Alabama at Mississippi State Game Matchup
Alabama's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Alabama vs Middle Tennessee-39.552.0W 56 - 7
Sat 9/9 Alabama vs Texas-7.053.0L 24 - 34
Sat 9/16 Alabama at South Florida-34.061.0W 17 - 3
Sat 9/23 Alabama vs Ole Miss-7.056.0W 24 - 10
Sat 9/30 Alabama at Mississippi State-16.545.0W 40 - 17
Sat 10/7 Alabama at Texas A&M-2.545.0W 26 - 20
Sat 10/14 Alabama vs Arkansas-19.045.0W 24 - 21
Sat 10/21 Alabama vs Tennessee-8.547.5W 34 - 20
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Alabama vs LSU-3.061.5W 42 - 28
Sat 11/11 Alabama at Kentucky-10.045.5W 49 - 21
Sat 11/18 Alabama vs Chattanooga-44.554.5W 66 - 10
Sat 11/25 Alabama at Auburn-14.048.0W 27 - 24
Sat 12/2 Alabama vs Georgia+5.056.0W 27 - 24
Mon 1/1 Alabama vs Michigan+2.046.0L 20 - 27
ALA's OC Tommy Rees vs MSST's DC Matt Brock     MSST's OC Kevin Barbay vs ALA's DC Kevin Steele
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ALA Offense143431.845%4.590.7193731602124.357%43%45%45%15%.29
MSST Defense1226.625.142.3%4.331 - - - - - 52%47%42%43%16%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MSST Offense1221.825.335.9%3.471.2173291471824.450%49%38%35%16%.09
ALA Defense14191735.8%3.861.3 - - - - - 48%52%38%34%19%.11

 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ALA Offense1457% (18)45% (43)37160.44.330 (21).21 (39)3.23 (45)81% (26)11% (13)0.98 (91)
MSST Defense1252% (97)42% (64) - - - - .1 (41)2.97 (45)74% (57)11% (74)0.92 (51)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MSST Offense1250% (64)38% (123)33.4146.84.412 (116).07 (113)2.91 (105)59% (102)11% (128)1.02 (81)
ALA Defense1448% (40)38% (28) - - - - .15 (71)3.13 (74)67% (53)12% (36)1.12 (21)

 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDsIntsPassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ALA Offense1443% (115)45% (34)13.721.6212.19.815.523 (51)6 (14).44 (20)1.9 (8)31% (50)34% (39).55 (11)4% (6)2.6 (1)
MSST Defense1247% (35)43% (84) - - - - - - 7 (111).29 (84)1.6 (55)30% (105)29% (49).36 (90)5% (107)2 (57)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDsIntsPassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MSST Offense1249% (67)35% (120)16.829181.86.310.915 (96)10 (56).13 (115)1.6 (52)36% (129)26% (104).19 (106)6% (65)2 (98)
ALA Defense1452% (98)34% (6) - - - - - - 12 (37).11 (9)1.5 (42)35% (29)26% (18).23 (25)7% (37)2.1 (71)

 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Alabama1428:2518.647%83%5.445.70.71.35.92.8230.6
Mississippi State1228:4016.631%42%6.356.81.215.62.3229.9
Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Alabama's Performance Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Alabama's Offense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Alabama's Defense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Alabama's Team Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

Alabama's SP+ Ratings
Alabama's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.7 (#7)
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.1 (#11)
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.4 (#9)

SEC's Avg 2023 SP+ Rating: 10.7
SEC's Avg 2023 SP+ Offense Rating: 32.8
SEC's Avg 2023 SP+ Defense Rating: 22.3

Alabama's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 23.7 (#7)
Alabama's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 30.3 (#4)
Alabama's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 26.0 (#3)

Alabama's 2023 Expected Record: -
Power Ratings Matchup
Alabama:    Mississippi State: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 23.7   Mississippi State: -0.4

Performance Ratings Matchup
Alabama:    Mississippi State:

Team Ratings Matchup
Alabama:    Mississippi State:




Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 2 (#Team not found for the given year.)
Mississippi State's Performance Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Mississippi State's Team Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

Mississippi State's SP+ Ratings
Mississippi State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.4 (#66)
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 (#78)
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 (#55)

SEC's Avg 2023 SP+ Rating: 10.7
SEC's Avg 2023 SP+ Offense Rating: 32.8
SEC's Avg 2023 SP+ Defense Rating: 22.3

Mississippi State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.4 (#66)
Mississippi State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.4 (#19)
Mississippi State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.5 (#34)

Mississippi State's 2023 Expected Record: -
Alabama Scoring
Offense: 34 PPG
Offense on Road: 31.8
Defense: 19 PPG
Defense on Road: 17

Alabama's 2023 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Alabama Roster Talent
2023 Talent Rating: 1015.43
2023 Talent Rating: 1015.43
2022 Talent Rating: 1016.79
2021 Talent Rating: 1004.04

Blue Chip Ratio: 0% (#Team not found for the given year.)

Average SEC Talent Rating is 824.13
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 598.22
Projected Score
Alabama 30.3
Mississippi State 20.4

Projected Total Points: 51

Based on Entire Season
Alabama
Mississippi State

Total Points:
Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 21.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.3
Defense: 26.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.1

Mississippi State's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Mississippi State Roster Talent
2023 Talent Rating: 746.29
2023 Talent Rating: 746.29
2022 Talent Rating: 725.55
2021 Talent Rating: 716.17

Blue Chip Ratio: 0% (#Team not found for the given year.)

