Northwestern at Duke Game Matchup
Northwestern's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sun 9/3 Northwestern at Rutgers+5.039.0L 7 - 24
Sat 9/9 Northwestern vs UTEP-1.040.0W 38 - 7
Sat 9/16 Northwestern at Duke+17.048.0L 14 - 38
Sat 9/23 Northwestern vs Minnesota+11.539.5W 37 - 34
Sat 9/30 Northwestern vs Penn State+27.048.0L 13 - 41
Sat 10/7 Northwestern vs Howard-23.051.0W 23 - 20
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Northwestern at Nebraska+10.540.0L 9 - 17
Sat 10/28 Northwestern vs Maryland+14.048.5W 33 - 27
Sat 11/4 Northwestern vs Iowa+4.530.5L 7 - 10
Sat 11/11 Northwestern at Wisconsin+9.543.5W 24 - 10
Sat 11/18 Northwestern vs Purdue-2.547.5W 23 - 15
Sat 11/25 Northwestern at Illinois+5.046.5W 45 - 43
Sat 12/23 Northwestern vs Utah+6.544.5W 14 - 7
Duke's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Mon 9/4 Duke vs Clemson+12.554.0W 28 - 7
Sat 9/9 Duke vs Lafayette-42.549.0W 42 - 7
Sat 9/16 Duke vs Northwestern-17.048.0W 38 - 14
Sat 9/23 Duke at Connecticut-22.045.0W 41 - 7
Sat 9/30 Duke vs Notre Dame+5.552.5L 14 - 21
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Duke vs NC State-3.544.0W 24 - 3
Sat 10/21 Duke at Florida State+14.049.0L 20 - 38
Sat 10/28 Duke at Louisville+5.047.0L 0 - 23
Thu 11/2 Duke vs Wake Forest-6.541.0W 24 - 21
Sat 11/11 Duke at North Carolina+9.552.5L 45 - 47
Sat 11/18 Duke at Virginia-4.048.5L 27 - 30
Sat 11/25 Duke vs Pittsburgh-4.540.5W 30 - 19
Sat 12/23 Duke vs Troy+7.044.0W 17 - 10
NW's OC Mike Bajakian vs DUKE's DC Tyler Santucci     DUKE's OC Kevin Johns vs NW's DC Vacant
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NW Offense1322.119.838.3%4.110.7173041022022.949%51%39%38%16%.1
DUKE Defense131913.143.3%3.471.2 - - - - - 49%50%43%44%16%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Offense1326.928.642%4.271.2193481671814.852%47%42%42%13%.2
NW Defense1322.526.443.1%3.651.8 - - - - - 54%45%43%44%14%.14

 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NW Offense1349% (79)39% (109)35.2101.92.913 (108).05 (120)2.63 (129)70% (101)11% (97)0.83 (88)
DUKE Defense1349% (53)43% (69) - - - - .11 (46)3.18 (90)68% (86)10% (39)0.96 (82)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Offense1352% (47)42% (77)34.5166.84.826 (30).17 (56)3.1 (70)66% (71)8% (114)1.08 (20)
NW Defense1354% (115)43% (73) - - - - .09 (36)3.12 (73)69% (118)9% (43)0.92 (105)

 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDsIntsPassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NW Offense1351% (51)38% (102)18.529.92026.810.920 (70)8 (30).18 (100)1.6 (62)35% (116)29% (84).36 (59)5% (23)2.2 (25)
DUKE Defense1350% (83)44% (101) - - - - - - 10 (67).22 (42)1.4 (3)31% (86)31% (78).3 (64)6% (56)2 (56)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDsIntsPassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Offense1347% (84)42% (66)15.427.5180.86.611.814 (106)8 (30).24 (79)1.4 (122)33% (88)31% (65).4 (43)6% (62)2 (95)
NW Defense1345% (20)44% (94) - - - - - - 13 (26).22 (39)1.4 (9)29% (123)32% (102).31 (68)5% (101)1.8 (9)

 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Northwestern1328:3416.840%21%5.342.60.71.84.21.9029.7
Duke1328:5918.736%60%5.6461.21.25.52.1131.2
Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Northwestern's Performance Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Northwestern's Offense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Northwestern's Defense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Northwestern's Team Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

Northwestern's SP+ Ratings
Northwestern's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.4 (#71)
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.0 (#104)
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.9 (#30)

Big Ten's Avg 2023 SP+ Rating: 6.1
Big Ten's Avg 2023 SP+ Offense Rating: 24.9
Big Ten's Avg 2023 SP+ Defense Rating: 18.9

Northwestern's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.4 (#71)
Northwestern's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.4 (#111)
Northwestern's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.1 (#107)

Northwestern's 2023 Expected Record: -
Power Ratings Matchup
Northwestern:    Duke: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northwestern: -1.4   Duke: 9.5

Performance Ratings Matchup
Northwestern:    Duke:

Team Ratings Matchup
Northwestern:    Duke:




Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: 2 (#Team not found for the given year.)
Duke's Performance Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Duke's Offense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Duke's Defense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Duke's Team Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

Duke's SP+ Ratings
Duke's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.5 (#29)
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.6 (#53)
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.3 (#25)

ACC's Avg 2023 SP+ Rating: 5.0
ACC's Avg 2023 SP+ Offense Rating: 27.6
ACC's Avg 2023 SP+ Defense Rating: 22.7

Duke's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.5 (#29)
Duke's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.0 (#55)
Duke's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.5 (#114)

Duke's 2023 Expected Record: -
Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 22.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.8
Defense: 22.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.4

Northwestern's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Northwestern Roster Talent
2023 Talent Rating: 657.88
2023 Talent Rating: 657.88
2022 Talent Rating: 653.48
2021 Talent Rating: 648.79

Blue Chip Ratio: 0% (#Team not found for the given year.)

Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 750.28
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 598.22
Projected Score
Duke 24.7
Northwestern 20.6

Projected Total Points: 45

Based on Entire Season
Northwestern
Duke

Total Points:
Duke Scoring
Offense: 26.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.6
Defense: 19 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.1

Duke's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Duke Roster Talent
2023 Talent Rating: 620.90
2023 Talent Rating: 620.90
2022 Talent Rating: 603.98
2021 Talent Rating: 605.57

Blue Chip Ratio: 0% (#Team not found for the given year.)

Average ACC Talent Rating is 709.3
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 598.22




YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/16Duke38Northwestern14DukeDuke -17Duke48.0Over
202209/10Northwestern23Duke31DukeNorthwestern -10Duke56.5Under
202109/18Duke30Northwestern23DukeNorthwestern -2.5Duke50.0Over
201809/08Northwestern7Duke21DukeNorthwestern -2.5Duke47.5Under
201709/09Duke41Northwestern17DukeNorthwestern -1.5Duke54.5Over
201609/17Northwestern24Duke13NorthwesternNorthwestern -4Northwestern44.0Under
201509/19Duke10Northwestern19NorthwesternDuke -2.5Northwestern50.0Under
200809/06Duke20Northwestern24Northwestern
200709/15Northwestern14Duke20Duke
200309/20Duke10Northwestern28Northwestern
200209/14Northwestern26Duke21Northwestern
200109/22Duke7Northwestern44Northwestern
200009/08Northwestern38Duke5Northwestern
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Duke653 Overs
Northwestern724 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 74 - 32 - 32 - 0
Road Teams7 - 63 - 40 - 23 - 2
(#Team not found for the given year.) Northwestern Info
Northwestern has won 1 straight
Northwestern has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 3 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Northwestern is 1 - 3 in last 4 games (3 at Home, 1 on Road)
Last 4 Games: 20 - 26
Last 1 Road Games: 9 - 17

Northwestern Does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#)

Northwestern Defense limits Explosive Plays (#)
Northwestern Defense limits Explosive Pass Plays (#)

Northwestern has a great TO Margin (#)
Northwestern Defense Recovers a lot of Fumbles (#)
Northwestern Offense throws very few Interceptions (#)
Northwestern Defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)


Northwestern Deficiencies
Northwestern Can Not Run the Ball (#)
Northwestern has a bad Offense Success Rate (#)
Northwestern is Not an Explosive Offense (#)
Northwestern has a bad Offense Run Success Rate (#)
Northwestern has a bad Offense Pass Success Rate (#)
Northwestern has a really bad 4th Down Conversion Rate
Northwestern Defense has a bad Havoc Rate (#)
Northwestern Front 7 has a bad Havoc Rate (#)
Northwestern Secondary has a bad Havoc Rate (#)
Northwestern has a bad Defense Pass Downs Success Rate (#)

Rematch from Week 3
Duke -17.0 (48.0)
Duke won vs Northwestern this year (38-14)

Previous Matchups
Duke beat Northwestern last year (38-14)
Duke beat Northwestern in 2022 (31-23)
Duke beat Northwestern in 2021 (30-23)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wallace Wade Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 85° - Wind: 8 mph

Depth Charts
Northwestern | Duke
(#Team not found for the given year.) Duke Info
Duke has won 2 straight
Duke has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 1 (4 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

Duke is 2 - 2 in last 4 games (2 at Home, 2 on Road)
Last 4 Games: 15 - 21
Last 2 Home Games: 19 - 12

Duke has a good 4th Down Conversion Rate
Duke Defense limits Explosive Plays (#)
Duke Defense limits Explosive Pass Plays (#)

Duke Offense throws very few Interceptions (#)


Duke Deficiencies
Duke has a bad Offensive Power Success (#)
Duke has a bad Defense Pass Success Rate (#)















Northwestern's Head Coach David Braun
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ben Bryant17327763%18071366.5
Brendan Sullivan639964%714627.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Porter16665143.934
Anthony Tyus III5023814.839
Brendan Sullivan7516022.135
Joseph Himon II3513603.932
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Johnson54715613.252
Bryce Kirtz49701514.380
A.J. Henning4541849.341
Joseph Himon II18219112.285
Duke's Head Coach Mike Elko
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Riley Leonard9516558%1102336.7
Grayson Loftis9116356%1006846.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Waters153819125.483
Jaquez Moore11667465.858
Riley Leonard5835246.144
Jaylen Coleman4616513.615
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Moore62835813.549
Jalon Calhoun50666413.369
Sahmir Hagans3026008.723
Nicky Dalmolin1514709.821