.64
2022 Talent Rating: 498.98
2021 Talent Rating: 465.40

Blue Chip Ratio: 0% (#Team not found for the given year.)

Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 385.66
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 598.22
Projected Score
Toledo 28.2
Bowling Green 23.3

Projected Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
Toledo
Bowling Green

Total Points:
Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.2
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense at Home: 24

Bowling Green's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Bowling Green Roster Talent
2023 Talent Rating: 397.62
2023 Talent Rating: 397.62
2022 Talent Rating: 415.08
2021 Talent Rating: 380.74

Blue Chip Ratio: 0% (#Team not found for the given year.)

Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 385.66
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 598.22




YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/14Bowling Green31Toledo32ToledoToledo -9.5Bowling Green48.5Over
202211/15Toledo35Bowling Green42Bowling GreenToledo -14.5Bowling Green47.0Over
202111/10Bowling Green17Toledo49ToledoToledo -10.5Toledo50.0Over
202011/04Toledo38Bowling Green3ToledoToledo -24Toledo63.0Under
201910/12Bowling Green20Toledo7Bowling GreenToledo -26.5Bowling Green65.0Under
201810/06Toledo52Bowling Green36ToledoToledo -23Bowling Green71.0Over
201711/15Bowling Green37Toledo66ToledoToledo -17.5Toledo66.0Over
201610/15Toledo42Bowling Green35ToledoToledo -24Bowling Green71.0Over
201511/17Bowling Green28Toledo44ToledoBowling Green -9Toledo72.5Under
201411/19Toledo27Bowling Green20ToledoToledo -6.5Toledo0
201310/26Bowling Green25Toledo28ToledoBowling Green -3Toledo0
201209/15Toledo27Bowling Green15Toledo
201110/15Bowling Green21Toledo28Toledo
201011/17Toledo33Bowling Green14Toledo
200911/27Bowling Green38Toledo24Bowling Green
200811/28Toledo10Bowling Green38Bowling Green
200711/23Bowling Green37Toledo10Bowling Green
200611/21Toledo31Bowling Green21Toledo
200511/22Bowling Green41Toledo44Toledo
200411/23Toledo49Bowling Green41Toledo
200311/29Bowling Green31Toledo23Bowling Green
200111/23Bowling Green56Toledo21Bowling Green
200011/21Toledo51Bowling Green17Toledo
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Bowling Green756 Overs
Toledo1663 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 94 - 72 - 52 - 2
Road Teams9 - 147 - 42 - 25 - 2
(#Team not found for the given year.) Toledo Info
Toledo has won 9 straight
Toledo has won 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 5 - 1 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

Toledo is 4 - 0 in last 4 games (1 at Home, 3 on Road)
Last 4 Games: 28 - 20
Last 3 Road Games: 25 - 16

Toledo has Really Good Running Game (#)
Toledo has a top Run Game Offensive Line (#)
Toledo Offense is good in Scoring Position (#)

Toledo has a top Offensive Power Success (#)
Toledo has a good 4th Down Conversion Rate

Toledo Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Toledo Defense has a good overall Success Rate (#)
Toledo has a top Defense vs Opp Scoring Opp (#)
Toledo Defense has a top Success Rate vs the Pass (#)
Toledo Secondary has a top Havoc Rate (#)
Toledo Defense has a top Success Rate on Pass Downs(#)

Toledo Kick Return team is explosive (#)


Toledo Deficiencies
Toledo Fumbles a Lot (#)
Toledo Commits a Lot of Penalties (#)

Rematch from Week 12
Toledo 9.5 (48.5)
Toledo won at Bowling Green this year (32-31)

Previous Matchups
Toledo beat Bowling Green last year (32-31)
Bowling Green beat Toledo in 2022 (42-35)
Toledo beat Bowling Green in 2021 (49-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Doyt Perry Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 45°
Depth Charts
Toledo | Bowling Green
(#Team not found for the given year.) Bowling Green Info
Bowling Green has won 4 straight
Bowling Green has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 2 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

Bowling Green is 4 - 0 in last 4 games (1 at Home, 3 on Road)
Last 4 Games: 26 - 21
Last 1 Home Games: 41 - 14

Bowling Green has an Explosive Offense (#)

Bowling Green has a top Offensive Power Success (#)
Bowling Green has a good 4th Down Conversion Rate

Bowling Green Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Bowling Green Defense has a top Success Rate vs the Pass (#)
Bowling Green Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#)
Bowling Green Secondary has a top Havoc Rate (#)

Bowling Green Defense Recovers a lot of Fumbles (#)
Bowling Green Defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)
Bowling Green Punt Return team is explosive (#)


Bowling Green Deficiencies
Bowling Green has a really bad 3rd Down Conversion Rate (#)
Bowling Green Commits a Lot of Penalties (#)
Bowling Green throws a Lot of Interceptions (#)
Bowling Green has a really bad 3rd Down Conversion Rate
Bowling Green has a bad Defensive Power Success (#)
Bowling Green has a bad Run Game Defensive Line (#)
Bowling Green has a bad Defense Run Success Rate (#)
Bowling Green Gives up a Lot of Explosive Pass Plays (#)


Toledo's Head Coach Jason Candle
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dequan Finn20131763%26512298.4
Tucker Gleason285551%383417.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Peny Boone1941400157.271
Jacquez Stuart11057465.280
Dequan Finn12356374.656
Willie Shaw III3111803.814
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jerjuan Newton52696913.442
Junior Vandeross47664414.168
Anthony Torres26464317.839
Larry Stephens22260211.828
Bowling Green's Head Coach Scot Loeffler
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Connor Bazelak16827761%19351277.0
Camden Orth396857%486557.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Terion Stewart12576286.154
Taron Keith6639045.940
Camden Orth6720853.118
Jaison Patterson3512813.720
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Harold Fannin44623614.256
Odieu Hilaire45532411.846
Taron Keith44457310.458
Austin Osborne29302010.442