Virginia at North Carolina Game Matchup
Virginia's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Virginia vs Tennessee+27.556.0L 13 - 49
Sat 9/9 Virginia vs James Madison+6.040.0L 35 - 36
Fri 9/15 Virginia at Maryland+16.548.5L 14 - 42
Fri 9/22 Virginia vs NC State+8.547.5L 21 - 24
Sat 9/30 Virginia at Boston College+5.052.5L 24 - 27
Sat 10/7 Virginia vs William & Mary-10.042.0W 27 - 13
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Virginia at North Carolina+24.058.0W 31 - 27
Sat 10/28 Virginia at Miami+18.548.0L 26 - 29
Sat 11/4 Virginia vs Georgia Tech-2.057.5L 17 - 45
Thu 11/9 Virginia at Louisville+20.549.5L 24 - 31
Sat 11/18 Virginia vs Duke+4.048.5W 30 - 27
Sat 11/25 Virginia vs Virginia Tech+2.552.5L 17 - 55
North Carolina's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 North Carolina vs South Carolina+2.563.5W 31 - 17
Sat 9/9 North Carolina vs Appalachian State-18.058.0W 40 - 34
Sat 9/16 North Carolina vs Minnesota-7.051.0W 31 - 13
Sat 9/23 North Carolina at Pittsburgh-7.049.5W 41 - 24
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7 North Carolina vs Syracuse-9.559.0W 40 - 7
Sat 10/14 North Carolina vs Miami-2.557.5W 41 - 31
Sat 10/21 North Carolina vs Virginia-24.058.0L 27 - 31
Sat 10/28 North Carolina at Georgia Tech-12.065.5L 42 - 46
Sat 11/4 North Carolina vs Campbell-45.568.5W 59 - 7
Sat 11/11 North Carolina vs Duke-9.552.5W 47 - 45
Sat 11/18 North Carolina at Clemson+7.558.0L 20 - 31
Sat 11/25 North Carolina at NC State-2.055.0L 20 - 39
Wed 12/27 North Carolina vs West Virginia+4.562.0L 10 - 30
UVA's OC Des Kitchings vs UNC's DC Gene Chizik     UNC's OC Chip Lindsey vs UVA's DC John Rudzinski
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UVA Offense1223.323.841%3.681.7213691182513.149%50%42%41%19%.15
UNC Defense1327.32442.2%3.411.7 - - - - - 50%49%43%42%15%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNC Offense1334.540.746.8%4.131.3254921932995.146%53%50%44%13%.3
UVA Defense1233.831.245.2%4.151.2 - - - - - 51%48%48%43%15%.26

 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UVA Offense1249% (76)42% (82)37.8117.93.112 (116).11 (91)3 (89)70% (83)13% (98)0.89 (123)
UNC Defense1350% (70)43% (68) - - - - .2 (100)3.33 (112)73% (126)10% (68)1.02 (85)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNC Offense1346% (97)50% (16)38.2193.25.128 (25).28 (9)3.41 (11)75% (25)8% (52)1.03 (31)
UVA Defense1251% (87)48% (118) - - - - .26 (124)3.36 (116)76% (104)9% (92)1.03 (108)

 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDsIntsPassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UVA Offense1250% (62)41% (76)20.733250.87.612.119 (78)14 (107).29 (67)1.6 (66)32% (83)29% (79).21 (105)6% (79)1.8 (126)
UNC Defense1349% (63)42% (76) - - - - - - 12 (37).29 (82)1.6 (64)34% (43)34% (117).38 (100)6% (92)1.9 (22)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDsIntsPassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNC Offense1353% (36)44% (44)22.535.4298.58.413.326 (31)11 (68).34 (47)1.6 (73)30% (33)32% (56).38 (55)5% (24)2.2 (21)
UVA Defense1248% (48)43% (90) - - - - - - 8 (100).32 (97)1.6 (54)28% (127)30% (62).33 (76)6% (57)2.1 (85)

 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Virginia1231:242136%60%6.555.31.71.24.80.9128.1
North Carolina1328:3424.549%45%7.266.31.31.75.42.1131.3
Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Virginia's Performance Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Virginia's Offense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Virginia's Defense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Virginia's Team Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

Virginia's SP+ Ratings
Virginia's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.3 (#106)
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 (#95)
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.5 (#99)

ACC's Avg 2023 SP+ Rating: 5.0
ACC's Avg 2023 SP+ Offense Rating: 27.6
ACC's Avg 2023 SP+ Defense Rating: 22.7

Virginia's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.3 (#106)
Virginia's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.0 (#96)
Virginia's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.2 (#55)

Virginia's 2023 Expected Record: -
Power Ratings Matchup
Virginia:    North Carolina: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Virginia: -10.3   North Carolina: 10.2

Performance Ratings Matchup
Virginia:    North Carolina:

Team Ratings Matchup
Virginia:    North Carolina:




North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 2 (#Team not found for the given year.)
North Carolina's Performance Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
North Carolina's Offense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
North Carolina's Defense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
North Carolina's Team Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

North Carolina's SP+ Ratings
North Carolina's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.2 (#27)
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 (#13)
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.4 (#71)

ACC's Avg 2023 SP+ Rating: 5.0
ACC's Avg 2023 SP+ Offense Rating: 27.6
ACC's Avg 2023 SP+ Defense Rating: 22.7

North Carolina's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.2 (#27)
North Carolina's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.8 (#46)
North Carolina's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.4 (#59)

North Carolina's 2023 Expected Record: -
Virginia Scoring
Offense: 23.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.8
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.2

Virginia's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Virginia Roster Talent
2023 Talent Rating: 622.70
2023 Talent Rating: 622.70
2022 Talent Rating: 625.94
2021 Talent Rating: 619.61

Blue Chip Ratio: 0% (#Team not found for the given year.)