Average SEC Talent Rating is 824.13
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 598.22




YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/30Mississippi State17Alabama40AlabamaAlabama -16.5Alabama45.0Over
202210/22Alabama30Mississippi State6AlabamaAlabama -21.5Alabama61.5Under
202110/16Mississippi State9Alabama49AlabamaAlabama -17.5Alabama59.5Under
202010/31Alabama41Mississippi State0AlabamaAlabama -32.0Alabama0
201911/16Mississippi State7Alabama38AlabamaAlabama -19Alabama61.0Under
201811/10Alabama24Mississippi State0AlabamaAlabama -21.5Alabama50.0Under
201711/11Mississippi State24Alabama31AlabamaAlabama -14.5Mississippi State50.0Over
201611/12Alabama51Mississippi State3AlabamaAlabama -28.5Alabama52.5Over
201511/14Mississippi State6Alabama31AlabamaAlabama -7Alabama51.5Under
201411/15Alabama25Mississippi State20AlabamaAlabama -6.5Mississippi State0
201311/16Mississippi State7Alabama20AlabamaAlabama -24.5Mississippi State0
201210/27Alabama38Mississippi State7Alabama
201111/12Mississippi State7Alabama24Alabama
201011/13Alabama30Mississippi State10Alabama
200911/14Mississippi State3Alabama31Alabama
200811/15Alabama32Mississippi State7Alabama
200711/10Mississippi State17Alabama12Mississippi State
200611/04Alabama16Mississippi State24Mississippi State
200511/05Mississippi State0Alabama17Alabama
200411/06Alabama30Mississippi State14Alabama
200311/08Mississippi State0Alabama38Alabama
200211/09Alabama28Mississippi State14Alabama
200111/10Alabama24Mississippi State17Alabama
200011/10Mississippi State29Alabama7Mississippi State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Mississippi State333 Overs
Alabama2185 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 116 - 54 - 12 - 4
Road Teams11 - 135 - 64 - 21 - 4
(#Team not found for the given year.) Alabama Info
Alabama has won 2 straight
Alabama has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 5 - 0 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Alabama is 3 - 1 in last 4 games (2 at Home, 2 on Road)
Last 4 Games: 31 - 20
Last 2 Road Games: 33 - 19

Alabama has an Explosive Offense (#)
Alabama Offense is good in Scoring Position (#)
Alabama has a good 3rd Down Conversion Rate

Alabama has a top Offensive Power Success (#)
Alabama has a good 4th Down Conversion Rate

Alabama Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Alabama Defense has a good overall Success Rate (#)
Alabama Defense has a top Success Rate vs the Run (#)
Alabama Defense has a top Success Rate vs the Pass (#)
Alabama Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#)
Alabama Front 7 has a top Havoc Rate (#)
Alabama Defense has a top Success Rate on Pass Downs(#)

Alabama has a great TO Margin (#)
Alabama Offense throws very few Interceptions (#)
Alabama Punt Return team is explosive (#)


Alabama Deficiencies
Alabama Gives up a Lot of Explosive Run Plays (#)

Rematch from Week 5
Alabama 16.5 (45.0)
Alabama won at Mississippi State this year (40-17)

Previous Matchups
Alabama beat Mississippi State last year (40-17)
Alabama beat Mississippi State in 2022 (30-6)
Alabama beat Mississippi State in 2021 (49-9)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Davis Wade Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 71°
Depth Charts
Alabama | Mississippi State
(#Team not found for the given year.) Mississippi State Info
Mississippi State has lost 2 straight
Mississippi State has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 4 (3 - 5 - 0 vs Spread)

Mississippi State is 2 - 2 in last 4 games (2 at Home, 2 on Road)
Last 4 Games: 20 - 25
Last 2 Home Games: 29 - 34

Mississippi State Does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#)

Mississippi State has a great TO Margin (#)
Mississippi State Kick Return team is explosive (#)
Mississippi State Punt Return team is explosive (#)


Mississippi State Deficiencies
Mississippi State has a really bad 3rd Down Conversion Rate (#)
Mississippi State has a bad Offense Success Rate (#)
Mississippi State has a bad Offensive Power Success (#)
Mississippi State has a bad Offense Pass Downs Success Rate (#)
Mississippi State has a bad Offense Run Success Rate (#)
Mississippi State has a bad Offense Pass Success Rate (#)
Mississippi State has a really bad 3rd Down Conversion Rate
Mississippi State Defense Doesn't Pick off a Lot of Passes (#)
Mississippi State has a bad Defense Scoring Opp Rate (#)
Mississippi State Secondary has a bad Havoc Rate (#)






Alabama's Head Coach Nick Saban
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jalen Milroe18728466%283423610.0
Ty Simpson112055%179009.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jase McClellan18089084.934
Roydell Williams11156055.048
Jalen Milroe161531123.353
Jamarion Miller4120114.945
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jermaine Burton39798820.568
Isaiah Bond48668413.952
Amari Niblack20327416.439
Kobe Prentice18314217.479
Mississippi State's Head Coach Greg Knox (Int)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Will Rogers14223760%16261246.9
Mike Wright488557%453335.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jo'quavious Marks12157344.752
Seth Davis5935616.046
Mike Wright7132434.653
Jeffery Pittman5426815.059
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Lideatrick Griffin50658413.265
Zavion Thomas40503112.635
Justin Robinson21257012.230
Jo'quavious Marks2316727.332