Kentucky at Mississippi State Game Matchup
Kentucky's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Kentucky vs Ball State-25.049.0W 44 - 14
Sat 9/9 Kentucky vs Eastern Kentucky-35.062.5W 28 - 17
Sat 9/16 Kentucky vs Akron-25.048.5W 35 - 3
Sat 9/23 Kentucky at Vanderbilt-13.550.0W 45 - 28
Sat 9/30 Kentucky vs Florida-1.044.0W 33 - 14
Sat 10/7 Kentucky at Georgia+14.547.0L 13 - 51
Sat 10/14 Kentucky vs Missouri-1.550.5L 21 - 38
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Kentucky vs Tennessee+4.050.5L 27 - 33
Sat 11/4 Kentucky at Mississippi State-5.544.5W 24 - 3
Sat 11/11 Kentucky vs Alabama+10.045.5L 21 - 49
Sat 11/18 Kentucky at South Carolina+2.552.5L 14 - 17
Sat 11/25 Kentucky at Louisville+7.547.5W 38 - 31
Fri 12/29 Kentucky vs Clemson+3.544.5L 35 - 38
UK's OC Liam Coen vs MSST's DC Matt Brock     MSST's OC Kevin Barbay vs UK's DC Brad White
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UK Offense1329.126.840%4.461.5173391282124.943%55%41%40%18%.22
MSST Defense1226.625.142.3%4.331 - - - - - 52%47%42%43%16%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MSST Offense1221.825.335.9%3.471.2173291471824.450%49%38%35%16%.09
UK Defense1325.82643.3%3.951.4 - - - - - 48%51%42%45%14%.16

 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UK Offense1343% (108)41% (88)26.1127.74.918 (77).15 (71)2.79 (118)68% (126)11% (106)1.12 (79)
MSST Defense1252% (97)42% (64) - - - - .1 (41)2.97 (45)74% (57)11% (74)0.92 (51)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MSST Offense1250% (64)38% (123)33.4146.84.412 (116).07 (113)2.91 (105)59% (102)11% (128)1.02 (81)
UK Defense1348% (46)42% (56) - - - - .1 (40)2.87 (29)70% (45)10% (48)0.87 (75)

 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDsIntsPassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UK Offense1355% (26)40% (83)16.228.8211.67.41325 (37)11 (68).32 (54)1.7 (25)35% (114)28% (88).31 (77)8% (113)2.2 (19)
MSST Defense1247% (35)43% (84) - - - - - - 7 (111).29 (84)1.6 (55)30% (105)29% (49).36 (90)5% (107)2 (57)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDsIntsPassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MSST Offense1249% (67)35% (120)16.829181.86.310.915 (96)10 (56).13 (115)1.6 (52)36% (129)26% (104).19 (106)6% (65)2 (98)
UK Defense1351% (92)45% (116) - - - - - - 11 (53).23 (45)1.4 (11)31% (76)30% (70).39 (104)5% (114)2.1 (75)

 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kentucky1327:3416.938%20%6.150.81.51.45.52629.3
Mississippi State1228:4016.631%42%6.356.81.215.62.3229.9
Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Kentucky's Performance Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Kentucky's Offense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Kentucky's Defense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Kentucky's Team Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

Kentucky's SP+ Ratings
Kentucky's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3 (#31)
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.0 (#44)
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.8 (#33)

SEC's Avg 2023 SP+ Rating: 10.7
SEC's Avg 2023 SP+ Offense Rating: 32.8
SEC's Avg 2023 SP+ Defense Rating: 22.3

Kentucky's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.3 (#31)
Kentucky's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.0 (#25)
Kentucky's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.4 (#23)

Kentucky's 2023 Expected Record: -
Power Ratings Matchup
Kentucky:    Mississippi State: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kentucky: 9.3   Mississippi State: -0.4

Performance Ratings Matchup
Kentucky:    Mississippi State:

Team Ratings Matchup
Kentucky:    Mississippi State:




Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 2 (#Team not found for the given year.)
Mississippi State's Performance Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Mississippi State's Team Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

Mississippi State's SP+ Ratings
Mississippi State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.4 (#66)
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 (#78)
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 (#55)

SEC's Avg 2023 SP+ Rating: 10.7
SEC's Avg 2023 SP+ Offense Rating: 32.8
SEC's Avg 2023 SP+ Defense Rating: 22.3

Mississippi State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.4 (#66)
Mississippi State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.4 (#19)
Mississippi State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.5 (#34)

Mississippi State's 2023 Expected Record: -
Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 29.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.8
Defense: 25.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 26

Kentucky's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Kentucky Roster Talent
2023 Talent Rating: 740.54
2023 Talent Rating: 740.54
2022 Talent Rating: 737.33
2021 Talent Rating: 709.07

Blue Chip Ratio: 0% (#Team not found for the given year.)

Average SEC Talent Rating is 824.13
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 598.22
Projected Score
Kentucky 27.9
Mississippi State 23.8

Projected Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
Kentucky
Mississippi State

Total Points:
Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 21.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.3
Defense: 26.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.1

Mississippi State's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Mississippi State Roster Talent
2023 Talent Rating: 746.29
2023 Talent Rating: 746.29
2022 Talent Rating: 725.55
2021 Talent Rating: 716.17

Blue Chip Ratio: 0% (#Team not found for the given year.)

