Ole Miss at Mississippi State Game Matchup
Ole Miss's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Mon 9/6 Ole Miss vs Louisville-9.074.5W 43 - 24
Sat 9/11 Ole Miss vs Austin Peay-37.069.5W 54 - 17
Sat 9/18 Ole Miss vs Tulane-14.077.0W 61 - 21
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/2 Ole Miss at Alabama+15.079.5L 21 - 42
Sat 10/9 Ole Miss vs Arkansas-5.067.0W 52 - 51
Sat 10/16 Ole Miss at Tennessee-1.082.0W 31 - 26
Sat 10/23 Ole Miss vs LSU-9.076.5W 31 - 17
Sat 10/30 Ole Miss at Auburn+3.067.5L 20 - 31
Sat 11/6 Ole Miss vs Liberty-7.566.5W 27 - 14
Sat 11/13 Ole Miss vs Texas A&M+1.057.5W 29 - 19
Sat 11/20 Ole Miss vs Vanderbilt-35.566.5W 31 - 17
Thu 11/25 Ole Miss at Mississippi State+2.565.0W 31 - 21
Sat 1/1 Ole Miss vs Baylor-1.060.5L 7 - 21
MISS's OC vs MSST's DC      MSST's OC vs MISS's DC
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MISS Offense1333.725.845.7%3.8300000054%46%47%44%15%.27
MSST Defense1325.925.639.4%3.980 - - - - - 46%53%40%39%15%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MSST Offense1329.128.649.9%4.0600000024%76%50%50%14%.24
MISS Defense1324.73046.1%3.60 - - - - - 51%49%50%42%16%.19

 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MISS Offense1354%47%0000.33.2268%10%1.22
MSST Defense1346%40% - - - - .092.8773%10%0.95
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MSST Offense1324%50%0000.083.1279%8%0.71
MISS Defense1351%50% - - - - .33.5667%10%1.08

 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDsIntsPassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MISS Offense1346%44%0000000.251.632%34%.334%2
MSST Defense1353%39% - - - - - - 0.271.733%29%.325%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDsIntsPassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MSST Offense1376%50%0000000.31.229%39%.457%1.9
MISS Defense1349%42% - - - - - - 0.091.329%32%.176%1.7

 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ole Miss130:000NAN%0%000000029.8
Mississippi State130:000NAN%0%000000029.7
Ole Miss's Power Ratings
Ole Miss's Power Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Ole Miss's Performance Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Ole Miss's Offense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Ole Miss's Defense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Ole Miss's Team Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

Ole Miss's SP+ Ratings
Ole Miss's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.8 (#17)
Ole Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.8 (#17)
Ole Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4 (#36)

SEC's Avg 2021 SP+ Rating: 11.6
SEC's Avg 2021 SP+ Offense Rating: 33.1
SEC's Avg 2021 SP+ Defense Rating: 22.2

Ole Miss's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.0 (#14)
Ole Miss's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.2 (#14)
Ole Miss's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.8 (#17)

Ole Miss's 2021 Expected Record: -
Power Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss:    Mississippi State: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss: 14.8   Mississippi State: 10.5

Performance Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss:    Mississippi State:

Team Ratings Matchup
Ole Miss:    Mississippi State:




Mississippi State's Power Ratings
Mississippi State's Power Rating: 2 (#Team not found for the given year.)
Mississippi State's Performance Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Mississippi State's Offense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Mississippi State's Defense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Mississippi State's Team Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

Mississippi State's SP+ Ratings
Mississippi State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.5 (#34)
Mississippi State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6 (#28)
Mississippi State's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.0 (#33)

SEC's Avg 2021 SP+ Rating: 11.6
SEC's Avg 2021 SP+ Offense Rating: 33.1
SEC's Avg 2021 SP+ Defense Rating: 22.2

Mississippi State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.4 (#66)
Mississippi State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.4 (#19)
Mississippi State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.5 (#34)

Mississippi State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Ole Miss Scoring
Offense: 33.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.8
Defense: 24.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 30

Ole Miss's 2021 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Ole Miss Roster Talent
2021 Talent Rating: 732.02
2023 Talent Rating:
2022 Talent Rating:
2021 Talent Rating: 732.02

Blue Chip Ratio: 0% (#Team not found for the given year.)

