Arkansas State at UCF Game Matchup
UCF's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResult
Sat 9/3 UCF vs South Carolina State-27.0W 38 - 0
Sat 9/10 UCF at Michigan+34.553.5L 14 - 51
Sat 9/17 UCF vs Maryland+9.056.0L 24 - 30
Sat 9/24 UCF at Florida International-5.552.5W 53 - 14
Sat 10/1 UCF at East Carolina+5.561.0W 47 - 29
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 UCF vs Temple-1.051.5L 25 - 26
Sat 10/22 UCF at Connecticut-2.046.5W 24 - 16
Sat 10/29 UCF at Houston+12.559.0L 24 - 31
Sat 11/5 UCF vs Tulane-16.547.0W 37 - 6
Sat 11/12 UCF vs Cincinnati-10.055.0W 24 - 3
Sat 11/19 UCF vs Tulsa-1.564.0L 20 - 35
Sat 11/26 UCF at South Florida+9.566.0L 31 - 48
Sat 12/17 UCF vs Arkansas State+6.551.0L 13 - 31
ARST's OC vs UCF's DC      UCF's OC vs ARST's DC
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARST Offense1327.326.60%00000000%0%0%0%0%
UCF Defense1324.618.70%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UCF Offense1328.825.90%00000000%0%0%0%0%
ARST Defense1321.522.10%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%

 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARST Offense130%0%000000%0%0
UCF Defense130%0% - - - - 00%0%0
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UCF Offense130%0%000000%0%0
ARST Defense130%0% - - - - 00%0%0

 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDsIntsPassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARST Offense130%0%000000000%0%0%0
UCF Defense130%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDsIntsPassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UCF Offense130%0%000000000%0%0%0
ARST Defense130%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0

 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Arkansas State130:000NAN%0%0000000100
UCF130:000NAN%0%0000000100
Arkansas State's Power Ratings
Arkansas State's Power Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Arkansas State's Performance Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Arkansas State's Offense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Arkansas State's Defense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
Arkansas State's Team Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

Arkansas State's SP+ Ratings
Arkansas State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.2 (#71)
Arkansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.9 (#112)
Arkansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.1 (#26)

Sun Belt's Avg 2016 SP+ Rating: -8.9
Sun Belt's Avg 2016 SP+ Offense Rating: 23.1
Sun Belt's Avg 2016 SP+ Defense Rating: 31.6

Arkansas State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.5 (#92)
Arkansas State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.0 (#107)
Arkansas State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.9 (#120)

Arkansas State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Power Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State:    UCF: 2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State: -1.2   UCF: -2.2

Performance Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State:    UCF:

Team Ratings Matchup
Arkansas State:    UCF:




UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: 2 (#Team not found for the given year.)
UCF's Performance Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
UCF's Offense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
UCF's Defense Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)
UCF's Team Rating: (#Team not found for the given year.)

UCF's SP+ Ratings
UCF's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.2 (#76)
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.3 (#119)
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.3 (#35)

Big 12's Avg 2016 SP+ Rating: 8.3
Big 12's Avg 2016 SP+ Offense Rating: 35.9
Big 12's Avg 2016 SP+ Defense Rating: 27.6

UCF's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.5 (#48)
UCF's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3 (#35)
UCF's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.8 (#62)

UCF's 2016 Expected Record: -
Arkansas State Scoring
Offense: 27.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.6
Defense: 21.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.1

Arkansas State's 2016 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Arkansas State Roster Talent
2016 Talent Rating: 471.45
2023 Talent Rating:
2022 Talent Rating:
2021 Talent Rating:

Blue Chip Ratio: 0% (#Team not found for the given year.)

Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 350.85
Average Power Five Talent: 671.94
Average FBS Talent: 526.68
Projected Score
Arkansas State 26
UCF 25.2

Projected Total Points: 51

Based on Entire Season
Arkansas State
UCF

Total Points:
UCF Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.9
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.7

UCF's 2016 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

UCF Roster Talent
2016 Talent Rating: 510.27
2023 Talent Rating:
2022 Talent Rating:
2021 Talent Rating:

Blue Chip Ratio: 0% (#Team not found for the given year.)

Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 580.94
Average Power Five Talent: 671.94
Average FBS Talent: 526.68




YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201612/17UCF13Arkansas State31Arkansas StateArkansas State -6.5Arkansas State51.0Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UCF000 Overs
Arkansas State111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Arkansas State Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2016Cure Bowl Arkansas State vs UCF-6.551.0W 31 - 13
2015Orleans Bowl Arkansas State vs Louisiana Tech-1.0L 28 - 47
2014Godaddy Bowl Arkansas State vs Toledo+3.570.5L 44 - 63
2013Godaddy Bowl Arkansas State vs Ball State+6.565.0W 23 - 20
2012Com Bowl Arkansas State vs Kent State  W 17 - 13
2011Com Bowl Arkansas State vs Northern Illinois  L 20 - 38
UCF Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2016Cure Bowl UCF vs Arkansas State+6.551.0L 13 - 31
2014Petersburg Bowl UCF vs NC State-2.047.5L 27 - 34
2013Fiesta Bowl UCF vs Baylor+17.074.0W 52 - 42
2012S Bowl UCF vs Ball State  W 38 - 17
2010Liberty Bowl UCF vs Georgia  W 10 - 6
  
(#Team not found for the given year.) Arkansas State Info
Arkansas State has played in 10 Bowls in the last 5 years (4 - 6)
Arkansas State has played in 11 Bowls since 2000 (4 - 7)

Arkansas State is 3 - 1 in last 4 games (4 at Home, 0 on Road)
Last 4 Games: 30 - 18


Arkansas State Deficiencies
Arkansas State has a really bad 4th Down Conversion Rate

Rematch from Week 1
Arkansas State 6.5 (51.0)
Arkansas State won at UCF this year (31-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Camping World Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Depth Charts
Arkansas State | UCF
(#Team not found for the given year.) UCF Info
UCF has played in 11 Bowls in the last 5 years (5 - 6)
UCF has played in 15 Bowls since 2000 (6 - 9)

UCF is 2 - 2 in last 4 games (1 at Home, 3 on Road)
Last 4 Games: 30 - 26


UCF Deficiencies
UCF has a really bad 4th Down Conversion Rate




Arkansas State's Head Coach
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Justice Hansen19734058%27191988.0
Chad Voytik325756%363116.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Warren Wand20087974.455
Johnston White10547254.550
Chad Voytik7916442.129
Justice Hansen7913111.723
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Blake Mack34652319.283
Kendall Sanders38553714.675
Cameron Echols-Luper26407115.758
Chris Murray22327114.945
UCF's Head Coach
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
McKenzie Milton19433658%19831075.9
Justin Holman368343%510326.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jawon Hamilton13949543.632
Dontravious Wilson12046283.935
Adrian Killins Jr.5032546.587
McKenzie Milton10015831.663
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tre'Quan Smith57853515.072
Taylor Oldham35366110.540
Jordan Akins23347215.171
Adrian Killins Jr.18198211.060