Duke at Virginia Game Matchup
Duke's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Mon 9/4 Duke vs Clemson+12.554.0W 28 - 7
Sat 9/9 Duke vs Lafayette-42.549.0W 42 - 7
Sat 9/16 Duke vs Northwestern-17.048.0W 38 - 14
Sat 9/23 Duke at Connecticut-22.045.0W 41 - 7
Sat 9/30 Duke vs Notre Dame+5.552.5L 14 - 21
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Duke vs NC State-3.544.0W 24 - 3
Sat 10/21 Duke at Florida State+14.049.0L 20 - 38
Sat 10/28 Duke at Louisville+5.047.0L 0 - 23
Thu 11/2 Duke vs Wake Forest-6.541.0W 24 - 21
Sat 11/11 Duke at North Carolina+9.552.5L 45 - 47
Sat 11/18 Duke at Virginia-4.048.5L 27 - 30
Sat 11/25 Duke vs Pittsburgh-4.540.5W 30 - 19
Sat 12/23 Duke vs Troy+7.044.0W 17 - 10
Virginia's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Virginia vs Tennessee+27.556.0L 13 - 49
Sat 9/9 Virginia vs James Madison+6.040.0L 35 - 36
Fri 9/15 Virginia at Maryland+16.548.5L 14 - 42
Fri 9/22 Virginia vs NC State+8.547.5L 21 - 24
Sat 9/30 Virginia at Boston College+5.052.5L 24 - 27
Sat 10/7 Virginia vs William & Mary-10.042.0W 27 - 13
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Virginia at North Carolina+24.058.0W 31 - 27
Sat 10/28 Virginia at Miami+18.548.0L 26 - 29
Sat 11/4 Virginia vs Georgia Tech-2.057.5L 17 - 45
Thu 11/9 Virginia at Louisville+20.549.5L 24 - 31
Sat 11/18 Virginia vs Duke+4.048.5W 30 - 27
Sat 11/25 Virginia vs Virginia Tech+2.552.5L 17 - 55
DUKE's OC Kevin Johns vs UVA's DC John Rudzinski     UVA's OC Des Kitchings vs DUKE's DC Tyler Santucci
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Offense1326.926.642%4.271.2193481671814.852%47%42%42%13%.2
UVA Defense1233.833.345.2%4.151.2 - - - - - 51%48%48%43%15%.26
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UVA Offense1223.324.541%3.681.7213691182513.149%50%42%41%19%.15
DUKE Defense13192943.3%3.471.2 - - - - - 49%50%43%44%16%.16

 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Offense1352% (47)42% (77)34.5166.84.826 (30).17 (56)3.1 (70)66% (71)8% (114)1.08 (20)
UVA Defense1251% (87)48% (118) - - - - .26 (124)3.36 (116)76% (104)9% (92)1.03 (108)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UVA Offense1249% (76)42% (82)37.8117.93.112 (116).11 (91)3 (89)70% (83)13% (98)0.89 (123)
DUKE Defense1349% (53)43% (69) - - - - .11 (46)3.18 (90)68% (86)10% (39)0.96 (82)

 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDsIntsPassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Offense1347% (84)42% (66)15.427.5180.86.611.814 (106)8 (30).24 (79)1.4 (122)33% (88)31% (65).4 (43)6% (62)2 (95)
UVA Defense1248% (48)43% (90) - - - - - - 8 (100).32 (97)1.6 (54)28% (127)30% (62).33 (76)6% (57)2.1 (85)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDsIntsPassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UVA Offense1250% (62)41% (76)20.733250.87.612.119 (78)14 (107).29 (67)1.6 (66)32% (83)29% (79).21 (105)6% (79)1.8 (126)
DUKE Defense1350% (83)44% (101) - - - - - - 10 (67).22 (42)1.4 (3)31% (86)31% (78).3 (64)6% (56)2 (56)

 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Duke1328:5918.736%60%5.6461.21.25.52.1131.2
Virginia1231:242136%60%6.555.31.71.24.80.9128.1
Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Duke's Performance Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Duke's Offense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Duke's Defense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Duke's Team Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

Duke's SP+ Ratings
Duke's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.5 (#29)
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 (#53)
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.3 (#25)

ACC's Avg 2023 SP+ Rating: 5.0
ACC's Avg 2023 SP+ Offense Rating: 27.6
ACC's Avg 2023 SP+ Defense Rating: 22.7

Duke's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.5 (#29)
Duke's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.0 (#55)
Duke's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.5 (#114)

Duke's 2023 Expected Record: -
Power Ratings Matchup
Duke:    Virginia: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Duke: 9.5   Virginia: -10.3

Performance Ratings Matchup
Duke:    Virginia:

Team Ratings Matchup
Duke:    Virginia:




Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: 2 (#Team not found for the given year.)
Virginia's Performance Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Virginia's Offense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Virginia's Defense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Virginia's Team Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

Virginia's SP+ Ratings
Virginia's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.3 (#106)
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3 (#95)
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.5 (#99)

ACC's Avg 2023 SP+ Rating: 5.0
ACC's Avg 2023 SP+ Offense Rating: 27.6
ACC's Avg 2023 SP+ Defense Rating: 22.7

Virginia's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.3 (#106)
Virginia's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.0 (#96)
Virginia's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.2 (#55)

Virginia's 2023 Expected Record: -
Duke Scoring
Offense: 26.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.6
Defense: 19 PPG
Defense on Road: 29

Duke's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Duke Roster Talent
2023 Talent Rating: 620.90
2023 Talent Rating: 620.90
2022 Talent Rating: 603.98
2021 Talent Rating: 605.57

Blue Chip Ratio: 0% (#Team not found for the given year.)

