North Carolina at NC State Game Matchup
North Carolina's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 North Carolina vs South Carolina+2.563.5W 31 - 17
Sat 9/9 North Carolina vs Appalachian State-18.058.0W 40 - 34
Sat 9/16 North Carolina vs Minnesota-7.051.0W 31 - 13
Sat 9/23 North Carolina at Pittsburgh-7.049.5W 41 - 24
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 North Carolina vs Syracuse-9.559.0W 40 - 7
Sat 10/14 North Carolina vs Miami-2.557.5W 41 - 31
Sat 10/21 North Carolina vs Virginia-24.058.0L 27 - 31
Sat 10/28 North Carolina at Georgia Tech-12.065.5L 42 - 46
Sat 11/4 North Carolina vs Campbell-45.568.5W 59 - 7
Sat 11/11 North Carolina vs Duke-9.552.5W 47 - 45
Sat 11/18 North Carolina at Clemson+7.558.0L 20 - 31
Sat 11/25 North Carolina at NC State-2.055.0L 20 - 39
Wed 12/27 North Carolina vs West Virginia+4.562.0L 10 - 30
NC State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Thu 8/31 NC State at Connecticut-14.547.5W 24 - 14
Sat 9/9 NC State vs Notre Dame+7.049.5L 24 - 45
Sat 9/16 NC State vs VMI-42.551.0W 45 - 7
Fri 9/22 NC State at Virginia-8.547.5W 24 - 21
Fri 9/29 NC State vs Louisville+3.556.5L 10 - 13
Sat 10/7 NC State vs Marshall-6.544.0W 48 - 41
Sat 10/14 NC State at Duke+3.544.0L 3 - 24
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 NC State vs Clemson+9.544.5W 24 - 17
Sat 11/4 NC State vs Miami+6.544.0W 20 - 6
Sat 11/11 NC State at Wake Forest+0.542.5W 26 - 6
Sat 11/18 NC State at Virginia Tech+2.540.5W 35 - 28
Sat 11/25 NC State vs North Carolina+2.055.0W 39 - 20
Thu 12/28 NC State vs Kansas State+3.048.5L 19 - 28
UNC's OC Chip Lindsey vs NCST's DC Tony Gibson     NCST's OC Robert Anae vs UNC's DC Gene Chizik
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNC Offense1334.530.846.8%4.131.3254921932995.146%53%50%44%13%.3
NCST Defense1320.821.338.8%3.771.9 - - - - - 44%54%39%40%19%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NCST Offense1326.23039.5%4.111.2193501571944.352%48%40%39%18%.15
UNC Defense1327.33542.2%3.411.7 - - - - - 50%49%43%42%15%.21

 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNC Offense1346% (97)50% (16)38.2193.25.128 (25).28 (9)3.41 (11)75% (25)8% (52)1.03 (31)
NCST Defense1344% (11)39% (34) - - - - .12 (55)2.88 (31)66% (15)11% (27)1.07 (32)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NCST Offense1352% (52)40% (96)36.8156.64.319 (69).13 (83)3.11 (68)80% (69)12% (20)0.93 (106)
UNC Defense1350% (70)43% (68) - - - - .2 (100)3.33 (112)73% (126)10% (68)1.02 (85)

 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDsIntsPassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNC Offense1353% (36)44% (44)22.535.4298.58.413.326 (31)11 (68).34 (47)1.6 (73)30% (33)32% (56).38 (55)5% (24)2.2 (21)
NCST Defense1354% (122)40% (40) - - - - - - 17 (3).14 (15)1.5 (28)36% (17)29% (50).2 (19)7% (25)1.9 (16)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDsIntsPassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NCST Offense1348% (80)39% (96)17.229.2193.86.711.319 (78)12 (85).2 (95)1.6 (67)34% (102)27% (101).27 (90)6% (72)2 (92)
UNC Defense1349% (63)42% (76) - - - - - - 12 (37).29 (82)1.6 (64)34% (43)34% (117).38 (100)6% (92)1.9 (22)

 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
North Carolina1328:3424.549%45%7.266.31.31.75.42.1131.3
NC State1332:2718.540%60%5.846.31.21.95.52.5330.1
North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
North Carolina's Performance Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
North Carolina's Offense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
North Carolina's Defense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
North Carolina's Team Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

North Carolina's SP+ Ratings
North Carolina's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.2 (#27)
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 (#13)
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.4 (#71)

ACC's Avg 2023 SP+ Rating: 5.0
ACC's Avg 2023 SP+ Offense Rating: 27.6
ACC's Avg 2023 SP+ Defense Rating: 22.7

North Carolina's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.2 (#27)
North Carolina's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.8 (#46)
North Carolina's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.4 (#59)

North Carolina's 2023 Expected Record: -
Power Ratings Matchup
North Carolina:    NC State: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Carolina: 10.2   NC State: 9.4

Performance Ratings Matchup
North Carolina:    NC State:

Team Ratings Matchup
North Carolina:    NC State:




NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 2 (#Team not found for the given year.)
NC State's Performance Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
NC State's Offense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
NC State's Defense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
NC State's Team Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

NC State's SP+ Ratings
NC State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4 (#30)
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.6 (#69)
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.9 (#16)

ACC's Avg 2023 SP+ Rating: 5.0
ACC's Avg 2023 SP+ Offense Rating: 27.6
ACC's Avg 2023 SP+ Defense Rating: 22.7

NC State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4 (#30)
NC State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.8 (#49)
NC State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.1 (#14)

NC State's 2023 Expected Record: -
North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 34.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 35

North Carolina's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

North Carolina Roster Talent
2023 Talent Rating: 805.63
2023 Talent Rating: 805.63
2022 Talent Rating: 812.94
2021 Talent Rating: 798.29

Blue Chip Ratio: 0% (#Team not found for the given year.)

