Duke at North Carolina Game Matchup
Duke's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Fri 9/3 Duke at Charlotte-6.060.0L 28 - 31
Fri 9/10 Duke vs North Carolina A&T-22.555.5W 45 - 17
Sat 9/18 Duke vs Northwestern+2.550.0W 30 - 23
Sat 9/25 Duke vs Kansas-16.557.5W 52 - 33
Sat 10/2 Duke at North Carolina+19.574.0L 7 - 38
Sat 10/9 Duke vs Georgia Tech+4.560.5L 27 - 31
Sat 10/16 Duke at Virginia+10.569.5L 0 - 48
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30 Duke at Wake Forest+16.571.5L 7 - 45
Sat 11/6 Duke vs Pittsburgh+21.064.5L 29 - 54
Sat 11/13 Duke at Virginia Tech+13.550.5L 17 - 48
Thu 11/18 Duke vs Louisville+20.060.0L 22 - 62
Sat 11/27 Duke vs Miami+20.567.0L 10 - 47
North Carolina's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Fri 9/3 North Carolina at Virginia Tech-5.563.5L 10 - 17
Sat 9/11 North Carolina vs Georgia State-26.065.0W 59 - 17
Sat 9/18 North Carolina vs Virginia-7.567.0W 59 - 39
Sat 9/25 North Carolina vs Georgia Tech-14.566.0L 22 - 45
Sat 10/2 North Carolina vs Duke-19.574.0W 38 - 7
Sat 10/9 North Carolina vs Florida State-17.564.5L 25 - 35
Sat 10/16 North Carolina vs Miami-7.563.5W 45 - 42
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30 North Carolina at Notre Dame+3.563.0L 34 - 44
Sat 11/6 North Carolina vs Wake Forest-2.578.0W 58 - 55
Thu 11/11 North Carolina at Pittsburgh+6.572.0L 23 - 30
Sat 11/20 North Carolina vs Wofford-37.062.0W 34 - 14
Fri 11/26 North Carolina at NC State+6.562.0L 30 - 34
Thu 12/30 North Carolina vs South Carolina-12.557.5L 21 - 38
DUKE's OC vs UNC's DC      UNC's OC vs DUKE's DC
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Offense1222.811.842.8%3.0700000053%46%43%43%16%.18
UNC Defense1332.129.945.9%4.240 - - - - - 53%46%49%43%15%.26
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNC Offense1335.245.446.3%4.5300000052%48%51%41%17%.28
DUKE Defense1239.84246.7%4.770 - - - - - 49%49%48%47%16%.38

 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Offense1253%43%0000.133.1576%11%1.02
UNC Defense1353%49% - - - - .193.2982%9%0.95
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNC Offense1352%51%0000.373.4371%12%1.21
DUKE Defense1249%48% - - - - .253.2878%10%1.02

 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDsIntsPassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Offense1246%43%0000000.281.532%29%.255%1.8
UNC Defense1346%43% - - - - - - 0.361.730%29%.356%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDsIntsPassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNC Offense1348%41%0000000.221.630%38%.545%2.2
DUKE Defense1249%47% - - - - - - 0.561.933%40%.647%2.2

 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Duke120:000NAN%0%000000028.6
North Carolina130:000NAN%0%000000028.7
Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Duke's Performance Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Duke's Offense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Duke's Defense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Duke's Team Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

Duke's SP+ Ratings
Duke's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.5 (#114)
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.4 (#97)
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.3 (#119)

ACC's Avg 2021 SP+ Rating: 6.1
ACC's Avg 2021 SP+ Offense Rating: 31.8
ACC's Avg 2021 SP+ Defense Rating: 26.0

Duke's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.5 (#29)
Duke's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.0 (#55)
Duke's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.5 (#114)

Duke's 2021 Expected Record: -
Power Ratings Matchup
Duke:    North Carolina: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Duke: -13.5   North Carolina: 6.4

Performance Ratings Matchup
Duke:    North Carolina:

Team Ratings Matchup
Duke:    North Carolina:




North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: 2 (#Team not found for the given year.)
North Carolina's Performance Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
North Carolina's Offense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
North Carolina's Defense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
North Carolina's Team Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

North Carolina's SP+ Ratings
North Carolina's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.4 (#59)
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.8 (#11)
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.7 (#101)

ACC's Avg 2021 SP+ Rating: 6.1
ACC's Avg 2021 SP+ Offense Rating: 31.8
ACC's Avg 2021 SP+ Defense Rating: 26.0

North Carolina's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.2 (#27)
North Carolina's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.8 (#46)
North Carolina's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.4 (#59)

North Carolina's 2021 Expected Record: -
Duke Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 11.8
Defense: 39.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 42

Duke's 2021 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0

Duke Roster Talent
2021 Talent Rating: 605.57
2023 Talent Rating:
2022 Talent Rating:
2021 Talent Rating: 605.57

Blue Chip Ratio: 0% (#Team not found for the given year.)

