Minnesota at North Carolina Game Matchup
Minnesota's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Thu 8/31 Minnesota vs Nebraska-7.543.0W 13 - 10
Sat 9/9 Minnesota vs Eastern Michigan-19.548.0W 25 - 6
Sat 9/16 Minnesota at North Carolina+7.051.0L 13 - 31
Sat 9/23 Minnesota at Northwestern-11.539.5L 34 - 37
Sat 9/30 Minnesota vs Louisiana-9.549.0W 35 - 24
Sat 10/7 Minnesota vs Michigan+18.546.0L 10 - 52
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Minnesota at Iowa+3.030.5W 12 - 10
Sat 10/28 Minnesota vs Michigan State-6.541.5W 27 - 12
Sat 11/4 Minnesota vs Illinois-1.543.0L 26 - 27
Sat 11/11 Minnesota at Purdue-1.548.5L 30 - 49
Sat 11/18 Minnesota at Ohio State+27.551.5L 3 - 37
Sat 11/25 Minnesota vs Wisconsin+1.542.0L 14 - 28
Tue 12/26 Minnesota vs Bowling Green-2.545.0W 30 - 24
North Carolina's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 North Carolina vs South Carolina+2.563.5W 31 - 17
Sat 9/9 North Carolina vs Appalachian State-18.058.0W 40 - 34
Sat 9/16 North Carolina vs Minnesota-7.051.0W 31 - 13
Sat 9/23 North Carolina at Pittsburgh-7.049.5W 41 - 24
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 North Carolina vs Syracuse-9.559.0W 40 - 7
Sat 10/14 North Carolina vs Miami-2.557.5W 41 - 31
Sat 10/21 North Carolina vs Virginia-24.058.0L 27 - 31
Sat 10/28 North Carolina at Georgia Tech-12.065.5L 42 - 46
Sat 11/4 North Carolina vs Campbell-45.568.5W 59 - 7
Sat 11/11 North Carolina vs Duke-9.552.5W 47 - 45
Sat 11/18 North Carolina at Clemson+7.558.0L 20 - 31
Sat 11/25 North Carolina at NC State-2.055.0L 20 - 39
Wed 12/27 North Carolina vs West Virginia+4.562.0L 10 - 30
MINN's OC Greg Harbaugh Jr. vs UNC's DC Gene Chizik     UNC's OC Chip Lindsey vs MINN's DC Nick Monroe
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MINN Offense1320.918.440.5%3.851.3183011581434.159%40%44%36%13%.09
UNC Defense1327.32442.2%3.411.7 - - - - - 50%49%43%42%15%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNC Offense1334.540.746.8%4.131.3254921932995.146%53%50%44%13%.3
MINN Defense1326.732.842.6%4.671.5 - - - - - 47%51%45%41%11%.22

 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MINN Offense1359% (12)44% (53)38.8157.54.113 (108).11 (92)3.15 (61)75% (19)7% (52)0.83 (13)
UNC Defense1350% (70)43% (68) - - - - .2 (100)3.33 (112)73% (126)10% (68)1.02 (85)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNC Offense1346% (97)50% (16)38.2193.25.128 (25).28 (9)3.41 (11)75% (25)8% (52)1.03 (31)
MINN Defense1347% (34)45% (90) - - - - .2 (102)3.15 (79)80% (64)7% (109)0.99 (132)

 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDsIntsPassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MINN Offense1340% (121)36% (116)12.624143.4611.416 (92)11 (68).1 (123)1.6 (53)29% (26)27% (99).16 (117)6% (52)1.9 (106)
UNC Defense1349% (63)42% (76) - - - - - - 12 (37).29 (82)1.6 (64)34% (43)34% (117).38 (100)6% (92)1.9 (22)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDsIntsPassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNC Offense1353% (36)44% (44)22.535.4298.58.413.326 (31)11 (68).34 (47)1.6 (73)30% (33)32% (56).38 (55)5% (24)2.2 (21)
MINN Defense1351% (94)41% (63) - - - - - - 12 (37).29 (83)1.6 (73)30% (106)30% (71).42 (112)5% (116)2.2 (105)

 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Minnesota1331:4918.235%82%327.11.31.53.21.6029
North Carolina1328:3424.549%45%7.266.31.31.75.42.1131.3
Minnesota's Power Ratings
Minnesota's Power Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Minnesota's Performance Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Minnesota's Offense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Minnesota's Defense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Minnesota's Team Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

Minnesota's SP+ Ratings
Minnesota's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.3 (#69)
Minnesota's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.9 (#105)
Minnesota's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.6 (#37)

Big Ten's Avg 2023 SP+ Rating: 6.1
Big Ten's Avg 2023 SP+ Offense Rating: 24.9
Big Ten's Avg 2023 SP+ Defense Rating: 18.9

Minnesota's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.3 (#69)
Minnesota's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.0 (#16)
Minnesota's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.4 (#18)