Average ACC Talent Rating is 709.3
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 598.22
Projected Score
North Carolina 34.2
Virginia 25.3


Projected Total Points: 60

Based on Entire Season
Virginia
North Carolina

Total Points:
North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 34.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 40.7
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 24

North Carolina's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0

North Carolina Roster Talent
2023 Talent Rating: 805.63
2023 Talent Rating: 805.63
2022 Talent Rating: 812.94
2021 Talent Rating: 798.29

Blue Chip Ratio: 0% (#Team not found for the given year.)

Average ACC Talent Rating is 709.3
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 598.22




YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/21North Carolina27Virginia31VirginiaNorth Carolina -24Virginia58.0Push
202211/05Virginia28North Carolina31North CarolinaNorth Carolina -7Virginia61.5Under
202109/18North Carolina59Virginia39North CarolinaNorth Carolina -7.5North Carolina67.0Over
202010/31Virginia44North Carolina41VirginiaNorth Carolina -7.0Virginia0
201911/02North Carolina31Virginia38VirginiaVirginia -1Virginia48.0Over
201810/27Virginia31North Carolina21VirginiaVirginia -7.5Virginia51.0Over
201710/14North Carolina14Virginia20VirginiaVirginia -3Virginia54.5Under
201610/22Virginia14North Carolina35North CarolinaNorth Carolina -9North Carolina68.5Under
201510/24North Carolina26Virginia13North CarolinaNorth Carolina -12North Carolina58.0Under
201410/25Virginia27North Carolina28North CarolinaVirginia -7.5North Carolina0
201311/09North Carolina45Virginia14North CarolinaNorth Carolina -14North Carolina0
201211/15Virginia13North Carolina37North Carolina
201109/17North Carolina28Virginia17North Carolina
201010/16Virginia10North Carolina44North Carolina
200910/03North Carolina3Virginia16Virginia
200810/18Virginia16North Carolina13Virginia
200709/15North Carolina20Virginia22Virginia
200610/19Virginia23North Carolina0Virginia
200510/22North Carolina7Virginia5North Carolina
200409/11Virginia56North Carolina24Virginia
200310/04North Carolina13Virginia38Virginia
200210/19Virginia37North Carolina27Virginia
200110/13North Carolina30Virginia24North Carolina
200010/27Virginia17North Carolina6Virginia
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Carolina1153 Overs
Virginia1364 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 116 - 54 - 22 - 3
Road Teams11 - 135 - 63 - 22 - 4
(#Team not found for the given year.) Virginia Info
Virginia has won 1 straight
Virginia has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 4 (4 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Virginia is 1 - 3 in last 4 games (1 at Home, 3 on Road)
Last 4 Games: 27 - 24

Last 3 Road Games: 27 - 28

Virginia has a good 4th Down Conversion Rate

Virginia Deficiencies
Virginia Can Not Run the Ball (#)
Virginia throws a Lot of Interceptions (#)
Virginia Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Virginia does not Sack the QB (#)
Virginia Defense Doesn't Pick off a Lot of Passes (#)
Virginia has a bad Defense Success Rate (#)
Virginia has a bad Run Game Defensive Line (#)
Virginia has a bad Defense Scoring Opp Rate (#)
Virginia Front 7 has a bad Havoc Rate (#)
Virginia has a bad Defense Run Success Rate (#)

Rematch from Week 8
North Carolina -24.0 (58.0)
Virginia won at North Carolina this year (31-27)

Previous Matchups
Virginia beat North Carolina last year (31-27)
North Carolina beat Virginia in 2022 (31-28)
North Carolina beat Virginia in 2021 (59-39)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kenan Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 57° - Wind: 8 mph

Depth Charts
Virginia | North Carolina
(#Team not found for the given year.) North Carolina Info
North Carolina has won 6 straight
North Carolina has won 5 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 1 (4 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

North Carolina is 4 - 0 in last 4 games (3 at Home, 1 on Road)
Last 4 Games: 38 - 29

Last 3 Home Games: 36 - 23

North Carolina has Really Good Running Game (#)
North Carolina Offense has a good overall Success Rate (#)
North Carolina has a top Run Game Offensive Line (#)
North Carolina Offense has a good Run Game Success Rate (#)
North Carolina has a good 3rd Down Conversion Rate

North Carolina Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#)

North Carolina Defense Recovers a lot of Fumbles (#)
North Carolina Punt Return team is explosive (#)


North Carolina Deficiencies
North Carolina Commits a Lot of Penalties (#)
North Carolina Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#)
North Carolina has a bad Run Game Defensive Line (#)
North Carolina has a bad Defense Pass Downs Success Rate (#)


Virginia's Head Coach Tony Elliott
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Anthony Colandrea15424663%19581398.0
Tony Muskett9314763%1031657.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Perris Jones7639325.243
Kobe Pace12538213.122
Mike Hollins8027473.422
Anthony Colandrea7322503.130
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Malik Washington1101426913.064
Malachi Fields58811514.039
Kobe Pace1917639.375
Sackett Wood Jr.9141015.728
North Carolina's Head Coach Mack Brown
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drake Maye26942563%36082498.5
Conner Harrell223367%270228.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Omarion Hampton2531504155.968
Drake Maye11244994.056
British Brooks7437525.153
Conner Harrell227513.461
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
J.J. Jones46711315.557
Devontez Walker41699717.056
Bryson Nesbit41585514.362
Nate Mccollum44469110.748