Louisville at NC State Game Matchup
Louisville's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Fri 9/1 Louisville vs Georgia Tech-7.049.5W 39 - 34
Thu 9/7 Louisville vs Murray State-43.555.5W 56 - 0
Sat 9/16 Louisville vs Indiana-10.051.0W 21 - 14
Sat 9/23 Louisville vs Boston College-14.053.0W 56 - 28
Fri 9/29 Louisville at NC State-3.556.5W 13 - 10
Sat 10/7 Louisville vs Notre Dame+6.553.0W 33 - 20
Sat 10/14 Louisville at Pittsburgh-7.544.5L 21 - 38
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Louisville vs Duke-5.047.0W 23 - 0
Sat 11/4 Louisville vs Virginia Tech-9.548.5W 34 - 3
Thu 11/9 Louisville vs Virginia-20.549.5W 31 - 24
Sat 11/18 Louisville at Miami+1.546.5W 38 - 31
Sat 11/25 Louisville vs Kentucky-7.547.5L 31 - 38
Sat 12/2 Louisville vs Florida State+3.551.0L 6 - 16
Wed 12/27 Louisville vs USC-4.558.0L 28 - 42
NC State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Thu 8/31 NC State at Connecticut-14.547.5W 24 - 14
Sat 9/9 NC State vs Notre Dame+7.049.5L 24 - 45
Sat 9/16 NC State vs VMI-42.551.0W 45 - 7
Fri 9/22 NC State at Virginia-8.547.5W 24 - 21
Fri 9/29 NC State vs Louisville+3.556.5L 10 - 13
Sat 10/7 NC State vs Marshall-6.544.0W 48 - 41
Sat 10/14 NC State at Duke+3.544.0L 3 - 24
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 NC State vs Clemson+9.544.5W 24 - 17
Sat 11/4 NC State vs Miami+6.544.0W 20 - 6
Sat 11/11 NC State at Wake Forest+0.542.5W 26 - 6
Sat 11/18 NC State at Virginia Tech+2.540.5W 35 - 28
Sat 11/25 NC State vs North Carolina+2.055.0W 39 - 20
Thu 12/28 NC State vs Kansas State+3.048.5L 19 - 28
LOU's OC Brian Brohm vs NCST's DC Tony Gibson     NCST's OC Robert Anae vs LOU's DC Ron English
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LOU Offense1430.72448.4%4.041.4214151792364.751%48%51%47%16%.23
NCST Defense1320.821.338.8%3.771.9 - - - - - 44%54%39%40%19%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NCST Offense1326.23039.5%4.111.2193501571944.352%48%40%39%18%.15
LOU Defense1421.326.335.8%3.91.4 - - - - - 47%53%35%37%19%.08

 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LOU Offense1451% (57)51% (12)38.1178.54.731 (17).2 (43)3.07 (80)73% (60)10% (78)0.93 (64)
NCST Defense1344% (11)39% (34) - - - - .12 (55)2.88 (31)66% (15)11% (27)1.07 (32)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NCST Offense1352% (52)40% (96)36.8156.64.319 (69).13 (83)3.11 (68)80% (69)12% (20)0.93 (106)
LOU Defense1447% (26)35% (14) - - - - -.01 (14)2.4 (3)68% (6)12% (37)1 (26)

 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDsIntsPassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LOU Offense1448% (74)47% (26)1929.1236.48.112.422 (61)12 (85).3 (64)1.6 (82)26% (6)37% (18).45 (33)6% (74)2.1 (42)
NCST Defense1354% (122)40% (40) - - - - - - 17 (3).14 (15)1.5 (28)36% (17)29% (50).2 (19)7% (25)1.9 (16)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDsIntsPassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NCST Offense1348% (80)39% (96)17.229.2193.86.711.319 (78)12 (85).2 (95)1.6 (67)34% (102)27% (101).27 (90)6% (72)2 (92)
LOU Defense1453% (111)37% (16) - - - - - - 13 (26).19 (23)1.8 (123)37% (7)23% (3).24 (35)7% (32)2.4 (131)

 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Louisville1432:1320.837%54%5.648.61.41.45.42.3130.8
NC State1332:2718.540%60%5.846.31.21.95.52.5330.1
Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Louisville's Performance Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Louisville's Offense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Louisville's Defense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Louisville's Team Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

Louisville's SP+ Ratings
Louisville's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8 (#24)
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.7 (#40)
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5 (#26)

ACC's Avg 2023 SP+ Rating: 5.0
ACC's Avg 2023 SP+ Offense Rating: 27.6
ACC's Avg 2023 SP+ Defense Rating: 22.7

Louisville's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8 (#24)
Louisville's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.0 (#39)
Louisville's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.8 (#52)

Louisville's 2023 Expected Record: -
Power Ratings Matchup
Louisville:    NC State: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisville: 10.8   NC State: 9.4

Performance Ratings Matchup
Louisville:    NC State:

Team Ratings Matchup
Louisville:    NC State:




NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 2 (#Team not found for the given year.)
NC State's Performance Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
NC State's Offense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
NC State's Defense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
NC State's Team Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

NC State's SP+ Ratings
NC State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4 (#30)
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.6 (#69)
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.9 (#16)

ACC's Avg 2023 SP+ Rating: 5.0
ACC's Avg 2023 SP+ Offense Rating: 27.6
ACC's Avg 2023 SP+ Defense Rating: 22.7

NC State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4 (#30)
NC State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.8 (#49)
NC State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.1 (#14)

NC State's 2023 Expected Record: -
Louisville Scoring
Offense: 30.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 21.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.3

Louisville's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Louisville Roster Talent
2023 Talent Rating: 744.16
2023 Talent Rating: 744.16
2022 Talent Rating: 625.42
2021 Talent Rating: 607.77

Blue Chip Ratio: 0% (#Team not found for the given year.)

