Ole Miss at Mississippi State Game Matchup
Ole Miss's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Ole Miss vs Mercer-35.059.5W 73 - 7
Sat 9/9 Ole Miss at Tulane-8.064.0W 37 - 20
Sat 9/16 Ole Miss vs Georgia Tech-17.061.5W 48 - 23
Sat 9/23 Ole Miss at Alabama+7.056.0L 10 - 24
Sat 9/30 Ole Miss vs LSU+3.067.0W 55 - 49
Sat 10/7 Ole Miss vs Arkansas-13.061.5W 27 - 20
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Ole Miss at Auburn-6.555.5W 28 - 21
Sat 10/28 Ole Miss vs Vanderbilt-24.062.0W 33 - 7
Sat 11/4 Ole Miss vs Texas A&M-3.052.5W 38 - 35
Sat 11/11 Ole Miss at Georgia+11.059.0L 17 - 52
Sat 11/18 Ole Miss vs Louisiana Monroe-35.559.5W 35 - 3
Thu 11/23 Ole Miss at Mississippi State-11.056.0W 17 - 7
Sat 12/30 Ole Miss vs Penn State+5.553.0W 38 - 25
MISS's OC John David Baker vs MSST's DC Matt Brock     MSST's OC Kevin Barbay vs MISS's DC Pete Golding
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MISS Offense1335.121.844.4%4.720.5234621762864.354%45%44%45%15%.28
MSST Defense1226.625.142.3%4.331 - - - - - 52%47%42%43%16%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MSST Offense1221.825.335.9%3.471.2173291471824.450%49%38%35%16%.09
MISS Defense1322.524.841.6%3.641.4 - - - - - 50%49%43%41%18%.18

 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MISS Offense1354% (37)44% (54)41.1176.54.329 (22).17 (60)2.94 (100)70% (54)11% (95)1.05 (80)
MSST Defense1252% (97)42% (64) - - - - .1 (41)2.97 (45)74% (57)11% (74)0.92 (51)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MSST Offense1250% (64)38% (123)33.4146.84.412 (116).07 (113)2.91 (105)59% (102)11% (128)1.02 (81)
MISS Defense1350% (62)43% (74) - - - - .14 (70)3.21 (96)86% (74)11% (127)0.98 (30)

 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDsIntsPassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MISS Offense1345% (97)45% (31)19.730.4285.69.414.526 (31)6 (14).45 (17)1.7 (21)32% (72)33% (55).43 (39)5% (22)2.2 (28)
MSST Defense1247% (35)43% (84) - - - - - - 7 (111).29 (84)1.6 (55)30% (105)29% (49).36 (90)5% (107)2 (57)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDsIntsPassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MSST Offense1249% (67)35% (120)16.829181.86.310.915 (96)10 (56).13 (115)1.6 (52)36% (129)26% (104).19 (106)6% (65)2 (98)
MISS Defense1349% (70)41% (54) - - - - - - 13 (26).26 (59)1.6 (79)32% (65)27% (26).23 (31)7% (43)2 (35)

 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ole Miss1327:4323.537%69%7.259.10.51.45.92.6129
Mississippi State1228:4016.631%42%6.356.81.215.62.3229.9
Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Ole Miss's Performance Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Ole Miss's Team Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

Ole Miss's SP+ Ratings
Ole Miss's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.0 (#14)
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7 (#21)
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 (#21)

SEC's Avg 2023 SP+ Rating: 10.7
SEC's Avg 2023 SP+ Offense Rating: 32.8
SEC's Avg 2023 SP+ Defense Rating: 22.3

Ole Miss's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.0 (#14)
Ole Miss's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.2 (#14)
Ole Miss's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.8 (#17)

Ole Miss's 2023 Expected Record: -
Power Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss:    Mississippi State: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: 16.0   Mississippi State: -0.4

Performance Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss:    Mississippi State:

Team Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss:    Mississippi State:




Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 2 (#Team not found for the given year.)
Mississippi State's Performance Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Mississippi State's Team Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

Mississippi State's SP+ Ratings
Mississippi State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.4 (#66)
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 (#78)
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 (#55)

SEC's Avg 2023 SP+ Rating: 10.7
SEC's Avg 2023 SP+ Offense Rating: 32.8
SEC's Avg 2023 SP+ Defense Rating: 22.3

Mississippi State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.4 (#66)
Mississippi State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.4 (#19)
Mississippi State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.5 (#34)

Mississippi State's 2023 Expected Record: -
Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 35.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 22.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.8

Ole Miss's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Ole Miss Roster Talent
2023 Talent Rating: 756.04
2023 Talent Rating: 756.04
2022 Talent Rating: 757.39
2021 Talent Rating: 732.02

Blue Chip Ratio: 0% (#Team not found for the given year.)

Average SEC Talent Rating is 824.13
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 598.22
Projected Score
Ole Miss 30.9
Mississippi State 22.2


Projected Total Points: 53

Based on Entire Season
Ole Miss
Mississippi State

Total Points:
Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 21.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.3
Defense: 26.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.1

Mississippi State's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Mississippi State Roster Talent
2023 Talent Rating: 746.29
2023 Talent Rating: 746.29
2022 Talent Rating: 725.55
2021 Talent Rating: 716.17

Blue Chip Ratio: 0% (#Team not found for the given year.)