Minnesota's 2023 Expected Record: -
Power Ratings Matchup
Minnesota:    North Carolina: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Minnesota: -1.3   North Carolina: 10.2

Performance Ratings Matchup
Minnesota:    North Carolina:

Team Ratings Matchup
Minnesota:    North Carolina:




North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 2 (#Team not found for the given year.)
North Carolina's Performance Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
North Carolina's Offense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
North Carolina's Defense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
North Carolina's Team Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

North Carolina's SP+ Ratings
North Carolina's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.2 (#27)
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 (#13)
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.4 (#71)

ACC's Avg 2023 SP+ Rating: 5.0
ACC's Avg 2023 SP+ Offense Rating: 27.6
ACC's Avg 2023 SP+ Defense Rating: 22.7

North Carolina's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.2 (#27)
North Carolina's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.8 (#46)
North Carolina's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.4 (#59)

North Carolina's 2023 Expected Record: -
Minnesota Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.4
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Minnesota's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Minnesota Roster Talent
2023 Talent Rating: 640.46
2023 Talent Rating: 640.46
2022 Talent Rating: 649.43
2021 Talent Rating: 653.25

Blue Chip Ratio: 0% (#Team not found for the given year.)

Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 750.28
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 598.22
Projected Score
North Carolina 30.6
Minnesota 24.1

Projected Total Points: 55

Based on Entire Season
Minnesota
North Carolina

Total Points:
North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 34.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 40.7
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 24

North Carolina's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0

North Carolina Roster Talent
2023 Talent Rating: 805.63
2023 Talent Rating: 805.63
2022 Talent Rating: 812.94
2021 Talent Rating: 798.29

Blue Chip Ratio: 0% (#Team not found for the given year.)

Average ACC Talent Rating is 709.3
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 598.22




YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/16North Carolina31Minnesota13North CarolinaNorth Carolina -7North Carolina51.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Carolina110 Overs
Minnesota001 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1
(#Team not found for the given year.) Minnesota Info
Minnesota has won 2 straight
Record on Road: 1 - 4 (1 - 4 - 0 vs Spread )

Minnesota is 2 - 2 in last 4 games (3 at Home, 1 on Road)
Last 4 Games: 21 - 25
Last 1 Road Games: 12 - 10

Minnesota has a good 4th Down Conversion Rate
Minnesota commits very few Penalties (#)


Minnesota Deficiencies
Minnesota has a really bad Offense
Minnesota is Not an Explosive Offense (#)
Minnesota has a bad Offense Pass Success Rate (#)
Minnesota has a bad Defensive Power Success (#)
Minnesota has a bad Defense Scoring Opp Rate (#)
Minnesota Defense has a bad Havoc Rate (#)
Minnesota Front 7 has a bad Havoc Rate (#)
Minnesota Secondary has a bad Havoc Rate (#)

Rematch from Week 3
North Carolina -7.0 (51.0)
North Carolina won vs Minnesota this year (31-13)

Previous Matchups
North Carolina beat Minnesota last year (31-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kenan Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 85° - Wind: 8 mph

Depth Charts
Minnesota | North Carolina
(#Team not found for the given year.) North Carolina Info
North Carolina has won 2 straight
North Carolina has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 1 (4 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

North Carolina is 2 - 2 in last 4 games (3 at Home, 1 on Road)
Last 4 Games: 38 - 29
Last 3 Home Games: 36 - 23

North Carolina has Really Good Running Game (#)
North Carolina Offense has a good overall Success Rate (#)
North Carolina has a top Run Game Offensive Line (#)
North Carolina Offense has a good Run Game Success Rate (#)
North Carolina has a good 3rd Down Conversion Rate

North Carolina Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#)

North Carolina Defense Recovers a lot of Fumbles (#)
North Carolina Punt Return team is explosive (#)


North Carolina Deficiencies
North Carolina Commits a Lot of Penalties (#)
North Carolina Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#)
North Carolina has a bad Run Game Defensive Line (#)
North Carolina has a bad Defense Pass Downs Success Rate (#)


Minnesota's Head Coach P. J. Fleck
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Athan Kaliakmanis15629453%18381496.3
Cole Kramer81747%26221.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Darius Taylor13879955.843
Jordan Nubin12755934.421
Sean Tyler6124204.019
Zach Evans5223014.418
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Daniel Jackson59831814.139
Corey Crooms28376013.432
Brevyn Spann-Ford2523929.631
Darius Taylor119208.425
North Carolina's Head Coach Mack Brown
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drake Maye26942563%36082498.5
Conner Harrell223367%270228.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Omarion Hampton2531504155.968
Drake Maye11244994.056
British Brooks7437525.153
Conner Harrell227513.461
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
J.J. Jones46711315.557
Devontez Walker41699717.056
Bryson Nesbit41585514.362
Nate Mccollum44469110.748