Average ACC Talent Rating is 709.3
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 598.22
Projected Score
North Carolina 27.7
NC State 26.8

Projected Total Points: 55

Based on Entire Season
North Carolina
NC State

Total Points:
NC State Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 30
Defense: 20.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.3

NC State's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

NC State Roster Talent
2023 Talent Rating: 700.85
2023 Talent Rating: 700.85
2022 Talent Rating: 686.19
2021 Talent Rating: 700.36

Blue Chip Ratio: 0% (#Team not found for the given year.)

Average ACC Talent Rating is 709.3
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 598.22




YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/25NC State39North Carolina20NC StateNorth Carolina -2NC State55.0Over
202211/25North Carolina27NC State30NC StateNorth Carolina -6.5NC State56.0Over
202111/26NC State34North Carolina30NC StateNC State -6.5North Carolina62.0Over
202010/24North Carolina48NC State21North CarolinaNorth Carolina -15.0North Carolina62.0Over
201911/30NC State10North Carolina41North CarolinaNorth Carolina -11North Carolina57.0Under
201811/24North Carolina28NC State34NC StateNC State -7.5North Carolina61.5Over
201711/25NC State33North Carolina21NC StateNC State -14.5North Carolina57.0Under
201611/25North Carolina21NC State28NC StateNorth Carolina -10NC State63.0Under
201511/28NC State34North Carolina45North CarolinaNorth Carolina -6North Carolina65.0Over
201411/29North Carolina7NC State35NC StateNorth Carolina -6NC State0
201311/02NC State19North Carolina27North CarolinaNorth Carolina -3North Carolina0
201210/27North Carolina43NC State35North Carolina
201111/05NC State13North Carolina0NC State
201011/20North Carolina25NC State29NC State
200911/28NC State28North Carolina27NC State
200811/22North Carolina10NC State41NC State
200711/10NC State31North Carolina27NC State
200611/18North Carolina23NC State9North Carolina
200509/24NC State24North Carolina31North Carolina
200410/09North Carolina30NC State24North Carolina
200309/27NC State47North Carolina34NC State
200210/12North Carolina17NC State34NC State
200109/29NC State9North Carolina17North Carolina
200010/13North Carolina20NC State38NC State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
NC State1546 Overs
North Carolina973 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 133 - 81 - 52 - 3
Road Teams13 - 118 - 33 - 25 - 1
(#Team not found for the given year.) North Carolina Info
North Carolina has lost 1 straight
North Carolina has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 3 (1 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

North Carolina is 2 - 2 in last 4 games (3 at Home, 1 on Road)
Last 4 Games: 38 - 29
Last 1 Road Games: 42 - 46

North Carolina has Really Good Running Game (#)
North Carolina Offense has a good overall Success Rate (#)
North Carolina has a top Run Game Offensive Line (#)
North Carolina Offense has a good Run Game Success Rate (#)
North Carolina has a good 3rd Down Conversion Rate

North Carolina Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#)

North Carolina Defense Recovers a lot of Fumbles (#)
North Carolina Punt Return team is explosive (#)


North Carolina Deficiencies
North Carolina Commits a Lot of Penalties (#)
North Carolina Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#)
North Carolina has a bad Run Game Defensive Line (#)
North Carolina has a bad Defense Pass Downs Success Rate (#)

Rematch from Week 13
North Carolina 2.0 (55.0)
NC State won vs North Carolina this year (39-20)

Previous Matchups
NC State beat North Carolina last year (39-20)
NC State beat North Carolina in 2022 (30-27)
NC State beat North Carolina in 2021 (34-30)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carter-Finley Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 39° - Wind: 6 mph

Depth Charts
North Carolina | NC State
(#Team not found for the given year.) NC State Info
NC State has won 4 straight
NC State has won 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 5 - 2 (5 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

NC State is 4 - 0 in last 4 games (3 at Home, 1 on Road)
Last 4 Games: 21 - 24
Last 3 Home Games: 27 - 24

NC State has a top Offensive Power Success (#)
NC State has a good 4th Down Conversion Rate

NC State Defense Sacks the QB a lot

NC State has a top Defensive Power Success (#)
NC State Secondary has a top Havoc Rate (#)
NC State Defense limits Explosive Pass Plays (#)

NC State Defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)
NC State Kick Return team is explosive (#)


NC State Deficiencies
NC State has a bad Offense Success Rate (#)
NC State has a bad Offense Pass Downs Success Rate (#)
NC State Does Not Stuff Runs (#)
NC State Gives up a Lot of Explosive Run Plays (#)




North Carolina's Head Coach Mack Brown
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drake Maye26942563%36082498.5
Conner Harrell223367%270228.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Omarion Hampton2531504155.968
Drake Maye11244994.056
British Brooks7437525.153
Conner Harrell227513.461
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
J.J. Jones46711315.557
Devontez Walker41699717.056
Bryson Nesbit41585514.362
Nate Mccollum44469110.748
NC State's Head Coach Dave Doeren
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brennan Armstrong16026261%17831176.8
MJ Morris6311356%719756.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Brennan Armstrong14366574.743
Kevin Concepcion4132007.865
Kendrick Raphael6731114.631
Delbert Mimms III9628282.918
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kevin Concepcion718391011.872
Keyon Lesane2824708.838
Dacari Collins14210215.038
Brad Rozner18208211.621