Average ACC Talent Rating is 687.88
Average Power Five Talent: 713.28
Average FBS Talent: 553.02
Projected Score
North Carolina 37.5
Duke 27.5


Projected Total Points: 65

Based on Entire Season
Duke
North Carolina

Total Points:
North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 35.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.4
Defense: 32.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.9

North Carolina's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0

North Carolina Roster Talent
2021 Talent Rating: 798.29
2023 Talent Rating:
2022 Talent Rating:
2021 Talent Rating: 798.29

Blue Chip Ratio: 0% (#Team not found for the given year.)

Average ACC Talent Rating is 687.88
Average Power Five Talent: 713.28
Average FBS Talent: 553.02




YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/11North Carolina47Duke45North CarolinaNorth Carolina -9.5Duke52.5Over
202210/15Duke35North Carolina38North CarolinaNorth Carolina -7Duke70.0Over
202110/02North Carolina38Duke7North CarolinaNorth Carolina -19.5North Carolina74.0Under
202011/07Duke24North Carolina56North CarolinaNorth Carolina -11.5North Carolina63.0Over
201910/26North Carolina20Duke17North CarolinaNorth Carolina -2.5North Carolina52.5Under
201811/10Duke42North Carolina35DukeDuke -7.5North Carolina58.5Over
201709/23North Carolina17Duke27DukeNorth Carolina -1.5Duke61.0Under
201611/10Duke28North Carolina27DukeNorth Carolina -10.5Duke66.5Under
201511/07North Carolina66Duke31North CarolinaNorth Carolina -8North Carolina59.5Over
201411/20Duke20North Carolina45North CarolinaDuke -6North Carolina0
201311/30North Carolina25Duke27DukeNorth Carolina -5.5Duke0
201210/20Duke33North Carolina30Duke
201111/26North Carolina37Duke21North Carolina
201011/27Duke19North Carolina24North Carolina
200911/07North Carolina19Duke6North Carolina
200811/29Duke20North Carolina28North Carolina
200711/24North Carolina20Duke14North Carolina
200611/25Duke44North Carolina45North Carolina
200511/19North Carolina24Duke21North Carolina
200411/20Duke17North Carolina40North Carolina
200311/22North Carolina22Duke30Duke
200111/17North Carolina52Duke17North Carolina
200011/17Duke21North Carolina59North Carolina
TeamWinsCoversO/U
North Carolina1765 Overs
Duke654 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 115 - 63 - 52 - 1
Road Teams11 - 126 - 51 - 25 - 3
(#Team not found for the given year.) Duke Info
Duke has won 3 straight
Duke has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 5 (0 - 5 - 0 vs Spread )

Duke is 3 - 1 in last 4 games (1 at Home, 3 on Road)
Last 4 Games: 10 - 41

Last 3 Road Games: 5 - 44


Duke Deficiencies
Duke has a really bad 4th Down Conversion Rate
Duke Defense Gives up a Lot of Points

Rematch from Week 5
North Carolina -19.5 (74.0)
North Carolina won vs Duke this year (38-7)

Previous Matchups
North Carolina beat Duke last year (47-45)
North Carolina beat Duke in 2022 (38-35)
North Carolina beat Duke in 2021 (38-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kenan Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Depth Charts
Duke | North Carolina
(#Team not found for the given year.) North Carolina Info
North Carolina has lost 1 straight
North Carolina has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 6 - 1 (4 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

North Carolina is 2 - 2 in last 4 games (3 at Home, 1 on Road)
Last 4 Games: 36 - 32

Last 3 Home Games: 36 - 28


North Carolina Deficiencies
North Carolina has a really bad 4th Down Conversion Rate
North Carolina Defense Gives up a Lot of Points




Duke's Head Coach
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Gunnar Holmberg21732467%2358787.3
Riley Leonard376260%381116.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Mataeo Durant255124194.959
Jordan Moore4422135.040
Jordan Waters3919715.130
Riley Leonard4717323.735
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jake Bobo74794110.748
Jalon Calhoun56718312.880
Mataeo Durant2725629.553
Eli Pancol17233113.728
North Carolina's Head Coach
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Sam Howell21734763%30562498.8
Jacolby Criswell132162%179108.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Ty Chandler1821092136.060
Sam Howell183828114.562
British Brooks3129549.563
D.J. Jones6025304.229
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Josh Downs1011335813.263
Antoine Green31612519.776
Emery Simmons11243122.163
Kamari Morales2422059.221