Average SEC Talent Rating is 809.99
Average Power Five Talent: 713.28
Average FBS Talent: 553.02
Projected Score
Ole Miss 29.8
Mississippi State 26.9

Projected Total Points: 57

Based on Entire Season
Ole Miss
Mississippi State

Total Points:
Mississippi State Scoring
Offense: 29.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.6
Defense: 25.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.6

Mississippi State's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Mississippi State Roster Talent
2021 Talent Rating: 716.17
2023 Talent Rating:
2022 Talent Rating:
2021 Talent Rating: 716.17

Blue Chip Ratio: 0% (#Team not found for the given year.)

Average SEC Talent Rating is 809.99
Average Power Five Talent: 713.28
Average FBS Talent: 553.02




YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/23Mississippi State7Ole Miss17Ole MissOle Miss -11Mississippi State56.0Under
202211/24Ole Miss22Mississippi State24Mississippi StateOle Miss -2.5Mississippi State63.0Under
202111/25Mississippi State21Ole Miss31Ole MissMississippi State -2.5Ole Miss65.0Under
202011/28Ole Miss31Mississippi State24Ole MissOle Miss -10Mississippi State70.0Under
201911/28Mississippi State21Ole Miss20Mississippi StateMississippi State -1Push59.0Under
201811/22Ole Miss3Mississippi State35Mississippi StateMississippi State -12.5Mississippi State61.0Under
201711/23Mississippi State28Ole Miss31Ole MissMississippi State -14Ole Miss64.5Under
201611/26Ole Miss20Mississippi State55Mississippi StateOle Miss -8Mississippi State67.5Over
201511/28Mississippi State27Ole Miss38Ole MissOle Miss -2Ole Miss65.5Under
201411/29Ole Miss31Mississippi State17Ole MissMississippi State -2.5Ole Miss51.5Under
201311/28Mississippi State17Ole Miss10Mississippi StateOle Miss -3Mississippi State0
201211/24Ole Miss41Mississippi State24Ole Miss
201111/26Mississippi State31Ole Miss3Mississippi State
201011/27Ole Miss23Mississippi State31Mississippi State
200911/28Mississippi State41Ole Miss27Mississippi State
200811/28Ole Miss45Mississippi State0Ole Miss
200711/23Mississippi State17Ole Miss14Mississippi State
200611/25Ole Miss20Mississippi State17Ole Miss
200511/26Mississippi State35Ole Miss14Mississippi State
200411/27Ole Miss20Mississippi State3Ole Miss
200311/27Mississippi State0Ole Miss31Ole Miss
200111/22Mississippi State36Ole Miss28Mississippi State
200011/22Ole Miss45Mississippi State30Ole Miss
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Mississippi State1161 Overs
Ole Miss1249 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 93 - 70 - 53 - 2
Road Teams9 - 147 - 32 - 35 - 0
(#Team not found for the given year.) Ole Miss Info
Ole Miss has won 3 straight
Ole Miss has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 2 (2 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Ole Miss is 3 - 1 in last 4 games (2 at Home, 2 on Road)
Last 4 Games: 34 - 31
Last 2 Road Games: 26 - 29


Ole Miss Deficiencies
Ole Miss has a really bad 4th Down Conversion Rate

Rematch from Week 13
Mississippi State -2.5 (65.0)
Ole Miss won at Mississippi State this year (31-21)

Previous Matchups
Ole Miss beat Mississippi State last year (17-7)
Mississippi State beat Ole Miss in 2022 (24-22)
Ole Miss beat Mississippi State in 2021 (31-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Davis Wade Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Depth Charts
Ole Miss | Mississippi State
(#Team not found for the given year.) Mississippi State Info
Mississippi State has won 2 straight
Mississippi State has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 4 - 3 (3 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)

Mississippi State is 3 - 1 in last 4 games (2 at Home, 2 on Road)
Last 4 Games: 28 - 24
Last 2 Home Games: 20 - 33


Mississippi State Deficiencies
Mississippi State has a really bad 4th Down Conversion Rate




Ole Miss's Head Coach
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Matt Corral26238668%33492058.7
Luke Altmyer203754%192125.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jerrion Ealy13376855.870
Snoop Conner130647135.051
Matt Corral152614114.032
Henry Parrish Jr.10555335.333
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Dontario Drummond761028813.567
Braylon Sanders24549422.968
Jahcour Pearson26392015.145
Jonathan Mingo22346315.750
Mississippi State's Head Coach
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Will Rogers50568374%47393696.9
Chance Lovertich131872%179109.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dillon Johnson8948545.432
Jo'quavious Marks10641663.923
J.J. Jernighan62404.08
Chance Lovertich31003.37
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Makai Polk1051046910.050
Jaden Walley55628611.429
Austin Williams52617411.934
Jo'quavious Marks8350236.021