Air Force vs Sam Houston State Game Matchup
Air Force's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Air Force vs Robert Morris-47.051.0W 42 - 7
Sat 9/9 Air Force vs Sam Houston State-13.536.5W 13 - 3
Fri 9/15 Air Force vs Utah State-9.045.5W 39 - 21
Fri 9/22 Air Force at San José State-6.045.5W 45 - 20
Sat 9/30 Air Force vs San Diego State-10.543.5W 49 - 10
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Air Force vs Wyoming-12.542.0W 34 - 27
Sat 10/21 Air Force at Navy-11.034.0W 17 - 6
Sat 10/28 Air Force at Colorado State-14.547.0W 30 - 13
Sat 11/4 Air Force vs Army-18.532.0L 3 - 23
Sat 11/11 Air Force at Hawai'i-22.547.5L 13 - 27
Sat 11/18 Air Force vs UNLV-2.546.5L 27 - 31
Fri 11/24 Air Force at Boise State+6.544.5L 19 - 27
Sat 12/23 Air Force vs James Madison-2.544.5W 31 - 21
AFA's OC Mike Thiessen vs SHSU's DC Clayton Carlin     SHSU's OC Brad Cornelsen vs AFA's DC Brian Knorr
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AFA Offense1327.824.845.5%4.051.320366281855.185%14%46%41%9%.28
SHSU Defense1226.229.241.3%3.771.7 - - - - - 53%47%41%42%14%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SHSU Offense122027.236.9%3.471.318311892222.943%55%34%40%15%.1
AFA Defense1318.218.639.3%3.961.1 - - - - - 49%50%37%42%14%.12

 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AFA Offense1385% (1)46% (34)54.7280.65.136 (4).27 (14)3.48 (8)80% (1)8% (19)1.02 (22)
SHSU Defense1253% (104)41% (55) - - - - .16 (80)3.2 (92)79% (103)8% (104)1.02 (119)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SHSU Offense1243% (110)34% (130)30.789.12.913 (108)-.02 (129)2.61 (131)83% (118)9% (7)0.81 (56)
AFA Defense1349% (58)37% (16) - - - - .06 (26)2.67 (13)79% (11)9% (106)0.99 (93)

 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDsIntsPassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AFA Offense1314% (133)41% (74)4.28.18510.520.17 (129)6 (14).51 (9)2.3 (1)23% (1)27% (93).39 (48)2% (1)2.3 (7)
SHSU Defense1247% (32)42% (75) - - - - - - 13 (26).23 (49)1.5 (24)31% (79)27% (25).26 (41)6% (87)2.1 (88)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDsIntsPassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SHSU Offense1255% (25)40% (84)23.537.3222.369.515 (96)12 (85).24 (81)1.4 (127)34% (105)24% (124).17 (112)6% (55)1.9 (119)
AFA Defense1350% (80)42% (79) - - - - - - 10 (67).21 (36)1.5 (19)34% (44)29% (45).34 (85)5% (103)2 (59)

 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Air Force1333:2619.646%68%324.81.31.14.52230.6
Sam Houston State1229:4118.336%59%5.142.21.31.74.31.4228
Air Force's Power Ratings
Air Force's Power Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Air Force's Performance Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Air Force's Offense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Air Force's Defense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Air Force's Team Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

Air Force's SP+ Ratings
Air Force's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.2 (#45)
Air Force's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.7 (#76)
Air Force's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.6 (#29)

Mountain West's Avg 2023 SP+ Rating: -7.9
Mountain West's Avg 2023 SP+ Offense Rating: 23.3
Mountain West's Avg 2023 SP+ Defense Rating: 31.2

Air Force's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.2 (#45)
Air Force's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.9 (#58)
Air Force's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.4 (#54)

Air Force's 2023 Expected Record: -
Power Ratings Matchup
Air Force:    Sam Houston State:

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Air Force: 5.2   Sam Houston State: -13.5

Performance Ratings Matchup
Air Force:    Sam Houston State:

Team Ratings Matchup
Air Force:    Sam Houston State:




Sam Houston State's Power Ratings
Sam Houston State's Power Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Sam Houston State's Performance Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Sam Houston State's Offense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Sam Houston State's Defense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Sam Houston State's Team Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

Sam Houston State's SP+ Ratings
Sam Houston State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.5 (#112)
Sam Houston State's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.2 (#120)
Sam Houston State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 (#82)

Conference USA's Avg 2023 SP+ Rating: -9.8
Conference USA's Avg 2023 SP+ Offense Rating: 20.9
Conference USA's Avg 2023 SP+ Defense Rating: 30.6

Sam Houston State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.5 (#112)
Sam Houston State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Sam Houston State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

Sam Houston State's 2023 Expected Record: -
Air Force Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.8
Defense: 18.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 18.6

Air Force's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Air Force Roster Talent
2023 Talent Rating:
2023 Talent Rating:
2022 Talent Rating: 0.00
2021 Talent Rating: 30.32

Blue Chip Ratio: 0% (#Team not found for the given year.)

Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 444.14
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 598.22
Projected Score
Air Force 27
Sam Houston State 19.1


Projected Total Points: 46

Based on Entire Season
Air Force
Sam Houston State

Total Points:
Sam Houston State Scoring
Offense: 20 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.2
Defense: 26.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.2

Sam Houston State's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Sam Houston State Roster Talent
2023 Talent Rating: 240.42
2023 Talent Rating: 240.42
2022 Talent Rating: 200.06
2021 Talent Rating: 111.50

Blue Chip Ratio: 0% (#Team not found for the given year.)

Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 351.59
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 598.22




YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/09Sam Houston State3Air Force13Air ForceAir Force -13.5Sam Houston State36.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Sam Houston State010 Overs
Air Force101 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0
Road Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
(#Team not found for the given year.) Air Force Info
Air Force has won 1 straight
Record on Road: 4 - 2 (2 - 2 - 1 vs Spread )

Air Force is 1 - 3 in last 4 games (2 at Home, 2 on Road)
Last 4 Games: 33 - 14

Last 2 Road Games: 24 - 10

Air Force has Really Good Running Game (#)
Air Force has a top Run Game Offensive Line (#)
Air Force has a good 3rd Down Conversion Rate

Air Force has a top Offensive Power Success (#)
Air Force has a good 4th Down Conversion Rate

Air Force Defense has a top Success Rate vs the Run (#)
Air Force Defensive Line is very good vs the Run (#)
Air Force Defense limits Explosive Pass Plays (#)

Air Force commits very few Penalties (#)
Air Force Offense throws very few Interceptions (#)


Air Force Deficiencies
Air Force Fumbles a Lot (#)
Air Force is Not an Explosive Offense (#)
Air Force Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#)
Air Force has a bad Defensive Power Success (#)
Air Force Defense has a bad Havoc Rate (#)
Air Force Secondary has a bad Havoc Rate (#)

Rematch from Week 2
Air Force 13.5 (36.5)
Air Force won at Sam Houston State this year (13-3)

Previous Matchups
Air Force beat Sam Houston State last year (13-3)

Weather Forecast
Playing in NRG Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 94°
Depth Charts
Air Force | Sam Houston State
(#Team not found for the given year.) Sam Houston State Info
Sam Houston State has lost 1 straight
Record at home: 2 - 3 (1 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)

Sam Houston State is 0 - 4 in last 4 games (2 at Home, 2 on Road)
Last 4 Games: 23 - 30

Last 2 Home Games: 31 - 35

Sam Houston State has a top Offensive Power Success (#)
Sam Houston State has a good 4th Down Conversion Rate

Sam Houston State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#)
Sam Houston State Defense has a top Success Rate on Pass Downs(#)
Sam Houston State Defense limits Explosive Pass Plays (#)

Sam Houston State commits very few Penalties (#)
Sam Houston State Defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)


Sam Houston State Deficiencies
Sam Houston State has a really bad Offense
Sam Houston State Can Not Run the Ball (#)
Sam Houston State has a bad Offense Success Rate (#)
Sam Houston State is Not an Explosive Offense (#)
Sam Houston State has a bad Offense Pass Downs Success Rate (#)
Sam Houston State has a bad Offense Run Success Rate (#)
Sam Houston State does not Sack the QB (#)
Sam Houston State has a bad Defensive Power Success (#)
Sam Houston State Defense has a bad Havoc Rate (#)
Sam Houston State Front 7 has a bad Havoc Rate (#)



Air Force's Head Coach Troy Calhoun
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Zachary Larrier406760%7897211.8
John Busha91947%152018.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Emmanuel Michel200935114.754
Zachary Larrier14260564.341
John Lee Eldridge III8459967.165
Dylan Carson6849327.368
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jared Roznos12374331.284
Cade Harris5179135.865
Brandon Engel10178017.839
Dane Kinamon5126225.294
Sam Houston State's Head Coach K. C. Keeler
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Keegan Shoemaker26441963%250415116.0
Grant Gunnell142264%100014.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
John Gentry11939433.328
Keegan Shoemaker9325412.729
Adrian Murdaugh2611724.548
Noah Smith2710623.925
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Noah Smith7978269.942
Malik Phillips35430112.341
Al'Vonte Woodard31339210.926
John Gentry3526127.556