Average ACC Talent Rating is 709.3
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 598.22
Projected Score
Duke 30.4
Virginia 21.2


Projected Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
Duke
Virginia

Total Points:
Virginia Scoring
Offense: 23.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.5
Defense: 33.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 33.3

Virginia's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Virginia Roster Talent
2023 Talent Rating: 622.70
2023 Talent Rating: 622.70
2022 Talent Rating: 625.94
2021 Talent Rating: 619.61

Blue Chip Ratio: 0% (#Team not found for the given year.)

Average ACC Talent Rating is 709.3
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 598.22




YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/18Virginia30Duke27VirginiaDuke -4Virginia48.5Over
202210/01Duke38Virginia17DukeDuke -2Duke55.0Push
202110/16Virginia48Duke0VirginiaVirginia -10.5Virginia69.5Under
202009/26Virginia38Duke20VirginiaVirginia -3.5Virginia44.5Over
201910/19Virginia48Duke14VirginiaVirginia -3.5Virginia45.0Over
201810/20Duke14Virginia28VirginiaDuke -6.5Virginia45.5Under
201710/07Virginia28Duke21VirginiaDuke -1.5Virginia53.0Under
201610/01Duke20Virginia34VirginiaDuke -5Virginia60.5Under
201511/21Virginia42Duke34VirginiaVirginia -2.5Virginia53.5Over
201410/18Duke20Virginia13DukeDuke -5Duke0
201310/19Virginia22Duke35DukeVirginia -4Duke0
201210/06Duke42Virginia17Duke
201111/12Virginia31Duke21Virginia
201011/06Duke55Virginia48Duke
200910/31Virginia17Duke28Duke
200809/27Duke31Virginia3Duke
200709/08Virginia24Duke13Virginia
200609/30Duke0Virginia37Virginia
200509/24Virginia38Duke7Virginia
200410/23Duke16Virginia37Virginia
200308/30Virginia27Duke0Virginia
200210/05Duke22Virginia27Virginia
200109/29Virginia31Duke10Virginia
200009/15Duke10Virginia26Virginia
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Virginia1784 Overs
Duke734 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams16 - 88 - 36 - 32 - 0
Road Teams8 - 163 - 80 - 23 - 6
(#Team not found for the given year.) Duke Info
Duke has lost 1 straight
Duke has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 4 (2 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )

Duke is 1 - 3 in last 4 games (2 at Home, 2 on Road)
Last 4 Games: 15 - 21

Last 2 Road Games: 10 - 31

Duke has a good 4th Down Conversion Rate
Duke Defense limits Explosive Plays (#)
Duke Defense limits Explosive Pass Plays (#)

Duke Offense throws very few Interceptions (#)


Duke Deficiencies
Duke has a bad Offensive Power Success (#)
Duke has a bad Defense Pass Success Rate (#)

Rematch from Week 12
Duke 4.0 (48.5)
Virginia won vs Duke this year (30-27)

Previous Matchups
Virginia beat Duke last year (30-27)
Duke beat Virginia in 2022 (38-17)
Virginia beat Duke in 2021 (48-0)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scott Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 61° - Wind: 7 mph

Depth Charts
Duke | Virginia
(#Team not found for the given year.) Virginia Info
Virginia has lost 3 straight
Virginia has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 4 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

Virginia is 1 - 3 in last 4 games (1 at Home, 3 on Road)
Last 4 Games: 27 - 24

Last 1 Home Games: 27 - 13

Virginia has a good 4th Down Conversion Rate

Virginia Deficiencies
Virginia Can Not Run the Ball (#)
Virginia throws a Lot of Interceptions (#)
Virginia Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Virginia Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Virginia does not Sack the QB (#)
Virginia Defense Doesn't Pick off a Lot of Passes (#)
Virginia has a bad Defense Success Rate (#)
Virginia has a bad Run Game Defensive Line (#)
Virginia has a bad Defense Scoring Opp Rate (#)
Virginia Front 7 has a bad Havoc Rate (#)
Virginia has a bad Defense Run Success Rate (#)


Duke's Head Coach Mike Elko
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Riley Leonard9516558%1102336.7
Grayson Loftis9116356%1006846.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Waters153819125.483
Jaquez Moore11667465.858
Riley Leonard5835246.144
Jaylen Coleman4616513.615
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Moore62835813.549
Jalon Calhoun50666413.369
Sahmir Hagans3026008.723
Nicky Dalmolin1514709.821
Virginia's Head Coach Tony Elliott
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Anthony Colandrea15424663%19581398.0
Tony Muskett9314763%1031657.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Perris Jones7639325.243
Kobe Pace12538213.122
Mike Hollins8027473.422
Anthony Colandrea7322503.130
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Malik Washington1101426913.064
Malachi Fields58811514.039
Kobe Pace1917639.375
Sackett Wood Jr.9141015.728