Air Force at Boise State Game Matchup
Air Force's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Air Force vs Robert Morris-47.051.0W 42 - 7
Sat 9/9 Air Force vs Sam Houston State-13.536.5W 13 - 3
Fri 9/15 Air Force vs Utah State-9.045.5W 39 - 21
Fri 9/22 Air Force at San José State-6.045.5W 45 - 20
Sat 9/30 Air Force vs San Diego State-10.543.5W 49 - 10
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Air Force vs Wyoming-12.542.0W 34 - 27
Sat 10/21 Air Force at Navy-11.034.0W 17 - 6
Sat 10/28 Air Force at Colorado State-14.547.0W 30 - 13
Sat 11/4 Air Force vs Army-18.532.0L 3 - 23
Sat 11/11 Air Force at Hawai'i-22.547.5L 13 - 27
Sat 11/18 Air Force vs UNLV-2.546.5L 27 - 31
Fri 11/24 Air Force at Boise State+6.544.5L 19 - 27
Sat 12/23 Air Force vs James Madison-2.544.5W 31 - 21
Boise State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Boise State at Washington+14.059.0L 19 - 56
Sat 9/9 Boise State vs UCF+3.058.5L 16 - 18
Sat 9/16 Boise State vs North Dakota-15.058.0W 42 - 18
Fri 9/22 Boise State at San Diego State-6.546.0W 34 - 31
Sat 9/30 Boise State at Memphis+3.058.0L 32 - 35
Sat 10/7 Boise State vs San José State-8.057.5W 35 - 27
Sat 10/14 Boise State at Colorado State-7.560.0L 30 - 31
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Boise State vs Wyoming-4.548.5W 32 - 7
Sat 11/4 Boise State at Fresno State+2.553.5L 30 - 37
Sat 11/11 Boise State vs New Mexico-27.558.5W 42 - 14
Sat 11/18 Boise State at Utah State-5.562.5W 45 - 10
Fri 11/24 Boise State vs Air Force-6.544.5W 27 - 19
Sat 12/2 Boise State at UNLV-2.558.0W 44 - 20
Sat 12/16 Boise State vs UCLA+6.546.0L 22 - 35
AFA's OC Mike Thiessen vs BSU's DC Spencer Danielson     BSU's OC Bush Hamdan vs AFA's DC Brian Knorr
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AFA Offense1327.824.845.5%4.051.320366281855.185%14%46%41%9%.28
BSU Defense1425.617.241.3%4.041.4 - - - - - 46%53%44%40%17%.22
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BSU Offense1432.132.346.6%4.21.5214362152215.457%42%51%42%14%.3
AFA Defense1318.218.639.3%3.961.1 - - - - - 49%50%37%42%14%.12

 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AFA Offense1385% (1)46% (34)54.7280.65.136 (4).27 (14)3.48 (8)80% (1)8% (19)1.02 (22)
BSU Defense1446% (24)44% (79) - - - - .19 (95)3.08 (59)66% (68)11% (29)1.09 (34)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BSU Offense1457% (19)51% (10)40214.95.434 (7).3 (6)3.46 (9)84% (7)8% (6)1.07 (34)
AFA Defense1349% (58)37% (16) - - - - .06 (26)2.67 (13)79% (11)9% (106)0.99 (93)

 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDsIntsPassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AFA Offense1314% (133)41% (74)4.28.18510.520.17 (129)6 (14).51 (9)2.3 (1)23% (1)27% (93).39 (48)2% (1)2.3 (7)
BSU Defense1453% (112)40% (42) - - - - - - 11 (53).28 (72)1.7 (91)33% (48)32% (91).37 (95)6% (72)2.1 (80)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDsIntsPassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BSU Offense1442% (117)42% (69)15.426.6221.38.314.320 (70)13 (97).38 (29)1.8 (12)29% (16)34% (38).38 (56)6% (66)2.1 (57)
AFA Defense1350% (80)42% (79) - - - - - - 10 (67).21 (36)1.5 (19)34% (44)29% (45).34 (85)5% (103)2 (59)

 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Air Force1333:2619.646%68%324.81.31.14.52230.6
Boise State1431:1121.446%82%3.7321.51.45.92.5029.4
Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Air Force's Performance Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Air Force's Offense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Air Force's Defense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Air Force's Team Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

Air Force's SP+ Ratings
Air Force's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.2 (#45)
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7 (#76)
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.6 (#29)

Mountain West's Avg 2023 SP+ Rating: -7.9
Mountain West's Avg 2023 SP+ Offense Rating: 23.3
Mountain West's Avg 2023 SP+ Defense Rating: 31.2

Air Force's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.2 (#45)
Air Force's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.9 (#58)
Air Force's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.4 (#54)

Air Force's 2023 Expected Record: -
Power Ratings Matchup
Air Force:    Boise State: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Air Force: 5.2   Boise State: 7.4

Performance Ratings Matchup
Air Force:    Boise State:

Team Ratings Matchup
Air Force:    Boise State:




Boise State's Power Ratings
Boise State's Power Rating: 2 (#Team not found for the given year.)
Boise State's Performance Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Boise State's Offense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Boise State's Defense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Boise State's Team Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

Boise State's SP+ Ratings
Boise State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.4 (#41)
Boise State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.2 (#29)
Boise State's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 (#70)

Mountain West's Avg 2023 SP+ Rating: -7.9
Mountain West's Avg 2023 SP+ Offense Rating: 23.3
Mountain West's Avg 2023 SP+ Defense Rating: 31.2

Boise State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.4 (#41)
Boise State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.7 (#52)
Boise State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.4 (#41)

Boise State's 2023 Expected Record: -
Air Force Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.8
Defense: 18.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.6

Air Force's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Air Force Roster Talent
2023 Talent Rating:
2023 Talent Rating:
2022 Talent Rating: 0.00
2021 Talent Rating: 30.32

Blue Chip Ratio: 0% (#Team not found for the given year.)

Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 444.14
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 598.22
Projected Score
Air Force 26.7
Boise State 25.2


Projected Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
Air Force
Boise State

Total Points:
Boise State Scoring
Offense: 32.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.3
Defense: 25.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.2

Boise State's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 2
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 0 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 1

Boise State Roster Talent
2023 Talent Rating: 579.88
2023 Talent Rating: 579.88
2022 Talent Rating: 533.92
2021 Talent Rating: 557.69

Blue Chip Ratio: 0% (#Team not found for the given year.)

Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 444.14
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 598.22




YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/24Boise State27Air Force19Boise StateBoise State -6.5Boise State44.5Over
202210/22Air Force14Boise State19Boise StateAir Force -2.5Boise State46.5Under
202110/16Boise State17Air Force24Air ForceBoise State -3Air Force52.0Under
202010/31Air Force30Boise State49Boise StateBoise State -10.5Boise State0
201909/20Boise State30Air Force19Boise StateBoise State -7.5Boise State53.0Under
201810/27Air Force38Boise State48Boise StateBoise State -10NA58.0Over
201711/18Boise State44Air Force19Boise StateBoise State -17.5Boise State60.5Over
201611/25Air Force27Boise State20Air ForceBoise State -9Air Force63.5Under
201511/20Boise State30Air Force37Air ForceBoise State -14.5Air Force55.0Over
201409/27Air Force28Boise State14Air ForceBoise State -15Air Force0
201309/13Boise State42Air Force20Boise StateBoise State -24Air Force0
201110/22Boise State37Air Force26Boise State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Boise State854 Overs
Air Force454 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 55 - 53 - 42 - 1
Road Teams5 - 75 - 51 - 24 - 3
(#Team not found for the given year.) Air Force Info
Air Force has lost 3 straight
Air Force has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 4 - 2 (2 - 2 - 1 vs Spread )

Air Force is 1 - 3 in last 4 games (2 at Home, 2 on Road)
Last 4 Games: 33 - 14

Last 2 Road Games: 24 - 10

Air Force has Really Good Running Game (#)
Air Force has a top Run Game Offensive Line (#)
Air Force has a good 3rd Down Conversion Rate

Air Force has a top Offensive Power Success (#)
Air Force has a good 4th Down Conversion Rate

Air Force Defense has a top Success Rate vs the Run (#)
Air Force Defensive Line is very good vs the Run (#)
Air Force Defense limits Explosive Pass Plays (#)

Air Force commits very few Penalties (#)
Air Force Offense throws very few Interceptions (#)


Air Force Deficiencies
Air Force Fumbles a Lot (#)
Air Force is Not an Explosive Offense (#)
Air Force Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#)
Air Force has a bad Defensive Power Success (#)
Air Force Defense has a bad Havoc Rate (#)
Air Force Secondary has a bad Havoc Rate (#)

Rematch from Week 13
Boise State -6.5 (44.5)
Boise State won vs Air Force this year (27-19)

Previous Matchups
Boise State beat Air Force last year (27-19)
Boise State beat Air Force in 2022 (19-14)
Air Force beat Boise State in 2021 (24-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Albertsons Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 45°
Depth Charts
Air Force | Boise State
(#Team not found for the given year.) Boise State Info
Boise State has won 2 straight
Boise State has won 4 straight at Home
Record at home: 5 - 1 (5 - 0 - 1 vs Spread)

Boise State is 3 - 1 in last 4 games (2 at Home, 2 on Road)
Last 4 Games: 32 - 25

Last 2 Home Games: 34 - 17

Boise State is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

Boise State has Really Good Running Game (#)
Boise State Offense has a good overall Success Rate (#)
Boise State has a top Run Game Offensive Line (#)
Boise State Offense has a good Run Game Success Rate (#)
Boise State has a good 3rd Down Conversion Rate

Boise State has a top Offensive Power Success (#)
Boise State has a good 4th Down Conversion Rate

Boise State Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Boise State has a top Defensive Power Success (#)

Boise State commits very few Penalties (#)


Boise State Deficiencies
Boise State Gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#)
Boise State Gives up a Lot of Explosive Run Plays (#)







Air Force's Head Coach Troy Calhoun
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Zachary Larrier406760%7897211.8
John Busha91947%152018.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Emmanuel Michel200935114.754
Zachary Larrier14260564.341
John Lee Eldridge III8459967.165
Dylan Carson6849327.368
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jared Roznos12374331.284
Cade Harris5179135.865
Brandon Engel10178017.839
Dane Kinamon5126225.294
Boise State's Head Coach Spencer Danielson (Int)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Taylen Green12121257%17521198.3
Maddux Madsen8113261%1191939.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ashton Jeanty2211351146.168
George Holani13374475.675
Taylen Green7843695.670
Jambres Dubar6233525.424
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eric McAlister47873518.683
Ashton Jeanty43569513.275
Billy Bowens28383113.752
Prince Strachan12274222.874