Baylor at UCF Game Matchup
Baylor's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/2 Baylor vs Texas State-26.558.5L 31 - 42
Sat 9/9 Baylor vs Utah+7.046.5L 13 - 20
Sat 9/16 Baylor vs Long Island University-44.054.0W 30 - 7
Sat 9/23 Baylor vs Texas+17.549.5L 6 - 38
Sat 9/30 Baylor at UCF+8.056.5W 36 - 35
Sat 10/7 Baylor vs Texas Tech+2.559.5L 14 - 39
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 Baylor at Cincinnati+2.551.5W 32 - 29
Sat 10/28 Baylor vs Iowa State+3.047.0L 18 - 30
Sat 11/4 Baylor vs Houston-3.058.5L 24 - 25
Sat 11/11 Baylor at Kansas State+20.555.5L 25 - 59
Sat 11/18 Baylor at TCU+13.062.0L 17 - 42
Sat 11/25 Baylor vs West Virginia+6.553.5L 31 - 34
UCF's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Thu 8/31 UCF vs Kent State-35.054.0W 56 - 6
Sat 9/9 UCF at Boise State-3.058.5W 18 - 16
Sat 9/16 UCF vs Villanova-26.554.0W 48 - 14
Sat 9/23 UCF at Kansas State+6.053.5L 31 - 44
Sat 9/30 UCF vs Baylor-8.056.5L 35 - 36
Sat 10/7 UCF at Kansas-2.065.0L 22 - 51
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21 UCF at Oklahoma+17.067.5L 29 - 31
Sat 10/28 UCF vs West Virginia-6.559.5L 28 - 41
Sat 11/4 UCF at Cincinnati-3.559.5W 28 - 26
Sat 11/11 UCF vs Oklahoma State+2.563.5W 45 - 3
Sat 11/18 UCF at Texas Tech+2.059.0L 23 - 24
Sat 11/25 UCF vs Houston-15.561.5W 27 - 13
Fri 12/22 UCF vs Georgia Tech-6.066.5L 17 - 30
BAY's OC Jeff Grimes vs UCF's DC David Gibbs     UCF's OC Darin Hinshaw vs BAY's DC Matt Powledge
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BAY Offense1223.127.539.5%3.121.3203781152633.346%54%40%39%18%.15
UCF Defense1325.818.846.6%3.791.2 - - - - - 56%43%51%43%12%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Offense1331.339.844.9%3.761.4234872282595.656%43%47%43%15%.31
BAY Defense1233.341.345.7%4.361.3 - - - - - 54%45%46%47%17%.32

 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BAY Offense1246% (99)40% (107)34.4114.83.313 (108).09 (101)2.99 (91)74% (95)12% (63)1.03 (103)
UCF Defense1356% (121)51% (128) - - - - .23 (110)3.39 (117)81% (128)7% (111)0.99 (127)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Offense1356% (24)47% (27)40.7228.25.628 (25).24 (19)3.28 (36)71% (23)9% (93)1.14 (48)
BAY Defense1254% (114)46% (98) - - - - .24 (115)3.27 (103)70% (85)11% (51)1.16 (53)

 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDsIntsPassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BAY Offense1254% (31)39% (90)21.936.82637.11215 (96)7 (21).22 (90)1.6 (79)34% (109)26% (103).18 (111)6% (77)1.8 (123)
UCF Defense1343% (11)43% (80) - - - - - - 12 (37).17 (17)1.4 (4)29% (120)34% (113).23 (33)5% (120)1.7 (1)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDsIntsPassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Offense1343% (111)43% (57)17.628.2258.89.214.724 (41)11 (68).48 (12)1.9 (5)30% (30)37% (15).52 (17)6% (51)2.2 (27)
BAY Defense1245% (21)47% (123) - - - - - - 7 (111).47 (131)1.7 (107)30% (101)38% (129).52 (130)6% (75)2.2 (102)

 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Baylor1231:4219.836%46%4.128.91.31.351.5228.6
UCF1328:5223.149%57%6.150.11.41.24.21.7026.6
Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Baylor's Performance Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Baylor's Offense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Baylor's Defense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Baylor's Team Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

Baylor's SP+ Ratings
Baylor's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.8 (#98)
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.3 (#78)
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.9 (#105)

Big 12's Avg 2023 SP+ Rating: 6.5
Big 12's Avg 2023 SP+ Offense Rating: 31.0
Big 12's Avg 2023 SP+ Defense Rating: 24.5

Baylor's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.8 (#98)
Baylor's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.7 (#30)
Baylor's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.6 (#15)

Baylor's 2023 Expected Record: -
Power Ratings Matchup
Baylor:    UCF: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Baylor: -8.8   UCF: 4.5

Performance Ratings Matchup
Baylor:    UCF:

Team Ratings Matchup
Baylor:    UCF:




UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: 2 (#Team not found for the given year.)
UCF's Performance Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
UCF's Offense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
UCF's Defense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
UCF's Team Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

UCF's SP+ Ratings
UCF's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5 (#48)
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.4 (#35)
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.3 (#54)

Big 12's Avg 2023 SP+ Rating: 6.5
Big 12's Avg 2023 SP+ Offense Rating: 31.0
Big 12's Avg 2023 SP+ Defense Rating: 24.5

UCF's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5 (#48)
UCF's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3 (#35)
UCF's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.8 (#62)

UCF's 2023 Expected Record: -
Baylor Scoring
Offense: 23.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.5
Defense: 33.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 41.3

Baylor's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 1
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Baylor Roster Talent
2023 Talent Rating: 678.00
2023 Talent Rating: 678.00
2022 Talent Rating: 666.05
2021 Talent Rating: 660.65

Blue Chip Ratio: 0% (#Team not found for the given year.)

Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 669.44
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 598.22
Projected Score
UCF 32.3
Baylor 24.5


Projected Total Points: 57

Based on Entire Season
Baylor
UCF

Total Points:
UCF Scoring
Offense: 31.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.8
Defense: 25.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.8

UCF's 2023 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

UCF Roster Talent
2023 Talent Rating: 653.97
2023 Talent Rating: 653.97
2022 Talent Rating: 636.16
2021 Talent Rating: 639.06

Blue Chip Ratio: 0% (#Team not found for the given year.)

Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 669.44
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 598.22




YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/30UCF35Baylor36BaylorUCF -8Baylor56.5Over
201301/01Baylor42UCF52UCFBaylor -17UCF74.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UCF112 Overs
Baylor110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 20 - 20 - 20 - 0
Road Teams2 - 02 - 00 - 02 - 0
(#Team not found for the given year.) Baylor Info
Baylor has lost 1 straight
Record on Road: 2 - 2 (2 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Baylor is 1 - 3 in last 4 games (2 at Home, 2 on Road)
Last 4 Games: 25 - 33

Last 2 Road Games: 34 - 32

Baylor has a good 4th Down Conversion Rate
Baylor Defense Recovers a lot of Fumbles (#)
Baylor commits very few Penalties (#)
Baylor Offense throws very few Interceptions (#)
Baylor Kick Return team is explosive (#)


Baylor Deficiencies
Baylor Can Not Run the Ball (#)
Baylor has a bad Offense Success Rate (#)
Baylor has a bad Offense Scoring Opp Rate (#)
Baylor has a bad Offense Pass Downs Success Rate (#)
Baylor has a bad Offense Run Success Rate (#)
Baylor Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Baylor does not Sack the QB (#)
Baylor Defense Doesn't Pick off a Lot of Passes (#)
Baylor has a bad Defense Success Rate (#)
Baylor Gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#)
Baylor has a bad Run Game Defensive Line (#)
Baylor has a bad Defense Scoring Opp Rate (#)
Baylor has a bad Defense Pass Downs Success Rate (#)
Baylor Gives up a Lot of Explosive Run Plays (#)
Baylor has a bad Defense Pass Success Rate (#)
Baylor Gives up a Lot of Explosive Pass Plays (#)

Rematch from Week 5
UCF -8.0 (56.5)
Baylor won at UCF this year (36-35)

Previous Matchups
Baylor beat UCF last year (36-35)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bright House Networks Stadium
Conditions: Heavy Rain Shower
Temp: 86° - Wind: 11 mph
Rain: 0.04

Depth Charts
Baylor | UCF
(#Team not found for the given year.) UCF Info
UCF has lost 1 straight
UCF has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 2 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

UCF is 3 - 1 in last 4 games (2 at Home, 2 on Road)
Last 4 Games: 29 - 40

Last 2 Home Games: 32 - 39

UCF has Really Good Running Game (#)
UCF has an Explosive Offense (#)
UCF Offense has a good Run Game Success Rate (#)
UCF has a good 3rd Down Conversion Rate

UCF Offense has a good Success Rate on Pass Downs (#)
UCF has a good 4th Down Conversion Rate

UCF Defense limits Explosive Plays (#)
UCF Defense limits Explosive Pass Plays (#)


UCF Deficiencies
UCF has a bad Defense Success Rate (#)
UCF has a bad Defensive Power Success (#)
UCF has a bad Run Game Defensive Line (#)
UCF Defense has a bad Havoc Rate (#)
UCF Front 7 has a bad Havoc Rate (#)
UCF Secondary has a bad Havoc Rate (#)
UCF has a bad Defense Pass Downs Success Rate (#)
UCF has a bad Defense Run Success Rate (#)








Baylor's Head Coach Dave Aranda
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Blake Shapen18429862%21881337.3
Sawyer Robertson6611756%864247.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dominic Richardson12551914.232
Dawson Pendergrass7933854.331
Richard Reese6630624.628
Sawyer Robertson356912.031
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Monaray Baldwin38623416.471
Drake Dabney33552516.763
Ketron Jackson28489117.555
Jake Roberts23231110.037
UCF's Head Coach Gus Malzahn
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
John Rhys Plumlee16125663%22711588.9
Timmy McClain6410263%10659310.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
RJ Harvey2261416166.392
Johnny Richardson8757316.679
John Rhys Plumlee10650554.832
Xavier Townsend15163010.939
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Javon Baker521139721.986
Kobe Hudson44900820.575
Xavier Townsend3332539.837
Alec Holler24244210.238