Average SEC Talent Rating is 824.13
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 598.22




YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/04Mississippi State3Kentucky24KentuckyKentucky -5.5Kentucky44.5Under
202210/15Kentucky27Mississippi State17KentuckyMississippi State -3.5Kentucky50.5Under
202110/30Mississippi State31Kentucky17Mississippi StateMississippi State -1Mississippi State47.0Over
202010/10Kentucky24Mississippi State2KentuckyKentucky -3.5Kentucky57.5Under
201909/21Mississippi State28Kentucky13Mississippi StateMississippi State -5.5Mississippi State48.0Under
201809/22Kentucky28Mississippi State7KentuckyMississippi State -9.5Kentucky56.0Under
201710/21Mississippi State45Kentucky7Mississippi StateMississippi State -14Mississippi State54.5Under
201610/22Kentucky40Mississippi State38KentuckyMississippi State -1.5Kentucky54.5Over
201510/24Mississippi State42Kentucky16Mississippi StateMississippi State -11.5Mississippi State59.0Under
201410/25Kentucky31Mississippi State45Mississippi StateMississippi State -13Mississippi State0
201310/24Mississippi State28Kentucky22Mississippi StateMississippi State -11Kentucky0
201210/06Kentucky14Mississippi State27Mississippi State
201110/29Kentucky16Mississippi State28Mississippi State
201010/30Mississippi State24Kentucky17Mississippi State
200910/31Kentucky24Mississippi State31Mississippi State
200811/01Mississippi State13Kentucky14Kentucky
200710/27Kentucky14Mississippi State31Mississippi State
200610/28Mississippi State31Kentucky34Kentucky
200510/29Kentucky13Mississippi State7Kentucky
200410/30Mississippi State22Kentucky7Mississippi State
200310/25Kentucky42Mississippi State17Kentucky
200211/02Mississippi State24Kentucky45Kentucky
200111/03Mississippi State17Kentucky14Mississippi State
200011/03Kentucky17Mississippi State35Mississippi State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Mississippi State1452 Overs
Kentucky1067 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 108 - 35 - 13 - 2
Road Teams10 - 143 - 82 - 31 - 5
(#Team not found for the given year.) Kentucky Info
Kentucky has lost 3 straight
Kentucky has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 3 - 2 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Kentucky is 1 - 3 in last 4 games (3 at Home, 1 on Road)
Last 4 Games: 24 - 34
Last 1 Road Games: 13 - 51

Kentucky has an Explosive Offense (#)
Kentucky Offense is good in Scoring Position (#)

Kentucky Does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#)

Kentucky Defense limits Explosive Plays (#)
Kentucky Defensive Line is very good vs the Run (#)
Kentucky Defense limits Explosive Run Plays (#)
Kentucky Defense limits Explosive Pass Plays (#)

Kentucky Kick Return team is explosive (#)


Kentucky Deficiencies
Kentucky has a really bad 3rd Down Conversion Rate (#)
Kentucky has a bad Offensive Power Success (#)
Kentucky has a really bad 4th Down Conversion Rate
Kentucky Does Not Stuff Runs (#)
Kentucky Defense has a bad Havoc Rate (#)
Kentucky Secondary has a bad Havoc Rate (#)
Kentucky has a bad Defense Pass Success Rate (#)

Rematch from Week 10
Kentucky 5.5 (44.5)
Kentucky won at Mississippi State this year (24-3)

Previous Matchups
Kentucky beat Mississippi State last year (24-3)
Kentucky beat Mississippi State in 2022 (27-17)
Mississippi State beat Kentucky in 2021 (31-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Davis Wade Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 62°
Depth Charts
Kentucky | Mississippi State
(#Team not found for the given year.) Mississippi State Info
Mississippi State has lost 1 straight
Mississippi State has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 4 (3 - 5 - 0 vs Spread)

Mississippi State is 2 - 2 in last 4 games (2 at Home, 2 on Road)
Last 4 Games: 20 - 25
Last 2 Home Games: 29 - 34

Mississippi State Does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#)

Mississippi State has a great TO Margin (#)
Mississippi State Kick Return team is explosive (#)
Mississippi State Punt Return team is explosive (#)


Mississippi State Deficiencies
Mississippi State has a really bad 3rd Down Conversion Rate (#)
Mississippi State has a bad Offense Success Rate (#)
Mississippi State has a bad Offensive Power Success (#)
Mississippi State has a bad Offense Pass Downs Success Rate (#)
Mississippi State has a bad Offense Run Success Rate (#)
Mississippi State has a bad Offense Pass Success Rate (#)
Mississippi State has a really bad 3rd Down Conversion Rate
Mississippi State Defense Doesn't Pick off a Lot of Passes (#)
Mississippi State has a bad Defense Scoring Opp Rate (#)
Mississippi State Secondary has a bad Havoc Rate (#)





Kentucky's Head Coach Mark Stoops
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Devin Leary20937156%274625127.4
Kaiya Sheron2450%5001.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Re'Mahn Davis1991129145.775
Ramon Jefferson2818406.674
Barion Brown12147112.326
Demie Sumo2013917.042
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Dane Key42636615.158
Tayvion Robinson41552413.556
Barion Brown43539412.560
Re'Mahn Davis3332379.858
Mississippi State's Head Coach Greg Knox (Int)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Will Rogers14223760%16261246.9
Mike Wright488557%453335.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jo'quavious Marks12157344.752
Seth Davis5935616.046
Mike Wright7132434.653
Jeffery Pittman5426815.059
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Lideatrick Griffin50658413.265
Zavion Thomas40503112.635
Justin Robinson21257012.230
Jo'quavious Marks2316727.332