Average ACC Talent Rating is 709.3
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 598.22
Projected Score
Louisville 25.8
NC State 23.8


Projected Total Points: 50

Based on Entire Season
Louisville
NC State

Total Points:
NC State Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 30
Defense: 20.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.3

NC State's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

NC State Roster Talent
2023 Talent Rating: 700.85
2023 Talent Rating: 700.85
2022 Talent Rating: 686.19
2021 Talent Rating: 700.36

Blue Chip Ratio: 0% (#Team not found for the given year.)

Average ACC Talent Rating is 709.3
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 598.22




YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/29NC State10Louisville13LouisvilleLouisville -3.5NC State56.5Under
202211/19Louisville25NC State10LouisvilleLouisville -4Louisville43.0Under
202110/30NC State28Louisville13NC StateNC State -6NC State57.0Under
201911/16NC State20Louisville34LouisvilleLouisville -4.5Louisville52.0Over
201811/17Louisville10NC State52NC StateNC State -16NC State65.0Under
201710/05NC State39Louisville25NC StateLouisville -3.5NC State67.0Under
201610/22Louisville54NC State13LouisvilleLouisville -20Louisville65.0Over
201510/03NC State13Louisville20LouisvilleNC State -5Louisville47.5Under
201410/18Louisville30NC State18LouisvilleLouisville -14.5NC State0
201112/27NC State31Louisville24NC State
200709/29NC State10Louisville29Louisville
TeamWinsCoversO/U
NC State452 Overs
Louisville746 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 55 - 43 - 22 - 2
Road Teams5 - 64 - 52 - 22 - 3
(#Team not found for the given year.) Louisville Info
Louisville has won 4 straight
Louisville has won 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 4 - 1 (1 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Louisville is 4 - 0 in last 4 games (2 at Home, 2 on Road)
Last 4 Games: 23 - 17

Last 2 Road Games: 17 - 24

Louisville has Really Good Running Game (#)
Louisville Offense has a good overall Success Rate (#)
Louisville Offense has a good Run Game Success Rate (#)
Louisville Offense has a good Passing Game Success Rate (#)

Louisville Does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#)
Louisville Offense has a good Success Rate on Pass Downs (#)
Louisville has a good 4th Down Conversion Rate

Louisville Defense has a good overall Success Rate (#)
Louisville Defense has a top Success Rate vs the Run (#)
Louisville Defense has a top Success Rate vs the Pass (#)
Louisville Defensive Line is very good vs the Run (#)
Louisville Front 7 has a top Havoc Rate (#)
Louisville Defense has a top Success Rate on Pass Downs(#)

Louisville Defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)
Louisville Punt Return team is explosive (#)


Louisville Deficiencies
Louisville is Not an Explosive Offense (#)
Louisville Gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#)
Louisville Does Not Stuff Runs (#)
Louisville Gives up a Lot of Explosive Pass Plays (#)

Rematch from Week 5
Louisville 3.5 (56.5)
Louisville won at NC State this year (13-10)

Previous Matchups
Louisville beat NC State last year (13-10)
Louisville beat NC State in 2022 (25-10)
NC State beat Louisville in 2021 (28-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carter-Finley Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 66°
Depth Charts
Louisville | NC State
(#Team not found for the given year.) NC State Info
NC State has won 2 straight
NC State has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 5 - 2 (5 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

NC State is 3 - 1 in last 4 games (3 at Home, 1 on Road)
Last 4 Games: 21 - 24

Last 3 Home Games: 27 - 24

NC State has a top Offensive Power Success (#)
NC State has a good 4th Down Conversion Rate

NC State Defense Sacks the QB a lot

NC State has a top Defensive Power Success (#)
NC State Secondary has a top Havoc Rate (#)
NC State Defense limits Explosive Pass Plays (#)

NC State Defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)
NC State Kick Return team is explosive (#)


NC State Deficiencies
NC State has a bad Offense Success Rate (#)
NC State has a bad Offense Pass Downs Success Rate (#)
NC State Does Not Stuff Runs (#)
NC State Gives up a Lot of Explosive Run Plays (#)











Louisville's Head Coach Jeff Brohm
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jack Plummer25639565%320421128.1
Brock Domann55100%44008.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jawhar Jordan1811128136.274
Isaac Guerendo132810116.173
Maurice Turner6228414.641
Keyjuan Brown116515.914
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jamari Thrash63858613.685
Chris Bell29407214.048
Kevin Coleman Jr.24332213.858
Ahmari Huggins-Bruce20312415.655
NC State's Head Coach Dave Doeren
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brennan Armstrong16026261%17831176.8
MJ Morris6311356%719756.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Brennan Armstrong14366574.743
Kevin Concepcion4132007.865
Kendrick Raphael6731114.631
Delbert Mimms III9628282.918
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kevin Concepcion718391011.872
Keyon Lesane2824708.838
Dacari Collins14210215.038
Brad Rozner18208211.621