Mississippi State at Auburn Game Matchup
Auburn's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Auburn vs UMass-35.052.0W 59 - 14
Sat 9/9 Auburn at California-5.055.5W 14 - 10
Sat 9/16 Auburn vs Samford-37.562.0W 45 - 13
Sat 9/23 Auburn at Texas A&M+9.551.0L 10 - 27
Sat 9/30 Auburn vs Georgia+14.044.5L 20 - 27
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Auburn at LSU+11.060.0L 18 - 48
Sat 10/21 Auburn vs Ole Miss+6.555.5L 21 - 28
Sat 10/28 Auburn vs Mississippi State-6.540.0W 27 - 13
Sat 11/4 Auburn at Vanderbilt-12.550.0W 31 - 15
Sat 11/11 Auburn at Arkansas+2.546.5W 48 - 10
Sat 11/18 Auburn vs New Mexico State-25.548.5L 10 - 31
Sat 11/25 Auburn vs Alabama+14.048.0L 24 - 27
Sat 12/30 Auburn vs Maryland-4.047.5L 13 - 31
MSST's OC Kevin Barbay vs AUB's DC Ron Roberts     AUB's OC Philip Montgomery vs MSST's DC Matt Brock
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MSST Offense1221.81535.9%3.471.2173291471824.450%49%38%35%16%.09
AUB Defense1322.621.940%3.651.4 - - - - - 52%47%43%37%17%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AUB Offense1326.229.441.3%3.991.5193511891624.856%43%45%37%16%.14
MSST Defense1226.629.542.3%4.331 - - - - - 52%47%42%43%16%.17

 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MSST Offense1250% (64)38% (123)33.4146.84.412 (116).07 (113)2.91 (105)59% (102)11% (128)1.02 (81)
AUB Defense1352% (103)43% (72) - - - - .13 (63)2.95 (40)86% (66)10% (126)0.94 (57)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AUB Offense1356% (20)45% (44)39.51894.822 (51).19 (47)3.01 (86)74% (52)11% (69)1.02 (85)
MSST Defense1252% (97)42% (64) - - - - .1 (41)2.97 (45)74% (57)11% (74)0.92 (51)

 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDsIntsPassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MSST Offense1249% (67)35% (120)16.829181.86.310.915 (96)10 (56).13 (115)1.6 (52)36% (129)26% (104).19 (106)6% (65)2 (98)
AUB Defense1347% (30)37% (20) - - - - - - 12 (37).2 (33)1.8 (125)35% (22)31% (79).29 (57)7% (49)2.2 (97)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDsIntsPassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AUB Offense1343% (114)37% (110)14.524.4162.26.711.218 (81)13 (97).12 (120)1.6 (74)32% (76)25% (117).14 (121)5% (41)1.9 (112)
MSST Defense1247% (35)43% (84) - - - - - - 7 (111).29 (84)1.6 (55)30% (105)29% (49).36 (90)5% (107)2 (57)

 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Mississippi State1228:4016.631%42%6.356.81.215.62.3229.9
Auburn1329:0318.533%50%5.543.81.51.45.52.1229.4
Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Mississippi State's Performance Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Mississippi State's Team Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

Mississippi State's SP+ Ratings
Mississippi State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.4 (#66)
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 (#78)
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 (#55)

SEC's Avg 2023 SP+ Rating: 10.7
SEC's Avg 2023 SP+ Offense Rating: 32.8
SEC's Avg 2023 SP+ Defense Rating: 22.3

Mississippi State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.4 (#66)
Mississippi State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.4 (#19)
Mississippi State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.5 (#34)

Mississippi State's 2023 Expected Record: -
Power Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State:    Auburn: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State: -0.4   Auburn: 8.1

Performance Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State:    Auburn:

Team Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State:    Auburn:




Auburn's Power Ratings
Auburn's Power Rating: 2 (#Team not found for the given year.)
Auburn's Performance Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Auburn's Offense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Auburn's Defense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Auburn's Team Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

Auburn's SP+ Ratings
Auburn's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 (#36)
Auburn's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 (#65)
Auburn's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.0 (#24)

SEC's Avg 2023 SP+ Rating: 10.7
SEC's Avg 2023 SP+ Offense Rating: 32.8
SEC's Avg 2023 SP+ Defense Rating: 22.3

Auburn's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.1 (#36)
Auburn's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.1 (#54)
Auburn's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0 (#29)

Auburn's 2023 Expected Record: -
Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 21.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 15
Defense: 26.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.5

Mississippi State's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Mississippi State Roster Talent
2023 Talent Rating: 746.29
2023 Talent Rating: 746.29
2022 Talent Rating: 725.55
2021 Talent Rating: 716.17

Blue Chip Ratio: 0% (#Team not found for the given year.)

Average SEC Talent Rating is 824.13
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 598.22
Projected Score
Auburn 26.4
Mississippi State 22.2

Projected Total Points: 49

Based on Entire Season
Mississippi State
Auburn

Total Points:
Auburn Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.4
Defense: 22.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.9

Auburn's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Auburn Roster Talent
2023 Talent Rating: 770.94
2023 Talent Rating: 770.94
2022 Talent Rating: 783.87
2021 Talent Rating: 840.38

Blue Chip Ratio: 0% (#Team not found for the given year.)

