Air Force at Colorado State Game Matchup
Air Force's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Air Force vs Robert Morris-47.051.0W 42 - 7
Sat 9/9 Air Force vs Sam Houston State-13.536.5W 13 - 3
Fri 9/15 Air Force vs Utah State-9.045.5W 39 - 21
Fri 9/22 Air Force at San José State-6.045.5W 45 - 20
Sat 9/30 Air Force vs San Diego State-10.543.5W 49 - 10
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Air Force vs Wyoming-12.542.0W 34 - 27
Sat 10/21 Air Force at Navy-11.034.0W 17 - 6
Sat 10/28 Air Force at Colorado State-14.547.0W 30 - 13
Sat 11/4 Air Force vs Army-18.532.0L 3 - 23
Sat 11/11 Air Force at Hawai'i-22.547.5L 13 - 27
Sat 11/18 Air Force vs UNLV-2.546.5L 27 - 31
Fri 11/24 Air Force at Boise State+6.544.5L 19 - 27
Sat 12/23 Air Force vs James Madison-2.544.5W 31 - 21
AFA's OC Mike Thiessen vs CSU's DC Freddie Banks     CSU's OC Matt Mumme vs AFA's DC Brian Knorr
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AFA Offense1327.824.845.5%4.051.320366281855.185%14%46%41%9%.28
CSU Defense1229.628.242.9%3.41.6 - - - - - 52%47%42%44%16%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CSU Offense1226.126.841.6%3.662.121399933073.439%59%39%45%16%.17
AFA Defense1318.218.639.3%3.961.1 - - - - - 49%50%37%42%14%.12

 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AFA Offense1385% (1)46% (34)54.7280.65.136 (4).27 (14)3.48 (8)80% (1)8% (19)1.02 (22)
CSU Defense1252% (102)42% (61) - - - - .11 (47)3.05 (55)75% (109)12% (82)1.04 (24)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CSU Offense1239% (126)39% (118)27.792.83.410 (124)-.02 (130)2.7 (124)69% (121)7% (102)0.72 (15)
AFA Defense1349% (58)37% (16) - - - - .06 (26)2.67 (13)79% (11)9% (106)0.99 (93)

 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDsIntsPassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AFA Offense1314% (133)41% (74)4.28.18510.520.17 (129)6 (14).51 (9)2.3 (1)23% (1)27% (93).39 (48)2% (1)2.3 (7)
CSU Defense1247% (31)44% (107) - - - - - - 9 (87).29 (87)1.4 (10)32% (69)30% (69).3 (60)4% (126)2.1 (79)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDsIntsPassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CSU Offense1259% (9)45% (38)25.941.8306.57.311.824 (41)18 (128).35 (43)1.5 (100)33% (86)29% (81).31 (74)8% (124)2 (105)
AFA Defense1350% (80)42% (79) - - - - - - 10 (67).21 (36)1.5 (19)34% (44)29% (45).34 (85)5% (103)2 (59)

 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Air Force1333:2619.646%68%324.81.31.14.52230.6
Colorado State1226:3420.641%42%7.669.82.11.67.22.8226.1
Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Air Force's Performance Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Air Force's Offense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Air Force's Defense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Air Force's Team Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

Air Force's SP+ Ratings
Air Force's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.2 (#45)
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7 (#76)
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.6 (#29)

Mountain West's Avg 2023 SP+ Rating: -7.9
Mountain West's Avg 2023 SP+ Offense Rating: 23.3
Mountain West's Avg 2023 SP+ Defense Rating: 31.2

Air Force's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.2 (#45)
Air Force's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.9 (#58)
Air Force's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.4 (#54)

Air Force's 2023 Expected Record: -
Power Ratings Matchup
Air Force:    Colorado State: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Air Force: 5.2   Colorado State: -9.1

Performance Ratings Matchup
Air Force:    Colorado State:

Team Ratings Matchup
Air Force:    Colorado State:




Colorado State's Power Ratings
Colorado State's Power Rating: 2 (#Team not found for the given year.)
Colorado State's Performance Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Colorado State's Offense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Colorado State's Defense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Colorado State's Team Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

Colorado State's SP+ Ratings
Colorado State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.1 (#99)
Colorado State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.7 (#93)
Colorado State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.9 (#101)

Mountain West's Avg 2023 SP+ Rating: -7.9
Mountain West's Avg 2023 SP+ Offense Rating: 23.3
Mountain West's Avg 2023 SP+ Defense Rating: 31.2

Colorado State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.1 (#99)
Colorado State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.2 (#126)
Colorado State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.4 (#87)

Colorado State's 2023 Expected Record: -
Air Force Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.8
Defense: 18.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.6

Air Force's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Air Force Roster Talent
2023 Talent Rating:
2023 Talent Rating:
2022 Talent Rating: 0.00
2021 Talent Rating: 30.32

Blue Chip Ratio: 0% (#Team not found for the given year.)

Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 444.14
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 598.22
Projected Score
Air Force 28.7
Colorado State 22.2


Projected Total Points: 51

Based on Entire Season
Air Force
Colorado State

Total Points:
Colorado State Scoring
Offense: 26.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.8
Defense: 29.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.2

Colorado State's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Colorado State Roster Talent
2023 Talent Rating: 413.96
2023 Talent Rating: 413.96
2022 Talent Rating: 431.38
2021 Talent Rating: 443.16

Blue Chip Ratio: 0% (#Team not found for the given year.)

Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 444.14
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 598.22




YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/28Colorado State13Air Force30Air ForceAir Force -14.5Air Force47.0Under
202211/19Air Force24Colorado State12Air ForceAir Force -22Colorado State43.0Under
202111/13Colorado State21Air Force35Air ForceAir Force -3Air Force45.0Over
201911/16Colorado State21Air Force38Air ForceAir Force -11Air Force63.5Under
201811/22Air Force27Colorado State19Air ForceAir Force -14.5Colorado State64.0Under
201710/28Colorado State28Air Force45Air ForceColorado State -9.5Air Force68.5Over
201611/12Air Force49Colorado State46Air ForceAir Force -6Colorado State54.0Over
201510/17Colorado State38Air Force23Colorado StateAir Force -3.5Colorado State54.5Over
201411/28Air Force27Colorado State24Air ForceColorado State -5Air Force0
201311/30Colorado State58Air Force13Colorado StateColorado State -14Colorado State0
201209/29Air Force42Colorado State21Air Force
201111/26Colorado State21Air Force45Air Force
201010/09Air Force49Colorado State27Air Force
200910/31Colorado State16Air Force34Air Force
200811/08Air Force38Colorado State17Air Force
200710/13Colorado State21Air Force45Air Force
200610/12Air Force24Colorado State21Air Force
200509/29Colorado State41Air Force23Colorado State
200411/20Air Force47Colorado State17Air Force
200310/16Colorado State30Air Force20Colorado State
200210/31Air Force12Colorado State31Colorado State
200111/08Colorado State28Air Force21Colorado State
200011/10Air Force44Colorado State40Air Force
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Colorado State654 Overs
Air Force1754 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 83 - 71 - 42 - 3
Road Teams8 - 157 - 33 - 24 - 1
(#Team not found for the given year.) Air Force Info
Air Force has won 7 straight
Air Force has won 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 4 - 2 (2 - 2 - 1 vs Spread )

Air Force is 4 - 0 in last 4 games (2 at Home, 2 on Road)
Last 4 Games: 33 - 14

Last 2 Road Games: 24 - 10

Air Force has Really Good Running Game (#)
Air Force has a top Run Game Offensive Line (#)
Air Force has a good 3rd Down Conversion Rate

Air Force has a top Offensive Power Success (#)
Air Force has a good 4th Down Conversion Rate

Air Force Defense has a top Success Rate vs the Run (#)
Air Force Defensive Line is very good vs the Run (#)
Air Force Defense limits Explosive Pass Plays (#)

Air Force commits very few Penalties (#)
Air Force Offense throws very few Interceptions (#)


Air Force Deficiencies
Air Force Fumbles a Lot (#)
Air Force is Not an Explosive Offense (#)
Air Force Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#)
Air Force has a bad Defensive Power Success (#)
Air Force Defense has a bad Havoc Rate (#)
Air Force Secondary has a bad Havoc Rate (#)

Rematch from Week 9
Air Force 14.5 (47.0)
Air Force won at Colorado State this year (30-13)

Previous Matchups
Air Force beat Colorado State last year (30-13)
Air Force beat Colorado State in 2022 (24-12)
Air Force beat Colorado State in 2021 (35-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Canvas Stadium
Conditions: Snowfall
Temp: 27° - Wind: 6 mph
Rain: 0.02

Depth Charts
Air Force | Colorado State
(#Team not found for the given year.) Colorado State Info
Colorado State has lost 1 straight
Colorado State has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 2 (1 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)

Colorado State is 2 - 2 in last 4 games (2 at Home, 2 on Road)
Last 4 Games: 23 - 32

Last 2 Home Games: 22 - 30

Colorado State Does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#)

Colorado State Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Colorado State Front 7 has a top Havoc Rate (#)
Colorado State Defense limits Explosive Pass Plays (#)

Colorado State Defense Recovers a lot of Fumbles (#)
Colorado State Kick Return team is explosive (#)
Colorado State Punt Return team is explosive (#)


Colorado State Deficiencies
Colorado State has a bad TO Margin (#)
Colorado State Can Not Run the Ball (#)
Colorado State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#)
Colorado State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#)
Colorado State has a bad Offensive Power Success (#)
Colorado State has a bad Offense Run Success Rate (#)
Colorado State Secondary has a bad Havoc Rate (#)
Colorado State has a bad Defense Pass Success Rate (#)





Air Force's Head Coach Troy Calhoun
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Zachary Larrier406760%7897211.8
John Busha91947%152018.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Emmanuel Michel200935114.754
Zachary Larrier14260564.341
John Lee Eldridge III8459967.165
Dylan Carson6849327.368
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jared Roznos12374331.284
Cade Harris5179135.865
Brandon Engel10178017.839
Dane Kinamon5126225.294
Colorado State's Head Coach Jay Norvell
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi29247062%346022167.4
Clay Millen152463%110014.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Vann Schield9038934.352
Justin Marshall5731125.521
Avery Morrow8126223.213
Kobe Johnson4412812.913
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tory Horton961136811.876
Dallin Holker64767612.042
Justus Ross-Simmons45724316.175
Louis Brown47481510.246