Mississippi State at Arkansas Game Matchup
Arkansas's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Arkansas vs Western Carolina-38.061.0W 56 - 13
Sat 9/9 Arkansas vs Kent State-38.057.5W 28 - 6
Sat 9/16 Arkansas vs BYU-9.048.0L 31 - 38
Sat 9/23 Arkansas at LSU+17.555.0L 31 - 34
Sat 9/30 Arkansas vs Texas A&M+6.553.5L 22 - 34
Sat 10/7 Arkansas at Ole Miss+13.061.5L 20 - 27
Sat 10/14 Arkansas at Alabama+19.045.0L 21 - 24
Sat 10/21 Arkansas vs Mississippi State-6.546.5L 3 - 7
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Arkansas at Florida+4.550.0W 39 - 36
Sat 11/11 Arkansas vs Auburn-2.546.5L 10 - 48
Sat 11/18 Arkansas vs Florida International-27.549.5W 44 - 20
Fri 11/24 Arkansas vs Missouri+9.553.5L 14 - 48
MSST's OC Kevin Barbay vs ARK's DC Travis Williams     ARK's OC Kenny Guiton vs MSST's DC Matt Brock
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MSST Offense1221.81535.9%3.471.2173291471824.450%49%38%35%16%.09
ARK Defense1227.927.839.5%3.931.5 - - - - - 53%46%41%39%18%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARK Offense1226.621.739.3%4.221.5173271391883.552%47%43%36%20%.18
MSST Defense1226.629.542.3%4.331 - - - - - 52%47%42%43%16%.17

 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MSST Offense1250% (64)38% (123)33.4146.84.412 (116).07 (113)2.91 (105)59% (102)11% (128)1.02 (81)
ARK Defense1253% (108)41% (48) - - - - .07 (27)2.95 (41)70% (37)11% (45)0.9 (29)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARK Offense1252% (48)43% (74)39.31393.59 (128).15 (70)3.3 (34)84% (59)15% (5)0.89 (130)
MSST Defense1252% (97)42% (64) - - - - .1 (41)2.97 (45)74% (57)11% (74)0.92 (51)

 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDsIntsPassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MSST Offense1249% (67)35% (120)16.829181.86.310.915 (96)10 (56).13 (115)1.6 (52)36% (129)26% (104).19 (106)6% (65)2 (98)
ARK Defense1246% (29)39% (29) - - - - - - 12 (37).27 (65)1.9 (130)32% (62)27% (27).3 (61)7% (42)2.3 (129)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDsIntsPassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARK Offense1247% (86)36% (112)17.326.9187.5710.922 (61)8 (30).24 (80)1.8 (14)34% (97)27% (98).39 (49)5% (32)2.4 (3)
MSST Defense1247% (35)43% (84) - - - - - - 7 (111).29 (84)1.6 (55)30% (105)29% (49).36 (90)5% (107)2 (57)

 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Mississippi State1228:4016.631%42%6.356.81.215.62.3229.9
Arkansas1230:4317.338%63%6.355.41.51.56.32.4527.5
Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Mississippi State's Performance Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Mississippi State's Team Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

Mississippi State's SP+ Ratings
Mississippi State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.4 (#66)
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 (#78)
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 (#55)

SEC's Avg 2023 SP+ Rating: 10.7
SEC's Avg 2023 SP+ Offense Rating: 32.8
SEC's Avg 2023 SP+ Defense Rating: 22.3

Mississippi State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.4 (#66)
Mississippi State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.4 (#19)
Mississippi State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.5 (#34)

Mississippi State's 2023 Expected Record: -
Power Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State:    Arkansas: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State: -0.4   Arkansas: 2.7

Performance Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State:    Arkansas:

Team Ratings Matchup
Mississippi State:    Arkansas:




Arkansas's Power Ratings
Arkansas's Power Rating: 2 (#Team not found for the given year.)
Arkansas's Performance Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Arkansas's Offense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Arkansas's Defense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Arkansas's Team Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

Arkansas's SP+ Ratings
Arkansas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.7 (#58)
Arkansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 (#57)
Arkansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.0 (#69)

SEC's Avg 2023 SP+ Rating: 10.7
SEC's Avg 2023 SP+ Offense Rating: 32.8
SEC's Avg 2023 SP+ Defense Rating: 22.3

Arkansas's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.7 (#58)
Arkansas's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.0 (#29)
Arkansas's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.8 (#22)

Arkansas's 2023 Expected Record: -
Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 21.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 15
Defense: 26.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.5

Mississippi State's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Mississippi State Roster Talent
2023 Talent Rating: 746.29
2023 Talent Rating: 746.29
2022 Talent Rating: 725.55
2021 Talent Rating: 716.17

Blue Chip Ratio: 0% (#Team not found for the given year.)

Average SEC Talent Rating is 824.13
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 598.22
Projected Score
Arkansas 26.6
Mississippi State 24.9

Projected Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
Mississippi State
Arkansas

Total Points:
Arkansas Scoring
Offense: 26.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.7
Defense: 27.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.8

Arkansas's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 6 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0

Arkansas Roster Talent
2023 Talent Rating: 730.93
2023 Talent Rating: 730.93
2022 Talent Rating: 741.06
2021 Talent Rating: 722.84

Blue Chip Ratio: 0% (#Team not found for the given year.)