Average SEC Talent Rating is 824.13
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 598.22




YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/28Auburn27Mississippi State13AuburnAuburn -6.5Auburn40.0Push
202211/05Mississippi State39Auburn33Mississippi StateMississippi State -12.5Auburn50.5Over
202111/13Auburn34Mississippi State43Mississippi StateAuburn -6Mississippi State51.0Over
202012/12Mississippi State10Auburn24AuburnAuburn -5.5Auburn50.5Under
201909/28Auburn56Mississippi State23AuburnAuburn -7.5Auburn47.0Over
201810/06Mississippi State23Auburn9Mississippi StateAuburn -3Mississippi State45.0Under
201709/30Auburn49Mississippi State10AuburnAuburn -7.5Auburn51.5Over
201610/08Mississippi State14Auburn38AuburnMississippi State -1.5Auburn55.0Under
201509/26Auburn9Mississippi State17Mississippi StateAuburn -3.5Mississippi State58.5Under
201410/11Mississippi State38Auburn23Mississippi StateAuburn -3Mississippi State0
201309/14Auburn24Mississippi State20AuburnAuburn -6Mississippi State0
201209/08Mississippi State28Auburn10Mississippi State
201109/10Auburn41Mississippi State34Auburn
201009/09Mississippi State14Auburn17Auburn
200909/12Auburn49Mississippi State24Auburn
200809/13Mississippi State2Auburn3Auburn
200709/15Auburn14Mississippi State19Mississippi State
200609/09Mississippi State0Auburn34Auburn
200509/10Auburn28Mississippi State0Auburn
200409/11Mississippi State14Auburn43Auburn
200310/18Auburn45Mississippi State13Auburn
200209/19Mississippi State14Auburn42Auburn
200110/06Auburn16Mississippi State14Auburn
200010/06Mississippi State17Auburn10Mississippi State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Auburn1664 Overs
Mississippi State854 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 105 - 63 - 52 - 1
Road Teams10 - 146 - 51 - 25 - 3
(#Team not found for the given year.) Mississippi State Info
Mississippi State has won 2 straight
Mississippi State has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 3 (1 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

Mississippi State is 2 - 2 in last 4 games (2 at Home, 2 on Road)
Last 4 Games: 20 - 25
Last 2 Road Games: 10 - 15

Mississippi State Does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#)

Mississippi State has a great TO Margin (#)
Mississippi State Kick Return team is explosive (#)
Mississippi State Punt Return team is explosive (#)


Mississippi State Deficiencies
Mississippi State has a really bad 3rd Down Conversion Rate (#)
Mississippi State has a bad Offense Success Rate (#)
Mississippi State has a bad Offensive Power Success (#)
Mississippi State has a bad Offense Pass Downs Success Rate (#)
Mississippi State has a bad Offense Run Success Rate (#)
Mississippi State has a bad Offense Pass Success Rate (#)
Mississippi State has a really bad 3rd Down Conversion Rate
Mississippi State Defense Doesn't Pick off a Lot of Passes (#)
Mississippi State has a bad Defense Scoring Opp Rate (#)
Mississippi State Secondary has a bad Havoc Rate (#)

Rematch from Week 9
Auburn -6.5 (40.0)
Auburn won vs Mississippi State this year (27-13)

Previous Matchups
Auburn beat Mississippi State last year (27-13)
Mississippi State beat Auburn in 2022 (39-33)
Mississippi State beat Auburn in 2021 (43-34)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Jordan-Hare Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 75°
Depth Charts
Mississippi State | Auburn
(#Team not found for the given year.) Auburn Info
Auburn has lost 4 straight
Auburn has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 4 (4 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

Auburn is 0 - 4 in last 4 games (3 at Home, 1 on Road)
Last 4 Games: 22 - 29
Last 3 Home Games: 23 - 23

Auburn has Really Good Running Game (#)

Auburn has a good 4th Down Conversion Rate
Auburn Defense has a top Success Rate vs the Pass (#)

Auburn Punt Return team is explosive (#)


Auburn Deficiencies
Auburn has a really bad 3rd Down Conversion Rate (#)
Auburn is Not an Explosive Offense (#)
Auburn has a bad Offense Pass Downs Success Rate (#)
Auburn has a bad Offense Pass Success Rate (#)
Auburn has a really bad 3rd Down Conversion Rate
Auburn has a bad Defensive Power Success (#)
Auburn Gives up a Lot of Explosive Pass Plays (#)







Mississippi State's Head Coach Greg Knox (Int)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Will Rogers14223760%16261246.9
Mike Wright488557%453335.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jo'quavious Marks12157344.752
Seth Davis5935616.046
Mike Wright7132434.653
Jeffery Pittman5426815.059
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Lideatrick Griffin50658413.265
Zavion Thomas40503112.635
Justin Robinson21257012.230
Jo'quavious Marks2316727.332
Auburn's Head Coach Hugh Freeze
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Payton Thorne16226561%175516106.6
Robby Ashford142752%145225.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jarquez Hunter15990975.767
Payton Thorne13451533.861
Damari Alston6432025.056
Brian Battie5122714.524
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Rivaldo Fairweather38394610.453
Ja'Varrius Johnson19347318.345
Jay Fair31324210.536
Caleb Burton16226014.153