New Mexico State at Liberty Game Matchup
Liberty's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Liberty vs Bowling Green-8.548.5W 34 - 24
Sat 9/9 Liberty vs New Mexico State-9.054.5W 33 - 17
Sat 9/16 Liberty at Buffalo-2.554.0W 55 - 27
Sat 9/23 Liberty at Florida International-10.054.0W 38 - 6
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/5 Liberty vs Sam Houston State-21.046.5W 21 - 16
Tue 10/10 Liberty at Jacksonville State-7.059.5W 31 - 13
Tue 10/17 Liberty vs Middle Tennessee-16.056.5W 42 - 35
Tue 10/24 Liberty at Western Kentucky-4.061.5W 42 - 29
Sat 11/4 Liberty vs Louisiana Tech-16.558.0W 56 - 30
Sat 11/11 Liberty vs Old Dominion-13.558.5W 38 - 10
Sat 11/18 Liberty vs UMass-26.564.5W 49 - 25
Sat 11/25 Liberty at UTEP-18.054.5W 42 - 28
Fri 12/1 Liberty vs New Mexico State-10.554.0W 49 - 35
Mon 1/1 Liberty vs Oregon+18.571.5L 6 - 45
NMSU's OC Tim Beck vs LIB's DC Jack Curtis     LIB's OC Newland Isaac vs NMSU's DC Nate Dreiling
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NMSU Offense1527.527.547.3%3.981204121992145.755%45%52%42%14%.28
LIB Defense1424.32442.3%3.631.7 - - - - - 43%55%47%40%18%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LIB Offense1438.340.354.2%4.541.1244782811976.168%32%56%51%7%.43
NMSU Defense1522.823.644.5%3.730.9 - - - - - 47%52%46%44%16%.22

 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NMSU Offense1555% (31)52% (7)35.1198.65.722 (51).27 (11)3.57 (5)81% (4)8% (17)0.96 (35)
LIB Defense1443% (9)47% (111) - - - - .19 (94)3.14 (77)75% (25)10% (86)0.97 (84)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LIB Offense1468% (4)56% (3)45.9281.36.139 (2).35 (3)3.77 (2)85% (2)5% (4)0.98 (1)
NMSU Defense1547% (33)46% (96) - - - - .2 (103)3.21 (95)74% (122)10% (73)1.02 (70)

 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDsIntsPassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NMSU Offense1545% (100)42% (61)15.726.2213.78.213.628 (23)10 (56).33 (52)1.7 (32)29% (15)34% (40).42 (41)6% (61)2 (68)
LIB Defense1455% (125)40% (49) - - - - - - 21 (1).23 (48)1.6 (84)31% (77)29% (48).17 (9)9% (6)2.1 (94)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDsIntsPassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LIB Offense1432% (130)51% (8)11.619.9196.99.916.931 (14)5 (6).65 (2)1.9 (9)23% (2)38% (13).59 (8)2% (2)2.3 (18)
NMSU Defense1552% (108)44% (96) - - - - - - 7 (111).25 (53)1.5 (20)29% (114)30% (67).38 (102)6% (83)2.3 (121)

 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
New Mexico State1531:2820.543%58%6.258.310.95.52.1128.2
Liberty1431:1823.650%55%5.9591.11.74.91.7230.4
New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
New Mexico State's Performance Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
New Mexico State's Team Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

New Mexico State's SP+ Ratings
New Mexico State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.0 (#62)
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.8 (#75)
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.4 (#46)

Conference USA's Avg 2023 SP+ Rating: -9.8
Conference USA's Avg 2023 SP+ Offense Rating: 20.9
Conference USA's Avg 2023 SP+ Defense Rating: 30.6

New Mexico State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.0 (#62)
New Mexico State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.4 (#117)
New Mexico State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -24.2 (#129)

New Mexico State's 2023 Expected Record: -
Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State:    Liberty: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: 1.0   Liberty: 11.8

Performance Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State:    Liberty:

Team Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State:    Liberty:




Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: 2 (#Team not found for the given year.)
Liberty's Performance Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Liberty's Offense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Liberty's Defense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Liberty's Team Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

Liberty's SP+ Ratings
Liberty's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.8 (#21)
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.4 (#9)
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 (#51)

Conference USA's Avg 2023 SP+ Rating: -9.8
Conference USA's Avg 2023 SP+ Offense Rating: 20.9
Conference USA's Avg 2023 SP+ Defense Rating: 30.6

Liberty's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.8 (#21)
Liberty's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.5 (#73)
Liberty's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.4 (#49)

Liberty's 2023 Expected Record: -
New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 27.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.5
Defense: 22.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.6

New Mexico State's 2023 Record
Record: 10 - 5
Record vs Spread: 11 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 6 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0

New Mexico State Roster Talent
2023 Talent Rating: 378.99
2023 Talent Rating: 378.99
2022 Talent Rating: 189.37
2021 Talent Rating: 117.43

Blue Chip Ratio: 0% (#Team not found for the given year.)

Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 351.59
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 598.22
Projected Score
Liberty 30.6
New Mexico State 25.9


Projected Total Points: 57

Based on Entire Season
New Mexico State
Liberty

Total Points:
Liberty Scoring
Offense: 38.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 40.3
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 24

Liberty's 2023 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 8 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0

Liberty Roster Talent
2023 Talent Rating: 330.29
2023 Talent Rating: 330.29
2022 Talent Rating: 161.88
2021 Talent Rating: 154.75

Blue Chip Ratio: 0% (#Team not found for the given year.)

Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 351.59
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 598.22




YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/09Liberty33New Mexico State17LibertyLiberty -9Liberty54.5Under
202312/01Liberty49New Mexico State35LibertyLiberty -10.5Liberty54.0Over
202211/26Liberty14New Mexico State49New Mexico StateLiberty -24.0New Mexico State51.0Over
201910/05New Mexico State13Liberty20LibertyLiberty -4.5Liberty62.5Under
201911/30Liberty49New Mexico State28LibertyLiberty -14.5Liberty68.0Over
201810/06New Mexico State49Liberty41New Mexico StateLiberty -3New Mexico State64.0Over
201811/24Liberty28New Mexico State21LibertyLiberty -7Push72.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Liberty544 Overs
New Mexico State223 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 24 - 23 - 11 - 1
Road Teams2 - 52 - 41 - 11 - 3
(#Team not found for the given year.) New Mexico State Info
New Mexico State has won 8 straight
New Mexico State has won 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 5 - 3 (6 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

New Mexico State is 4 - 0 in last 4 games (2 at Home, 2 on Road)
Last 4 Games: 29 - 15

Last 2 Road Games: 28 - 16

New Mexico State has Really Good Running Game (#)
New Mexico State Offense has a good overall Success Rate (#)
New Mexico State has a top Run Game Offensive Line (#)
New Mexico State Offense has a good Run Game Success Rate (#)

New Mexico State has a top Offensive Power Success (#)
New Mexico State has a good 4th Down Conversion Rate

New Mexico State Defense limits Explosive Pass Plays (#)


New Mexico State Deficiencies
New Mexico State Commits a Lot of Penalties (#)
New Mexico State Defense Doesn't Pick off a Lot of Passes (#)
New Mexico State has a bad Defense Success Rate (#)

Rematch from Week 14
Liberty -10.5 (54.0)
Liberty won vs New Mexico State this year (49-35)

Previous Matchups
Liberty beat New Mexico State last year (49-35)
New Mexico State beat Liberty in 2022 (49-14)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Williams Stadium
Conditions: Fog
Temp: 45°Rain: 0.01

Depth Charts
New Mexico State | Liberty
(#Team not found for the given year.) Liberty Info
Liberty has won 12 straight
Liberty has won 7 straight at Home
Record at home: 8 - 0 (5 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

Liberty is 4 - 0 in last 4 games (2 at Home, 2 on Road)
Last 4 Games: 34 - 23

Last 2 Home Games: 32 - 26

Liberty is Undefeated at Home

Liberty has Really Good Running Game (#)
Liberty Offense has a good overall Success Rate (#)
Liberty has a top Run Game Offensive Line (#)
Liberty Offense is good in Scoring Position (#)
Liberty Offense has a good Run Game Success Rate (#)
Liberty Offense has a good Passing Game Success Rate (#)
Liberty has a good 3rd Down Conversion Rate

Liberty has a top Offensive Power Success (#)
Liberty Offense has a good Success Rate on Pass Downs (#)
Liberty has a good 4th Down Conversion Rate

Liberty Secondary has a top Havoc Rate (#)

Liberty Offense throws very few Interceptions (#)
Liberty Defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)


Liberty Deficiencies
Liberty Fumbles a Lot (#)
Liberty Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#)
Liberty has a bad Defense Run Success Rate (#)


New Mexico State's Head Coach Jerry Kill
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Diego Pavia22136660%29732698.1
Blaze Berlowitz101953%134117.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Diego Pavia17692375.244
Star Thomas11265345.840
Ahmonte Watkins5957229.780
Jamoni Jones8734333.924
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jonathan Brady38624416.480
Trent Hudson345451016.078
Eli Stowers35366210.532
Chris Bellamy18282115.752
Liberty's Head Coach Jamey Chadwell
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kaidon Salter17729061%28763269.9
Johnathan Bennett1617%6001.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Quinton Cooley2211401166.360
Kaidon Salter1631089126.752
Billy Lucas11459765.243
Aaron Bedgood5855239.549
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
C.J. Daniels5510671019.475
Treon Sibley23467420.368
Noah Frith17323319.055
Elijah Smoot11221220.142