Average SEC Talent Rating is 824.13
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 598.22




YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/21Arkansas3Mississippi State7Mississippi StateArkansas -6.5Mississippi State46.5Under
202210/08Mississippi State40Arkansas17Mississippi StateMississippi State -8Mississippi State55.5Over
202111/06Arkansas31Mississippi State28ArkansasArkansas -4Mississippi State54.0Over
202010/03Mississippi State14Arkansas21ArkansasMississippi State -16.5Arkansas68.0Under
201911/02Arkansas24Mississippi State54Mississippi StateMississippi State -7Mississippi State59.0Over
201811/17Mississippi State52Arkansas6Mississippi StateMississippi State -22.5Mississippi State49.0Over
201711/18Arkansas21Mississippi State28Mississippi StateMississippi State -14Arkansas56.0Under
201611/19Mississippi State42Arkansas58ArkansasMississippi State -1Arkansas57.5Over
201511/21Arkansas50Mississippi State51Mississippi StateArkansas -3Mississippi State59.0Over
201411/01Mississippi State17Arkansas10Mississippi StateMississippi State -14Arkansas0
201311/23Arkansas17Mississippi State24Mississippi StateMississippi State -3Mississippi State0
201211/17Mississippi State45Arkansas14Mississippi State
201111/19Arkansas44Mississippi State17Arkansas
201011/20Mississippi State31Arkansas38Arkansas
200911/21Arkansas42Mississippi State21Arkansas
200811/22Mississippi State31Arkansas28Mississippi State
200711/17Arkansas45Mississippi State31Arkansas
200611/18Mississippi State14Arkansas28Arkansas
200511/19Arkansas44Mississippi State10Arkansas
200411/20Mississippi State21Arkansas24Arkansas
200311/22Arkansas52Mississippi State6Arkansas
200111/17Arkansas24Mississippi State21Arkansas
200011/17Mississippi State10Arkansas17Arkansas
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arkansas1346 Overs
Mississippi State1073 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 113 - 82 - 61 - 2
Road Teams11 - 128 - 32 - 16 - 2
(#Team not found for the given year.) Mississippi State Info
Mississippi State has won 1 straight
Mississippi State has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 3 (1 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

Mississippi State is 1 - 3 in last 4 games (2 at Home, 2 on Road)
Last 4 Games: 20 - 25
Last 2 Road Games: 10 - 15

Mississippi State Does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#)

Mississippi State has a great TO Margin (#)
Mississippi State Kick Return team is explosive (#)
Mississippi State Punt Return team is explosive (#)


Mississippi State Deficiencies
Mississippi State has a really bad 3rd Down Conversion Rate (#)
Mississippi State has a bad Offense Success Rate (#)
Mississippi State has a bad Offensive Power Success (#)
Mississippi State has a bad Offense Pass Downs Success Rate (#)
Mississippi State has a bad Offense Run Success Rate (#)
Mississippi State has a bad Offense Pass Success Rate (#)
Mississippi State has a really bad 3rd Down Conversion Rate
Mississippi State Defense Doesn't Pick off a Lot of Passes (#)
Mississippi State has a bad Defense Scoring Opp Rate (#)
Mississippi State Secondary has a bad Havoc Rate (#)

Rematch from Week 8
Arkansas -6.5 (46.5)
Mississippi State won at Arkansas this year (7-3)

Previous Matchups
Mississippi State beat Arkansas last year (7-3)
Mississippi State beat Arkansas in 2022 (40-17)
Arkansas beat Mississippi State in 2021 (31-28)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Razorback Stadium Frank Broyles Field
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 77°
Depth Charts
Mississippi State | Arkansas
(#Team not found for the given year.) Arkansas Info
Arkansas has lost 5 straight
Arkansas has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 4 (0 - 6 - 0 vs Spread)

Arkansas is 0 - 4 in last 4 games (1 at Home, 2 on Road)
Last 4 Games: 17 - 23
Last 1 Home Games: 3 - 7

Arkansas has a top Offensive Power Success (#)
Arkansas has a good 4th Down Conversion Rate

Arkansas Defense has a top Success Rate vs the Pass (#)
Arkansas Front 7 has a top Havoc Rate (#)
Arkansas Defense has a top Success Rate on Pass Downs(#)
Arkansas Defense limits Explosive Run Plays (#)

Arkansas Offense throws very few Interceptions (#)
Arkansas Punt Return team is explosive (#)


Arkansas Deficiencies
Arkansas Fumbles a Lot (#)
Arkansas has a bad Offense Success Rate (#)
Arkansas Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#)
Arkansas has a bad Offense Pass Success Rate (#)
Arkansas Gives up a Lot of Explosive Pass Plays (#)





Mississippi State's Head Coach Greg Knox (Int)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Will Rogers14223760%16261246.9
Mike Wright488557%453335.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jo'quavious Marks12157344.752
Seth Davis5935616.046
Mike Wright7132434.653
Jeffery Pittman5426815.059
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Lideatrick Griffin50658413.265
Zavion Thomas40503112.635
Justin Robinson21257012.230
Jo'quavious Marks2316727.332
Arkansas's Head Coach Sam Pittman
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
KJ Jefferson19029664%21071987.1
Jacolby Criswell172763%143305.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
KJ Jefferson16144722.826
AJ Green6731224.755
Rashod Dubinion8226013.215
Raheim Sanders6220923.419
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Andrew Armstrong56764513.648
Isaac Teslaa34351210.336
Luke Hasz16253315.859
Jaedon Wilson15199213.365