Average SEC Talent Rating is 824.13
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 598.22




YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/23Mississippi State7Ole Miss17Ole MissOle Miss -11Mississippi State56.0Under
202211/24Ole Miss22Mississippi State24Mississippi StateOle Miss -2.5Mississippi State63.0Under
202111/25Mississippi State21Ole Miss31Ole MissMississippi State -2.5Ole Miss65.0Under
202011/28Ole Miss31Mississippi State24Ole MissOle Miss -10Mississippi State70.0Under
201911/28Mississippi State21Ole Miss20Mississippi StateMississippi State -1Push59.0Under
201811/22Ole Miss3Mississippi State35Mississippi StateMississippi State -12.5Mississippi State61.0Under
201711/23Mississippi State28Ole Miss31Ole MissMississippi State -14Ole Miss64.5Under
201611/26Ole Miss20Mississippi State55Mississippi StateOle Miss -8Mississippi State67.5Over
201511/28Mississippi State27Ole Miss38Ole MissOle Miss -2Ole Miss65.5Under
201411/29Ole Miss31Mississippi State17Ole MissMississippi State -2.5Ole Miss51.5Under
201311/28Mississippi State17Ole Miss10Mississippi StateOle Miss -3Mississippi State0
201211/24Ole Miss41Mississippi State24Ole Miss
201111/26Mississippi State31Ole Miss3Mississippi State
201011/27Ole Miss23Mississippi State31Mississippi State
200911/28Mississippi State41Ole Miss27Mississippi State
200811/28Ole Miss45Mississippi State0Ole Miss
200711/23Mississippi State17Ole Miss14Mississippi State
200611/25Ole Miss20Mississippi State17Ole Miss
200511/26Mississippi State35Ole Miss14Mississippi State
200411/27Ole Miss20Mississippi State3Ole Miss
200311/27Mississippi State0Ole Miss31Ole Miss
200111/22Mississippi State36Ole Miss28Mississippi State
200011/22Ole Miss45Mississippi State30Ole Miss
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Mississippi State1161 Overs
Ole Miss1249 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 93 - 70 - 53 - 2
Road Teams9 - 147 - 32 - 35 - 0
(#Team not found for the given year.) Ole Miss Info
Ole Miss has won 1 straight
Ole Miss has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 4 - 2 (2 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

Ole Miss is 3 - 1 in last 4 games (3 at Home, 1 on Road)
Last 4 Games: 36 - 24

Last 1 Road Games: 28 - 21

Ole Miss has an Explosive Offense (#)
Ole Miss Offense is good in Scoring Position (#)

Ole Miss Does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#)
Ole Miss has a good 4th Down Conversion Rate

Ole Miss Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Ole Miss Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#)
Ole Miss Front 7 has a top Havoc Rate (#)
Ole Miss Defense has a top Success Rate on Pass Downs(#)

Ole Miss has a great TO Margin (#)
Ole Miss Offense throws very few Interceptions (#)
Ole Miss Defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)
Ole Miss Punt Return team is explosive (#)


Ole Miss Deficiencies
Ole Miss Commits a Lot of Penalties (#)
Ole Miss has a bad Defensive Power Success (#)

Rematch from Week 13
Ole Miss 11.0 (56.0)
Ole Miss won at Mississippi State this year (17-7)

Previous Matchups
Ole Miss beat Mississippi State last year (17-7)
Mississippi State beat Ole Miss in 2022 (24-22)
Ole Miss beat Mississippi State in 2021 (31-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Davis Wade Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 44°
Depth Charts
Ole Miss | Mississippi State
(#Team not found for the given year.) Mississippi State Info
Mississippi State has won 1 straight
Mississippi State has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 4 (3 - 5 - 0 vs Spread)

Mississippi State is 1 - 3 in last 4 games (2 at Home, 2 on Road)
Last 4 Games: 20 - 25

Last 2 Home Games: 29 - 34

Mississippi State Does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#)

Mississippi State has a great TO Margin (#)
Mississippi State Kick Return team is explosive (#)
Mississippi State Punt Return team is explosive (#)


Mississippi State Deficiencies
Mississippi State has a really bad 3rd Down Conversion Rate (#)
Mississippi State has a bad Offense Success Rate (#)
Mississippi State has a bad Offensive Power Success (#)
Mississippi State has a bad Offense Pass Downs Success Rate (#)
Mississippi State has a bad Offense Run Success Rate (#)
Mississippi State has a bad Offense Pass Success Rate (#)
Mississippi State has a really bad 3rd Down Conversion Rate
Mississippi State Defense Doesn't Pick off a Lot of Passes (#)
Mississippi State has a bad Defense Scoring Opp Rate (#)
Mississippi State Secondary has a bad Havoc Rate (#)




Ole Miss's Head Coach Lane Kiffin
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jaxson Dart23335965%33642359.4
Spencer Sanders192966%278309.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Quinshon Judkins2711158154.340
Ulysses Bentley IV9554045.743
Jaxson Dart11939183.368
Matt Jones127926.636
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tre Harris54985818.256
Dayton Wade55830415.158
Jordan Watkins53741314.068
Caden Prieskorn30449415.037
Mississippi State's Head Coach Greg Knox (Int)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Will Rogers14223760%16261246.9
Mike Wright488557%453335.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jo'quavious Marks12157344.752
Seth Davis5935616.046
Mike Wright7132434.653
Jeffery Pittman5426815.059
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Lideatrick Griffin50658413.265
Zavion Thomas40503112.635
Justin Robinson21257012.230
Jo'quavious Marks2316727.332